2016 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 1, 2017 · MetLife Stadium

Buffalo Bills

New York JetsWinner

BUF -3.5 upsetU 43 ✓Bills closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

New York Jets 30–10 — never really in doubt late.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYJ

Ryan FitzpatrickQB

20/30, 210 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

5.3 expected points added · +6.2% completion over expected

Passing · BUF

Cardale JonesQB

6/11, 96 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-8.0 expected points added · -10.1% completion over expected

Rushing · NYJ

Bilal PowellRB

22 att, 122 yds, 0 TD

-6.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

Mike GillisleeRB

15 att, 40 yds, 1 TD

-1.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYJ

Quincy EnunwaWR

5/8 for 81 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 2.7 expected points added

Receiving · BUF

Robert WoodsWR

4/5 for 43 yds, 0 TD

16% of team targets · 4.5 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Cardale Jones	6/11	96	0	1	1	-8.0
EJ Manuel	9/20	86	0	0	2	-6.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Mike Gillislee	15	40	2.7	1	-1.8
Jonathan Williams	4	11	2.8	0	-5.7
LeSean McCoy	5	10	2.0	0	-2.0
EJ Manuel	2	8	4.0	0	-0.1
Jerome Felton	1	0	0.0	0	-0.4
Cardale Jones	1	-1	-1.0	0	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Justin Hunter	1	2	64	6%	-2.2
Robert Woods	4	5	43	16%	4.5
Sammy Watkins	4	9	31	29%	-5.5
Charles Clay	3	7	20	23%	-2.0
Mike Gillislee	1	1	10	3%	0.9
Marquise Goodwin	1	5	8	16%	-3.1
LeSean McCoy	1	1	6	3%	1.1
Brandon Tate	0	1	0	3%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Preston Brown	5	9	0.0	0
Zach Brown	4	7	0.0	1
Corey Graham	6	1	0.0	0
Leger Douzable	3	3	0.0	0
Marcell Dareus	2	2	0.0	0
Lorenzo Alexander	4	0	1.0	0
Ronald Darby	4	0	0.0	0
Nickell Robey	3	0	0.0	1
Corey White	2	0	0.0	0
Marcus Roberson	2	0	0.0	1

New York Jets

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ryan Fitzpatrick	20/30	210	2	0	1	5.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Bilal Powell	22	122	5.5	-6.6
Brandon Wilds	4	9	2.3	-1.5
Ryan Fitzpatrick	2	0	0.0	-1.2
Brandon Burks	2	-4	-2.0	-2.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Quincy Enunwa	5	8	81	0	27%	2.7
Robbie Chosen	4	7	43	0	23%	0.6
Jalin Marshall	3	4	22	1	13%	2.1
Charone Peake	2	5	22	0	17%	-1.1
Brandon Wilds	2	2	20	0	7%	0.9
Bilal Powell	3	3	15	1	10%	1.5
Brandon Bostick	1	1	7	0	3%	-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
David Harris	5	3	0.0	0
Darron Lee	5	2	0.0	0
Sheldon Richardson	3	3	0.0	1
Muhammad Wilkerson	1	3	1.0	0
Buster Skrine	4	0	0.0	2
Freddie Bishop	3	0	0.0	1
Jordan Jenkins	3	0	1.0	0
Deon Simon	3	0	1.0	0
Bruce Carter	1	2	0.0	1
Calvin Pryor	1	1	0.0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: BUF -3.5
Closing total: 43
BUF moneyline: -190
NYJ moneyline: +171

Bills closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 43; the game landed 40 — under by 3.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 42°F, wind 11 mph
Referee: Jeff Triplette
Rest: BUF 8 days · NYJ 8 days
Coaches: Anthony Lynn vs Todd Bowles

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.