2016 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 25, 2016 · Arrowhead Stadium

Denver Broncos

Kansas City ChiefsWinner

KC -3.5 ✓O 38.5 ✓Chiefs closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 23.

Kansas City Chiefs 33–10 — never really in doubt late.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · KC

Alex SmithQB

25/36, 244 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

1.1 expected points added · +0.5% completion over expected

Passing · DEN

Trevor SiemianQB

17/43, 183 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-10.4 expected points added · -20.0% completion over expected

Rushing · KC

Tyreek HillWR

6 att, 95 yds, 1 TD

4.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · KC

Spencer WareRB

13 att, 62 yds, 0 TD

0.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · KC

Travis KelceTE

11/12 for 160 yds, 1 TD

32% of team targets · 13.8 expected points added

Receiving · DEN

Devontae BookerRB

6/10 for 44 yds, 0 TD

25% of team targets · -7.9 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Denver Broncos

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Trevor Siemian	17/43	183	0	1	0	-10.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Devontae Booker	5	27	5.4	0	-0.0
Juwan Thompson	3	19	6.3	0	0.9
Justin Forsett	5	11	2.2	1	0.0
Brandon McManus	1	6	6.0	0	-1.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Devontae Booker	6	10	44	25%	-7.9
Jeff Heuerman	3	6	32	15%	1.5
Jordan Taylor	1	4	26	10%	-0.5
Emmanuel Sanders	1	3	26	8%	1.8
Demaryius Thomas	3	8	20	20%	-5.0
Jordan Norwood	1	1	17	3%	1.9
Henry Krieger-Coble	1	1	13	3%	1.1
Bennie Fowler	1	2	5	5%	-1.0
Juwan Thompson	0	1	0	3%	-0.3
Justin Forsett	0	1	0	3%	-0.7
Kalif Raymond	0	1	0	3%	-0.7
Cody Latimer	0	2	0	5%	-2.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Todd Davis	10	3	0	0
Von Miller	6	2	0	0
Corey Nelson	7	0	0	0
Will Parks	5	0	0	0
Justin Simmons	4	1	1	2
Jared Crick	3	2	0	0
Shane Ray	3	1	0	0
Aqib Talib	2	2	0	0
Darian Stewart	4	0	0	0
Chris Harris	3	1	0	0

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Alex Smith	25/36	244	1	1	0	1.1
Dontari Poe	1/1	2	1	0	0	2.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Tyreek Hill	6	95	15.8	1	4.6
Spencer Ware	13	62	4.8	0	0.9
Alex Smith	4	46	11.5	1	4.6
Charcandrick West	14	35	2.5	0	-0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Travis Kelce	11	12	160	1	32%	13.8
Demetrius Harris	6	9	37	1	24%	2.6
Spencer Ware	2	3	20	0	8%	0.1
Chris Conley	2	2	14	0	5%	-0.2
Jeremy Maclin	3	4	9	0	11%	-2.6
Charcandrick West	1	1	3	0	3%	-1.1
Albert Wilson	1	1	3	0	3%	-0.2
Tyreek Hill	0	5	0	0	14%	-9.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Terrance Mitchell	5	1	1
Ramik Wilson	5	1	0
Daniel Sorensen	3	0	0
Dee Ford	2	0	0
James O'Shaughnessy	2	0	0
Steven Nelson	2	0	1
Eric Murray	2	0	0
Dontari Poe	1	0	1
Kenneth Acker	1	0	0
Cairo Santos	1	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: KC -3.5
Closing total: 38.5
DEN moneyline: +171
KC moneyline: -190

Chiefs closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 23.

Total closed 38.5; the game landed 43 — over by 4.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 53°F, wind 9 mph
Referee: Tony Corrente
Rest: DEN 7 days · KC 7 days
Coaches: Gary Kubiak vs Andy Reid

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.