2018 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 9, 2018 · MetLife Stadium

Jacksonville JaguarsWinner

New York Giants

JAX -2.5 ✓U 43 ✓Jaguars closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 5.

Jacksonville Jaguars 20–15. Biggest swing: Q4 11:35, JAX +19% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 11:35JAX — NYG NYG ball · 2nd & 7JAX 73%

(11:35) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right intended for 26-S.Barkley INTERCEPTED by 44-M.Jack (95-A.Jones) at NYG 32. 44-M.Jack for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 11:35JAX +19% win prob(11:35) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right intended for 26-S.Barkley INTERCEPTED by 44-M.Jack (95-A.Jones) at NYG 32. 44-M.Jack for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 1:55JAX +16% win prob(1:55) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass incomplete deep right to 87-S.Shepard (25-D.Hayden).
Q4 · 10:51NYG +13% win prob(10:51) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley right tackle for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 3:21NYG +10% win prob(3:21) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep middle to 13-O.Beckham to JAX 40 for 19 yards (42-B.Church).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Jaguars	Giants
Offensive plays	60	63
Total yards	307	324 (edge)
Yards per play	5.1	5.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.05 (edge)	-0.24
Success rate	40% (edge)	30%
Dropback rate	58%	63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.13 (edge)	-0.31
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.07 (edge)	-0.12
Third downs	4/13	4/13
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	17 (edge)	12
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	2
Turnovers	1	1

Jaguars won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.05 expected points added per play vs -0.24.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Eli ManningQB

23/37, 224 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-11.8 expected points added · -4.6% completion over expected

Passing · JAX

Blake BortlesQB

18/33, 176 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-4.3 expected points added · -12.0% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

18 att, 106 yds, 1 TD

-0.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · JAX

T.J. YeldonRB

14 att, 51 yds, 0 TD

-1.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Odell BeckhamWR

11/15 for 111 yds, 0 TD

42% of team targets · 0.7 expected points added

Receiving · JAX

Keelan ColeWR

3/4 for 54 yds, 0 TD

12% of team targets · 1.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	JAX	JAX 20	12	59	4:48	Turnover on downs
2	NYG	NYG 14	5	13	3:08	Punt
3	JAX	JAX 35	3	3	1:24	Interception
4	NYG	NYG 37	9	54	5:17	Turnover on downs
5	JAX	JAX 25	16	65	8:04	Turnover on downs
6	NYG	NYG 25	5	11	2:01	Punt
7	JAX	JAX 43	6	57	2:36	Touchdown
8	NYG	NYG 25	11	17	2:38	Turnover on downs
9	JAX	—	1	0	0:04	End of half
10	NYG	NYG 25	12	38	5:42	Turnover on downs
11	JAX	JAX 25	5	6	1:36	Punt
12	NYG	JAX 46	4	9	1:28	Turnover on downs
13	JAX	JAX 37	5	20	1:16	Punt
14	NYG	NYG 11	6	14	1:33	Punt
15	JAX	JAX 8	6	53	2:09	Punt
16	NYG	NYG 15	7	36	2:30	Punt
17	JAX	JAX 20	5	17	1:33	Punt
18	NYG	NYG 27	2	3	0:49	Defensive touchdown
19	NYG	NYG 25	4	75	0:45	Touchdown
20	JAX	JAX 25	5	9	1:31	Punt
21	NYG	NYG 26	4	9	2:17	Punt
22	JAX	JAX 25	7	14	2:41	Punt
23	NYG	NYG 19	7	45	2:21	Turnover on downs
24	JAX	JAX 36	4	4	1:04	Punt
25	JAX	NYG 21	2	0	0:45	End of game

0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 75 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Blake Bortles	18/33	176	1	1	1	-4.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
T.J. Yeldon	14	51	3.6	-1.9
Blake Bortles	4	42	10.5	0.1
Leonard Fournette	9	41	4.6	0.6
Corey Grant	1	3	3.0	-0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Keelan Cole	3	4	54	0	12%	1.6
Dede Westbrook	5	6	51	0	18%	3.7
Austin Seferian-Jenkins	3	5	25	0	15%	-0.8
T.J. Yeldon	3	7	18	1	21%	-0.9
Leonard Fournette	3	3	14	0	9%	1.4
Donte Moncrief	1	5	14	0	15%	-5.9
James O'Shaughnessy	0	2	0	0	6%	-1.3
Niles Paul	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Myles Jack	5	3	1	1
Telvin Smith	3	2	0	0
Jalen Ramsey	4	1	0	0
Barry Church	5	0	0	1
A.J. Bouye	2	2	0	0
Marcell Dareus	2	2	0	0
Malik Jackson	1	3	0	0
D.J. Hayden	2	1	0	1
Tashaun Gipson	2	1	0	1
Abry Jones	1	1	0	2

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Eli Manning	23/37	224	0	1	2	-11.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	18	106	5.9	1	-0.4
Jonathan Stewart	2	8	4.0	0	-0.2
Eli Manning	1	2	2.0	0	-0.4
Odell Beckham	1	-1	-1.0	0	-1.3
Wayne Gallman	1	-1	-1.0	0	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Odell Beckham	11	15	111	42%	0.7
Sterling Shepard	5	7	48	19%	0.6
Saquon Barkley	2	6	22	17%	-8.0
Evan Engram	2	5	18	14%	-3.2
Rhett Ellison	1	1	16	3%	0.4
Wayne Gallman	2	2	9	6%	0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Janoris Jenkins	4	2	0.0	1	2
Alec Ogletree	2	4	0.0	0	1
Curtis Riley	5	1	0.0	0	0
Landon Collins	4	1	0.0	0	1
B.J. Hill	1	3	0.0	0	0
Ray-Ray Armstrong	1	2	0.0	0	0
B.W. Webb	2	1	0.0	0	0
Kerry Wynn	2	1	0.5	0	0
Eli Apple	3	0	0.0	0	2
Dalvin Tomlinson	1	2	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: JAX -2.5
Closing total: 43
JAX moneyline: -141
NYG moneyline: +127

Jaguars closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 43; the game landed 35 — under by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 59°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Craig Wrolstad
Rest: JAX 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches: Doug Marrone vs Pat Shurmur