2018 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 23, 2018 · CenturyLink Field

Dallas Cowboys

Seattle SeahawksWinner

SEA -1 ✓U 40 ✓Seahawks closed -1 and covered, winning by 11.

Seattle Seahawks 24–13. Biggest swing: Q2 2:00, SEA +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 2:00DAL — SEA SEA ball · 3rd & 9SEA 73%

(2:00) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 16-T.Lockett for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 2:00SEA +15% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 16-T.Lockett for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 9:51SEA +8% win prob(9:51) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 32-C.Carson pushed ob at DAL 16 for 19 yards (38-J.Heath).
Q1 · 5:37DAL +8% win prob(5:37) 4-D.Prescott pass incomplete short middle to 13-M.Gallup (37-T.Flowers). Seattle challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 4-D.Prescott pass short middle intended for 13-M.Gallup INTERCEPTED by 29-E.Thomas (37-T.Flowers) at SEA 49. 29-E.Thomas, dead ball declared at SEA 49 for no gain.
Q1 · 2:58SEA +8% win prob(2:58) 6-C.Jones punts 62 yards to SEA 23, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, out of bounds. PENALTY on SEA-18-J.Brown, Running Into the Kicker, 5 yards, enforced at DAL 15 - No Play.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cowboys	Seahawks
Offensive plays	58	66
Total yards	303 (edge)	296
Yards per play	5.2 (edge)	4.5
Expected points added / play	-0.23	0.02 (edge)
Success rate	36% (edge)	33%
Dropback rate	69%	42%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.32	0.29 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.04 (edge)	-0.18
Third downs	3/13	7/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	16	16
Sacks taken	5	2 (edge)
Turnovers	3	0 (edge)

Cowboys outgained Seahawks 303–296 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Russell WilsonQB

16/26, 192 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

8.0 expected points added · +1.9% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

19/34, 168 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-13.2 expected points added · -12.4% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

16 att, 127 yds, 0 TD

-2.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Chris CarsonRB

32 att, 102 yds, 1 TD

-4.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

Tyler LockettWR

4/6 for 77 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 10.4 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Geoff SwaimTE

5/7 for 47 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · -1.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 34	5	3	2:28	Punt
2	SEA	SEA 7	11	39	5:44	Punt
3	DAL	DAL 15	3	25	1:15	Interception
4	SEA	SEA 49	4	6	1:08	Punt
5	DAL	DAL 7	7	9	2:43	Punt
6	SEA	SEA 31	4	4	1:42	Punt
7	DAL	DAL 20	4	1	1:40	Punt
8	SEA	SEA 36	11	64	3:52	Touchdown
9	DAL	DAL 21	9	53	4:02	Turnover on downs
10	SEA	SEA 25	9	75	3:34	Touchdown
11	DAL	DAL 25	5	1	1:03	Punt
12	SEA	SEA 42	6	14	0:49	Turnover on downs
13	SEA	SEA 16	5	4	1:35	Punt
14	DAL	DAL 11	4	8	2:19	Punt
15	SEA	SEA 38	4	-7	2:06	Punt
16	DAL	DAL 29	9	54	5:17	Turnover on downs
17	SEA	SEA 28	12	71	5:49	Touchdown
18	DAL	DAL 30	6	46	2:08	Fumble
19	SEA	SEA 13	4	6	2:03	Punt
20	DAL	DAL 43	6	49	1:32	Touchdown
21	SEA	SEA 25	5	6	1:41	Punt
22	DAL	DAL 20	8	46	2:21	Interception
23	SEA	SEA 8	7	14	2:04	Punt
24	DAL	SEA 44	4	8	0:28	Turnover on downs
25	SEA	SEA 36	1	0	0:37	End of game

0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 75 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	19/34	168	1	2	5	-13.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	16	127	7.9	-2.8
Dak Prescott	2	21	10.5	1.5
Tavon Austin	1	18	18.0	1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Geoff Swaim	5	7	47	0	21%	-1.8
Cole Beasley	3	5	46	0	15%	5.5
Deonte Thompson	2	2	23	0	6%	1.4
Allen Hurns	2	4	22	0	12%	1.7
Michael Gallup	1	4	17	0	12%	-4.7
Ezekiel Elliott	3	8	11	0	24%	-4.6
Tavon Austin	3	3	2	1	9%	-0.1
Blake Jarwin	0	1	0	0	3%	-4.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Sean Lee	4	6	0.5	0
Leighton Vander Esch	7	2	0.0	0
Jaylon Smith	3	4	1.0	0
Chidobe Awuzie	5	2	0.0	0
Anthony Brown	5	0	0.0	0
Byron Jones	4	0	0.0	2
Antwaun Woods	1	3	0.0	0
Jeff Heath	2	2	0.0	0
Demarcus Lawrence	1	2	0.5	0
Tyrone Crawford	0	3	0.0	1

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Russell Wilson	16/26	192	2	0	2	8.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Chris Carson	32	102	3.2	1	-4.1
Tyler Lockett	1	5	5.0	0	-0.0
Rashaad Penny	3	5	1.7	0	-1.8
Tre Madden	1	2	2.0	0	0.2
Russell Wilson	2	-1	-0.5	0	-1.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Lockett	4	6	77	1	24%	10.4
Brandon Marshall	2	6	30	0	24%	-3.6
Nick Vannett	4	5	27	0	20%	1.4
Jaron Brown	2	2	25	1	8%	3.1
Chris Carson	2	2	22	0	8%	1.6
Mike Davis	1	1	7	0	4%	0.3
Will Dissly	1	3	4	0	12%	-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Bobby Wagner	4	4	0.0	0	2
Tre Flowers	5	1	0.0	0	1
Earl Thomas	5	1	0.0	2	2
Mychal Kendricks	6	0	1.0	0	0
Bradley McDougald	5	0	0.0	0	1
Shaquill Griffin	2	1	0.0	0	0
Justin Coleman	2	0	0.0	0	1
Frank Clark	2	0	1.0	0	0
Jarran Reed	2	0	2.0	0	0
Shalom Luani	2	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SEA -1
Closing total: 40
DAL moneyline: +106
SEA moneyline: -117

Seahawks closed -1 and covered, winning by 11.

Total closed 40; the game landed 37 — under by 3.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: CenturyLink Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 61°F, wind 4 mph
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: DAL 7 days · SEA 6 days
Coaches: Jason Garrett vs Pete Carroll