2016 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 1, 2017 · Hard Rock Stadium
New England PatriotsWinner
35
at
Miami Dolphins
14
NE -7.5 ✓O 47 ✓15 mph wind
New England Patriots 35–14 — never really in doubt late. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · NE
25/33, 276 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
15.3 expected points added · +6.3% completion over expected
Passing · MIA
24/34, 205 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
5.5 expected points added · +3.2% completion over expected
Full stat lines
Box score
New England Patriots
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 25/33 | 276 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15.3 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeGarrette Blount | 14 | 51 | 3.6 | 1 | 1.1 |
| Dion Lewis | 11 | 48 | 4.4 | 0 | 2.1 |
| James White | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Tom Brady | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 1.4 |
| Julian Edelman | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Edelman | 8 | 13 | 151 | 1 | 38% | 9.6 |
| Michael Floyd | 3 | 4 | 36 | 1 | 12% | 3.9 |
| Martellus Bennett | 3 | 5 | 33 | 1 | 15% | 2.0 |
| Chris Hogan | 4 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 12% | 1.3 |
| James White | 4 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 12% | 0.1 |
| Dion Lewis | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6% | -0.8 |
| Matt Lengel | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6% | -0.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin McCourty | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Ryan | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Malcolm Butler | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elandon Roberts | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey Flowers | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shea McClellin | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malcom Brown | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rob Ninkovich | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Patrick Chung | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Van Noy | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Miami Dolphins
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Moore | 24/34 | 205 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5.5 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Ajayi | 16 | 59 | 3.7 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Kenyan Drake | 4 | 10 | 2.5 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Damien Williams | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Jakeem Grant | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Landry | 9 | 12 | 76 | 1 | 35% | 4.5 |
| DeVante Parker | 5 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 18% | 2.2 |
| Kenny Stills | 4 | 7 | 41 | 1 | 21% | 1.9 |
| Damien Williams | 3 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 15% | -8.9 |
| Jay Ajayi | 3 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 9% | 0.6 |
| Dion Sims | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -2.8 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bacarri Rambo | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Lippett | 1 | 6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Spencer Paysinger | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kiko Alonso | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bobby McCain | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Neville Hewitt | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ndamukong Suh | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Michael Thomas | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrence Fede | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavien Howard | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NE -7.5
- Closing total
- 47
- NE moneyline
- -372
- MIA moneyline
- +323
Patriots closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 21.
Total closed 47; the game landed 49 — over by 2.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 80°F, wind 15 mph
- Referee
- John Parry
- Rest
- NE 8 days · MIA 8 days
- Coaches
- Bill Belichick vs Adam Gase
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.