2018 Week 2 · Mon, Sep 17, 2018 · Soldier Field

Seattle Seahawks

Chicago BearsWinner

CHI -5 ✓U 42.5 ✓Bears closed -5 and covered, winning by 7.

Chicago Bears 24–17. Biggest swing: Q4 6:47, SEA +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 6:47SEA — CHI SEA ball · 2nd & 9CHI 83%

(6:47) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left intended for 20-R.Penny INTERCEPTED by 20-P.Amukamara at SEA 49. 20-P.Amukamara for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 6:47SEA +14% win prob(6:47) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left intended for 20-R.Penny INTERCEPTED by 20-P.Amukamara at SEA 49. 20-P.Amukamara for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 10:19CHI +7% win prob(10:19) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 16-T.Lockett for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 6:50CHI +7% win prob(6:50) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky scrambles up the middle to SEA 33 for 17 yards (51-B.Mingo).
Q2 · 9:05SEA +6% win prob(9:05) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short right intended for 12-A.Robinson II INTERCEPTED by 26-LA.Griffin (30-B.McDougald) at SEA 49. 26-LA.Griffin to CHI 43 for 8 yards (65-C.Whitehair).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Seahawks	Bears
Offensive plays	61	62
Total yards	276 (edge)	273
Yards per play	4.5 (edge)	4.4
Expected points added / play	-0.20	-0.09 (edge)
Success rate	44%	47% (edge)
Dropback rate	69%	63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.24	-0.02 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.12 (edge)	-0.20
Third downs	5/12	5/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3 (edge)	1
First downs gained on snaps	16	18 (edge)
Sacks taken	6	2 (edge)
Turnovers	2	2

Bears won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.20.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Russell WilsonQB

22/36, 226 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-11.3 expected points added · +0.7% completion over expected

Passing · CHI

Mitchell TrubiskyQB

25/34, 200 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

-2.1 expected points added · +3.4% completion over expected

Rushing · CHI

Jordan HowardRB

14 att, 35 yds, 0 TD

-3.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Rashaad PennyRB

10 att, 30 yds, 0 TD

-1.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CHI

Allen RobinsonWR

10/14 for 83 yds, 0 TD

41% of team targets · -1.4 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

Tyler LockettWR

5/7 for 60 yds, 1 TD

21% of team targets · 4.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	SEA	SEA 25	10	31	4:25	Punt
2	CHI	CHI 4	11	73	5:40	Touchdown
3	SEA	SEA 25	6	14	1:40	Punt
4	CHI	CHI 39	8	16	4:00	Punt
5	SEA	SEA 13	4	5	2:16	Punt
6	CHI	CHI 38	1	0	0:08	Interception
7	SEA	SEA 24	4	3	1:06	Punt
8	CHI	CHI 33	5	21	1:51	Interception
9	SEA	CHI 43	4	-11	2:21	Punt
10	CHI	CHI 49	12	44	5:26	Turnover on downs
11	SEA	SEA 25	9	37	1:07	Turnover on downs
12	CHI	CHI 25	6	11	3:24	Punt
13	SEA	SEA 31	4	2	0:57	Punt
14	CHI	CHI 23	8	27	4:03	Punt
15	SEA	SEA 8	4	-1	1:06	Punt
16	CHI	CHI 34	12	66	6:15	Touchdown
17	SEA	SEA 25	12	70	4:02	Touchdown
18	CHI	CHI 15	5	12	1:36	Punt
19	SEA	SEA 35	4	11	2:00	Defensive touchdown
20	SEA	SEA 25	6	16	2:08	Fumble
21	CHI	SEA 41	4	3	1:47	Punt
22	SEA	SEA 1	12	99	2:28	Touchdown
23	CHI	SEA 49	2	0	0:14	End of game

0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 99 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Russell Wilson	22/36	226	2	1	6	-11.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Rashaad Penny	10	30	3.0	-1.8
Chris Carson	6	24	4.0	0.1
Russell Wilson	3	17	5.7	0.4
Mike Davis	3	3	1.0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Lockett	5	7	60	1	21%	4.2
Brandon Marshall	4	6	44	0	18%	-0.6
Will Dissly	3	5	42	1	15%	2.2
Jaron Brown	3	3	36	0	9%	4.3
Nick Vannett	3	5	23	0	15%	-0.2
C.J. Prosise	3	3	22	0	9%	0.7
Rashaad Penny	0	2	0	0	6%	-9.5
Chris Carson	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.6
Mike Davis	1	1	-1	0	3%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Austin Calitro	6	3	0.0	0	1
Bradley McDougald	8	0	0.0	0	1
Earl Thomas	4	2	0.0	0	0
Akeem King	5	1	0.0	0	0
Barkevious Mingo	3	1	0.0	0	0
Shaquill Griffin	4	0	0.0	2	3
Mychal Kendricks	3	0	1.0	0	1
Justin Coleman	2	1	0.0	0	1
Frank Clark	3	0	1.0	0	0
Rasheem Green	2	0	0.0	0	0

Chicago Bears

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Mitchell Trubisky	25/34	200	2	2	2	-2.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Jordan Howard	14	35	2.5	-3.1
Mitchell Trubisky	5	24	4.8	-1.2
Taylor Gabriel	3	17	5.7	0.9
Tarik Cohen	4	8	2.0	-0.6
Trey Burton	1	2	2.0	0.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Allen Robinson	10	14	83	0	41%	-1.4
Jordan Howard	3	4	33	0	12%	-1.1
Taylor Gabriel	4	7	30	0	21%	-0.1
Trey Burton	4	4	20	1	12%	1.5
Tarik Cohen	1	1	17	0	3%	1.6
Anthony Miller	2	3	11	1	9%	0.4
Josh Bellamy	1	1	6	0	3%	0.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Danny Trevathan	6	2	2.0	0	0
Roquan Smith	7	0	0.0	0	1
Khalil Mack	3	1	1.0	0	0
Adrian Amos	3	1	0.0	0	0
Prince Amukamara	4	0	0.0	1	2
Roy Robertson-Harris	2	1	0.0	0	0
Eddie Jackson	3	0	1.0	0	1
Akiem Hicks	2	1	0.0	0	0
Leonard Floyd	3	0	0.0	0	1
Kyle Fuller	2	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CHI -5
Closing total: 42.5
SEA moneyline: +206
CHI moneyline: -231

Bears closed -5 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 41 — under by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Soldier Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 79°F, wind 2 mph
Referee: Walt Coleman
Rest: SEA 8 days · CHI 8 days
Coaches: Pete Carroll vs Matt Nagy