2017 Wild Card · Sun, Jan 7, 2018 · EverBank Field

Buffalo Bills

Jacksonville JaguarsWinner

JAX -8.5 no coverU 39.5 ✓18 mph windJaguars closed -8.5, won by 7 — but didn't cover.

Jacksonville Jaguars 10–3. Played in 18 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

Pre-2018 game — box score & context only; play-by-play visuals start in 2018

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · BUF

Tyrod TaylorQB

17/37, 134 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-12.2 expected points added · -13.8% completion over expected

Passing · JAX

Blake BortlesQB

12/23, 87 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-8.1 expected points added · -15.5% completion over expected

Rushing · JAX

Blake BortlesQB

10 att, 88 yds, 0 TD

5.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BUF

LeSean McCoyRB

19 att, 75 yds, 0 TD

-1.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · JAX

Dede WestbrookWR

5/8 for 48 yds, 0 TD

36% of team targets · -1.6 expected points added

Receiving · BUF

LeSean McCoyRB

6/8 for 44 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 1.1 expected points added

Full stat lines

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Tyrod Taylor	17/37	134	0	1	2	-12.2
Nathan Peterman	1/3	14	0	1	0	-2.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
LeSean McCoy	19	75	3.9	-1.9
Tyrod Taylor	7	27	3.9	1.5
Mike Tolbert	4	15	3.8	-1.3
Deonte Thompson	1	9	9.0	0.1
Nathan Peterman	1	4	4.0	1.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
LeSean McCoy	6	8	44	23%	1.1
Deonte Thompson	2	6	23	17%	-3.0
Nick O'Leary	2	6	22	17%	-0.2
Zay Jones	2	4	20	11%	0.6
Charles Clay	3	5	15	14%	-0.8
Mike Tolbert	1	1	10	3%	1.8
Kelvin Benjamin	1	2	9	6%	0.3
Logan Thomas	1	2	5	6%	-4.9
Patrick DiMarco	0	1	0	3%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Lorenzo Alexander	6	3	1.0
Ramon Humber	3	3	0.0
Jordan Poyer	3	2	0.0
Preston Brown	3	2	0.0
Eddie Yarbrough	3	2	0.0
Leonard Johnson	4	0	1.0
Micah Hyde	4	0	0.0
Jerry Hughes	1	2	0.0
Colt Anderson	1	1	0.0
Shamarko Thomas	1	1	0.0

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Blake Bortles	12/23	87	1	0	2	-8.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Blake Bortles	10	88	8.8	5.8
Leonard Fournette	21	57	2.7	-5.1
Marqise Lee	1	5	5.0	0.1
Corey Grant	1	3	3.0	-0.6
Chris Ivory	1	2	2.0	-0.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Dede Westbrook	5	8	48	0	36%	-1.6
Leonard Fournette	3	5	21	0	23%	-2.2
Marcedes Lewis	3	3	17	0	14%	-0.2
Ben Koyack	1	1	1	1	5%	2.5
Marqise Lee	0	1	0	0	5%	-0.2
Chris Ivory	0	1	0	0	5%	-1.5
Tommy Bohanon	0	1	0	0	5%	-0.7
Keelan Cole	0	1	0	0	5%	-0.3
Allen Hurns	0	1	0	0	5%	-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Telvin Smith	9	2	0.0	0	0
Calais Campbell	3	3	0.0	0	0
Myles Jack	5	1	1.0	0	2
Barry Church	4	1	0.0	0	0
Tashaun Gipson	5	0	0.0	0	0
Blair Brown	2	3	0.0	0	0
A.J. Bouye	4	1	0.0	0	1
Marcell Dareus	3	1	0.0	0	0
Abry Jones	2	0	0.0	0	0
Jalen Ramsey	2	0	0.0	1	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: JAX -8.5
Closing total: 39.5
BUF moneyline: +346
JAX moneyline: -400

Jaguars closed -8.5, won by 7 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 39.5; the game landed 13 — under by 26.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: EverBank Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 53°F, wind 18 mph
Referee: John Hussey
Rest: BUF 7 days · JAX 7 days
Coaches: Sean McDermott vs Doug Marrone

Wind at 18 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.