2016 Week 16 · Sat, Dec 24, 2016 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

New Orleans SaintsWinner

NO -3 ✓O 53 ✓DomeSaints closed -3 and covered, winning by 7.

New Orleans Saints 31–24.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NO

Drew BreesQB

23/34, 299 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

8.0 expected points added · +0.5% completion over expected

Passing · TB

Jameis WinstonQB

23/35, 277 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

7.0 expected points added · +3.0% completion over expected

Rushing · NO

Mark IngramRB

18 att, 90 yds, 2 TD

3.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · TB

Jacquizz RodgersRB

15 att, 63 yds, 1 TD

1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NO

Michael ThomasWR

6/8 for 98 yds, 0 TD

24% of team targets · 4.2 expected points added

Receiving · NO

Brandin CooksWR

5/9 for 98 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 1.9 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jameis Winston	23/35	277	2	2	2	7.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jacquizz Rodgers	15	63	4.2	1	1.2
Jameis Winston	3	14	4.7	0	-1.7
Charles Sims	3	12	4.0	0	-0.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Mike Evans	7	8	97	1	24%	5.6
Russell Shepard	3	5	61	0	15%	1.5
Charles Sims	4	4	30	0	12%	1.2
Josh Huff	2	3	24	0	9%	1.2
Brandon Myers	2	6	21	0	18%	-0.2
Jacquizz Rodgers	2	2	15	0	6%	0.5
Cameron Brate	1	2	12	1	6%	1.4
Adam Humphries	1	2	12	0	6%	0.0
Alan Cross	1	1	5	0	3%	0.8
Luke Stocker	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Kwon Alexander	5	5	0.0	2
Brent Grimes	9	0	0.0	1
Lavonte David	6	1	1.0	0
Vernon Hargreaves	6	0	0.0	2
Keith Tandy	3	2	0.0	1
Daryl Smith	2	2	0.0	0
Clinton McDonald	1	3	1.0	0
Bradley McDougald	2	1	0.0	0
Noah Spence	1	1	0.0	0
Gerald McCoy	2	0	0.0	1

New Orleans Saints

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Drew Brees	23/34	299	1	0	2	8.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Mark Ingram	18	90	5.0	2	3.9
Tim Hightower	8	29	3.6	0	0.4
John Kuhn	1	3	3.0	0	0.5
Drew Brees	4	1	0.3	0	-2.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Michael Thomas	6	8	98	0	24%	4.2
Brandin Cooks	5	9	98	0	26%	1.9
Coby Fleener	2	3	30	0	9%	2.0
Willie Snead	2	5	21	0	15%	0.0
Travaris Cadet	2	2	16	1	6%	2.4
John Phillips	2	2	15	0	6%	0.7
Tim Hightower	1	1	11	0	3%	0.6
John Kuhn	1	1	7	0	3%	0.2
Mark Ingram	2	3	3	0	9%	-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Sterling Moore	3	3	0.0	0	0
Jairus Byrd	3	3	0.0	2	2
Dannell Ellerbe	5	1	0.0	0	0
Roman Harper	4	1	0.0	0	0
Vonn Bell	4	1	0.0	0	0
Craig Robertson	3	1	0.0	0	0
Kasim Edebali	1	2	0.0	0	0
Sheldon Rankins	3	0	1.0	0	0
Nick Fairley	1	1	0.0	0	0
Cameron Jordan	2	0	1.0	0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: NO -3
Closing total: 53
TB moneyline: +153
NO moneyline: -170

Saints closed -3 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 53; the game landed 55 — over by 2.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Roof / surface: dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Jerome Boger
Rest: TB 6 days · NO 6 days
Coaches: Dirk Koetter vs Sean Payton

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.