2017 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 22, 2017 · Hard Rock Stadium
New York Jets
28
Miami DolphinsWinner
31
Miami Dolphins 31–28 — decided on the final possessions. Played in 18 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · NYJ
17/27, 209 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
4.5 expected points added · -1.4% completion over expected
Passing · MIA
13/21, 188 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
4.1 expected points added · +9.4% completion over expected
Full stat lines
Box score
New York Jets
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh McCown | 17/27 | 209 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4.5 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilal Powell | 9 | 43 | 4.8 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Matt Forte | 7 | 41 | 5.9 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Elijah McGuire | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Josh McCown | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Forte | 5 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 19% | 3.6 |
| Bilal Powell | 2 | 2 | 40 | 0 | 8% | 1.7 |
| Robbie Chosen | 3 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 19% | 1.8 |
| Jermaine Kearse | 1 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 15% | -1.5 |
| Eric Tomlinson | 1 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 4% | 1.8 |
| Austin Seferian-Jenkins | 3 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 19% | 3.3 |
| Jeremy Kerley | 2 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 15% | 0.2 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darron Lee | 9 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamal Adams | 5 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Marcus Maye | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Demario Davis | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Martin | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darryl Roberts | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Wilkerson | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Buster Skrine | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Morris Claiborne | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rontez Miles | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Miami Dolphins
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Moore | 13/21 | 188 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4.1 |
| Jay Cutler | 12/16 | 138 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -0.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Ajayi | 23 | 51 | 2.2 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Damien Williams | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.6 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Landry | 7 | 11 | 93 | 1 | 31% | 1.5 |
| Kenny Stills | 6 | 9 | 85 | 2 | 25% | 5.2 |
| Julius Thomas | 3 | 4 | 58 | 0 | 11% | 3.0 |
| Jay Ajayi | 3 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 11% | -0.3 |
| Anthony Fasano | 3 | 4 | 25 | 1 | 11% | -3.6 |
| Leonte Carroo | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 3% | 1.5 |
| Damien Williams | 2 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 8% | 0.1 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reshad Jones | 7 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kiko Alonso | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrence Fede | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Wake | 3 | 1 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Kenyan Drake | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charles Harris | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lawrence Timmons | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rey Maualuga | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nate Allen | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Andre Branch | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- MIA -3
- Closing total
- 40
- NYJ moneyline
- +144
- MIA moneyline
- -160
Dolphins closed -3 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.
Total closed 40; the game landed 59 — over by 19.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 86°F, wind 18 mph
- Referee
- Walt Coleman
- Rest
- NYJ 7 days · MIA 7 days
- Coaches
- Todd Bowles vs Adam Gase
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 18 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.