2018 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 16, 2018 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Arizona Cardinals

Los Angeles RamsWinner

LA -13.5 ✓U 43.5 ✓Rams closed -13.5 and covered, winning by 34.

Los Angeles Rams 34–0 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 2:41, LA +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 2:41ARI — LA LA ball · 4th & 5LA 76%

(2:41) 6-J.Hekker punts 42 yards to ARI 7, Center-44-J.McQuaide, downed by LA-83-J.Reynolds.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 2:41LA +8% win prob(2:41) 6-J.Hekker punts 42 yards to ARI 7, Center-44-J.McQuaide, downed by LA-83-J.Reynolds.
Q1 · 2:51ARI +6% win prob(2:51) (Run formation) PENALTY on LA-76-R.Saffold, False Start, 4 yards, enforced at ARI 45 - No Play.
Q1 · 8:53LA +5% win prob(8:53) 75-B.Clausell reported in as eligible. 31-D.Johnson left tackle to ARI 37 for 4 yards (43-J.Johnson).
Q1 · 5:57LA +5% win prob(5:57) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 12-B.Cooks to LA 24 for 13 yards (28-J.Taylor).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cardinals	Rams
Offensive plays	43	70
Total yards	137	438 (edge)
Yards per play	3.2	6.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.39	0.20 (edge)
Success rate	26%	54% (edge)
Dropback rate	65%	50%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.47	0.46 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.25	-0.07 (edge)
Third downs	3/12	8/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	0	9 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	5	25 (edge)
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	2
Turnovers	1	1

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.20 expected points added per play vs -0.39.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Jared GoffQB

24/32, 354 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

16.0 expected points added · +13.3% completion over expected

Passing · ARI

Sam BradfordQB

17/27, 90 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-13.1 expected points added · -6.9% completion over expected

Rushing · ARI

David JohnsonRB

13 att, 48 yds, 0 TD

-3.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Malcolm BrownRB

12 att, 46 yds, 0 TD

-0.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Brandin CooksWR

7/9 for 159 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 8.2 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Robert WoodsWR

6/9 for 81 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 4.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LA	LA 20	9	15	3:35	Punt
2	ARI	ARI 20	7	30	4:07	Punt
3	LA	LA 12	8	43	4:46	Punt
4	ARI	ARI 7	4	9	1:44	Punt
5	LA	LA 41	5	61	1:19	Touchdown
6	ARI	ARI 25	5	-3	1:37	Punt
7	LA	LA 46	11	52	4:45	Turnover on downs
8	ARI	ARI 25	8	24	3:49	Punt
9	LA	ARI 32	9	42	4:18	Touchdown
10	ARI	ARI 31	5	9	2:21	Punt
11	LA	LA 21	4	58	1:33	Interception
12	ARI	ARI 2	7	22	5:17	Punt
13	LA	LA 44	6	48	2:10	Touchdown
14	ARI	ARI 18	5	0	1:16	Punt
15	LA	LA 41	7	44	4:13	Turnover on downs
16	ARI	ARI 15	4	9	1:29	Punt
17	LA	LA 23	8	50	3:44	Turnover on downs
18	ARI	ARI 27	2	2	0:55	Interception
19	LA	ARI 25	8	25	3:45	Touchdown
20	ARI	ARI 20	9	35	3:17	End of game

0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 61 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Sam Bradford	17/27	90	0	1	1	-13.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
David Johnson	13	48	3.7	-3.5
Chase Edmonds	1	5	5.0	0.1
Derrick Coleman	1	1	1.0	-0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Larry Fitzgerald	3	5	28	19%	2.1
Christian Kirk	4	5	27	19%	0.1
Ricky Seals-Jones	4	6	17	22%	-4.0
Chase Edmonds	5	5	15	19%	-0.9
David Johnson	1	2	3	7%	-0.8
J.J. Nelson	0	1	0	4%	-0.8
Chad Williams	0	3	0	11%	-6.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Antoine Bethea	7	1	0.0	0	0
Patrick Peterson	6	2	0.0	1	1
Benson Mayowa	5	1	2.0	0	0
Tre Boston	4	2	0.0	0	0
Budda Baker	4	2	0.0	0	0
Gerald Hodges	5	0	0.0	0	0
Jamar Taylor	5	0	0.0	0	0
Robert Nkemdiche	2	3	0.0	0	0
Corey Peters	1	3	0.0	0	0
Josh Bynes	2	2	0.0	0	1

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	24/32	354	1	1	2	16.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Malcolm Brown	12	46	3.8	0	-0.6
Todd Gurley	19	42	2.2	3	1.8
Jared Goff	2	2	1.0	0	-3.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Brandin Cooks	7	9	159	0	29%	8.2
Robert Woods	6	9	81	0	29%	4.2
Cooper Kupp	6	6	63	0	19%	5.5
Todd Gurley	3	3	31	0	10%	1.6
Gerald Everett	1	1	17	0	3%	1.5
Tyler Higbee	1	2	3	1	6%	0.8
Malcolm Brown	0	1	0	0	3%	0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
John Johnson	6	1	1
Marqui Christian	3	1	0
Nickell Robey	3	1	0
Aaron Donald	1	3	0
Ramik Wilson	2	1	0
Bryce Hager	3	0	0
Cory Littleton	2	0	0
John Franklin-Myers	2	0	0
Dominique Easley	1	0	0
Isaiah Johnson	1	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -13.5
Closing total: 43.5
ARI moneyline: +621
LA moneyline: -775

Rams closed -13.5 and covered, winning by 34.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 34 — under by 9.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 86°F, wind 2 mph
Referee: Craig Wrolstad
Rest: ARI 7 days · LA 6 days
Coaches: Steve Wilks vs Sean McVay

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.