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2016 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 1, 2017 · Raymond James Stadium

Carolina Panthers

16

Tampa Bay BuccaneersWinner

17

TB -3.5 no coverU 44.5 ✓

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17–16 — decided on the final possessions.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CAR

Cam NewtonQB

18/32, 237 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT

-6.4 expected points added · -2.5% completion over expected

Passing · TB

Jameis WinstonQB

20/35, 202 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-10.8 expected points added · -4.7% completion over expected

Rushing · TB

Jacquizz RodgersRB

17 att, 75 yds, 0 TD

-1.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CAR

Jonathan StewartRB

20 att, 65 yds, 1 TD

-3.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · TB

Adam HumphriesWR

10/13 for 94 yds, 0 TD

37% of team targets · -1.9 expected points added

Receiving · CAR

Kelvin BenjaminWR

6/7 for 93 yds, 1 TD

23% of team targets · 8.2 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Carolina Panthers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Cam Newton18/32237133-6.4

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jonathan Stewart20653.31-3.0
Ted Ginn22412.001.7
Mike Tolbert3248.000.9
Fozzy Whittaker492.30-2.0
Cam Newton362.00-0.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Kelvin Benjamin6793123%8.2
Ted Ginn4769023%-3.2
Greg Olsen3422013%-3.5
Corey Brown2320010%0.7
Damiere Byrd111603%1.1
Brenton Bersin1510016%-1.2
Jonathan Stewart12706%-0.4
Mike Tolbert01003%-0.4
Ed Dickson01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Michael Griffin700.000
Kurt Coleman610.001
James Bradberry600.012
Shaq Thompson310.001
David Mayo310.000
Kyle Love210.000
Kawann Short200.001
Daryl Worley200.001
Thomas Davis200.000
Ed Dickson200.000

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jameis Winston20/35202113-10.8

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Jacquizz Rodgers17754.40-1.6
Peyton Barber5193.80-0.2
Jameis Winston3186.000.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Adam Humphries101394037%-1.9
Mike Evans51165131%1.7
Russell Shepard2729020%-2.7
Freddie Martino11903%1.5
Jacquizz Rodgers11403%-0.1
Luke Stocker11103%-0.5
Alan Cross01003%-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Keith Tandy820.022
Kwon Alexander440.001
Lavonte David512.000
Vernon Hargreaves410.000
Bradley McDougald410.000
Brent Grimes310.014
Noah Spence210.000
Gerald McCoy210.000
DaVonte Lambert110.000
Clinton McDonald110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
TB -3.5
Closing total
44.5
CAR moneyline
+171
TB moneyline
-190

Buccaneers closed -3.5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 33 — under by 11.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Raymond James Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
81°F, wind 6 mph
Referee
Carl Cheffers
Rest
CAR 8 days · TB 8 days
Coaches
Ron Rivera vs Dirk Koetter

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.