2016 Week 16 · Sat, Dec 24, 2016 · New Era Field
Final
Miami Dolphins 34 at Buffalo Bills 31. Final.
Miami Dolphins 34–31 — decided on the final possessions.
The Game Day Roster
Who was out, who dressed and never took a snap, and who was on the field how much. Game-day list and snap counts from the weekly roster and snap feeds. Practice-squad and injured-reserve players are not shown — they were never on the game-day list.
Miami Dolphins
56 dressed · 12 never used
- 70Ja'Wuan JamesT · Every snap100%69 snaps
- 74Jermon BushrodOG · Every snap100%69 snaps
- 80Dion SimsTE · Every snap100%69 snaps
- 67Laremy TunsilOG · Every snap100%69 snaps
- 60Kraig UrbikOG · Every snap100%69 snaps
- 76Branden AlbertOT · Every snap100%69 snaps
- 8Matt MooreQB · Every snap100%69 snaps
- 14Jarvis LandryWR · Full-time96%66 snaps
- 10Kenny StillsWR · Full-time86%59 snaps
- 11DeVante ParkerWR · Heavy rotation77%53 snaps
- 23Jay AjayiRB · Heavy rotation75%52 snaps
- 79Sam YoungT · Situational22%15 snaps
- 48MarQueis GrayTE · Situational19%13 snaps
- 26Damien WilliamsRB · Situational16%11 snaps
- 32Kenyan DrakeRB · Situational10%7 snaps
Dressed, never took a snap · 12
Buffalo Bills
54 dressed · 11 never used
- 76John MillerOG · Every snap100%92 snaps
- 79Jordan MillsOT · Every snap100%92 snaps
- 71Cyrus KouandjioT · Every snap100%92 snaps
- 64Richie IncognitoOG · Every snap100%92 snaps
- 72Ryan GroyC · Every snap100%92 snaps
- 5Tyrod TaylorQB · Every snap100%92 snaps
- 85Charles ClayTE · Full-time95%87 snaps
- 14Sammy WatkinsWR · Full-time90%83 snaps
- 10Robert WoodsWR · Full-time86%79 snaps
- 25LeSean McCoyRB · Heavy rotation76%70 snaps
- 42Jerome FeltonFB · Rotational47%43 snaps
- 88Marquise GoodwinWR · Rotational36%33 snaps
- 84Nick O'LearyTE · Rotational30%28 snaps
- 35Mike GillisleeRB · Situational21%19 snaps
- 15Brandon TateWR · Situational7%6 snaps
- 22Reggie BushRB · Situational5%5 snaps
- 17Justin HunterWR · Situational4%4 snaps
- 31Jonathan WilliamsRB · Situational3%3 snaps
Dressed, never took a snap · 11
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · BUF
26/39, 329 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
18.5 expected points added · +10.0% completion over expected
Passing · MIA
16/30, 233 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
7.0 expected points added · -9.3% completion over expected
Receiving · BUF
7/10 for 154 yds, 1 TD
26% of team targets · 10.5 expected points added
No opportunity read for this era
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
Full stat lines
Box score
Miami Dolphins
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Moore | 16/30 | 233 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +7.0 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Ajayi | 32 | 206 | 6.4 | 1 | +7.3 |
| Kenyan Drake | 4 | 56 | 14.0 | 1 | +4.4 |
| Jarvis Landry | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | −0.6 |
| Matt Moore | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | −2.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeVante Parker | 4 | 7 | 85 | 1 | 24% | +6.3 |
| Damien Williams | 2 | 3 | 51 | 0 | 10% | +3.0 |
| Kenny Stills | 3 | 8 | 35 | 1 | 28% | −1.1 |
| Jarvis Landry | 3 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 21% | −1.2 |
| MarQueis Gray | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 3% | +1.5 |
| Dion Sims | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 10% | −0.8 |
| Jay Ajayi | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | −0.4 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Paysinger | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Neville Hewitt | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bacarri Rambo | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Lippett | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Michael Thomas | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavien Howard | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ndamukong Suh | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kiko Alonso | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donald Butler | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andre Branch | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Buffalo Bills
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrod Taylor | 26/39 | 329 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +18.5 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeSean McCoy | 24 | 128 | 5.3 | 1 | +1.1 |
| Mike Gillislee | 11 | 91 | 8.3 | 0 | −0.4 |
| Tyrod Taylor | 12 | 60 | 5.0 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Jerome Felton | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Reggie Bush | 1 | -8 | -8.0 | 0 | −1.2 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Watkins | 7 | 10 | 154 | 1 | 26% | +10.5 |
| Charles Clay | 8 | 10 | 85 | 2 | 26% | +11.0 |
| Robert Woods | 3 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 15% | +0.8 |
| LeSean McCoy | 5 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 15% | −2.7 |
| Marquise Goodwin | 1 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 13% | −1.4 |
| Jerome Felton | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 5% | +2.2 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Brown | 4 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Corey Graham | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcell Dareus | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Brown | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ronald Darby | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Stephon Gilmore | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Leger Douzable | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Corey White | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Kevon Seymour | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lorenzo Alexander | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- Bills -4.5
- Closing total
- 44.5
- Dolphins moneyline
- +197
- Bills moneyline
- -220
Bills closed -4.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 44.5; the game landed 65 — over by 20.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- New Era Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · a turf
- Kickoff weather
- Cold, 38°F at kickoff; breezy at 11 mph out of the west; partly cloudy.
- Referee
- Craig Wrolstad
- Rest
- Dolphins 7 days · Bills 6 days
- Coaches
- Adam Gase vs Rex Ryan
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.