2018 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 23, 2018 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles RamsWinner

LA -7.5 ✓O 49 ✓Rams closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 12.

Los Angeles Rams 35–23. Biggest swing: Q1 4:50, LA +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 4:50LAC — LA LAC ball · 2nd & 12LA 81%

(4:50) 17-P.Rivers pass deep middle to 81-M.Williams for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 4:50LA +8% win prob(4:50) 17-P.Rivers pass deep middle to 81-M.Williams for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 13:38LAC +7% win prob(13:38) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short right to 13-K.Allen to LA 46 for 10 yards (21-A.Talib). FUMBLES (21-A.Talib), RECOVERED by LA-20-L.Joyner at LA 45. 20-L.Joyner to LA 45 for no gain (13-K.Allen).
Q1 · 14:36LA +7% win prob(14:36) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 17-R.Woods to LA 40 for 13 yards (57-J.Brown).
Q1 · 6:39LA +6% win prob(6:39) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 12-B.Cooks for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the score ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 12-B.Cooks to LAC 1 for 16 yards (26-C.Hayward).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Chargers	Rams
Offensive plays	52	70
Total yards	356	523 (edge)
Yards per play	6.8	7.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.13	0.28 (edge)
Success rate	42%	59% (edge)
Dropback rate	62%	54%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.06	0.46 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.24 (edge)	0.07
Third downs	7/13	8/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	10	12 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	17	30 (edge)
Sacks taken	2	1 (edge)
Turnovers	2	2

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.28 expected points added per play vs 0.13.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Jared GoffQB

29/36, 354 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

21.1 expected points added · +14.3% completion over expected

Passing · LAC

Philip RiversQB

18/30, 226 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

9.2 expected points added · -1.5% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Todd GurleyRB

23 att, 105 yds, 1 TD

1.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Melvin GordonRB

15 att, 80 yds, 1 TD

2.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Robert WoodsWR

10/11 for 104 yds, 2 TD

31% of team targets · 10.2 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Brandin CooksWR

7/8 for 90 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 6.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LA	LA 25	7	31	2:00	Fumble
2	LAC	LAC 24	4	5	0:56	Punt
3	LA	LA 20	12	75	5:50	Touchdown
4	LAC	LAC 40	5	60	1:32	Touchdown
5	LA	LA 25	9	75	3:51	Touchdown
6	LAC	LAC 25	5	4	1:09	Punt
7	LA	LA 28	11	67	4:59	Interception
8	LAC	LAC 1	5	-4	1:59	Defensive touchdown
9	LAC	LAC 25	11	82	4:32	Touchdown
10	LA	LA 17	11	65	3:12	Turnover on downs
11	LAC	LAC 25	5	29	1:31	Fumble
12	LA	LA 45	4	55	0:51	Touchdown
13	LAC	LAC 25	10	75	4:20	Touchdown
14	LA	LA 23	13	82	4:59	Touchdown
15	LAC	LAC 34	14	58	6:30	Turnover on downs
16	LA	LA 10	7	36	4:11	Punt
17	LAC	LAC 40	6	47	3:15	Fumble
18	LA	LA 12	9	37	4:23	End of game

0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 82 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Philip Rivers	18/30	226	2	0	1	9.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Melvin Gordon	15	80	5.3	1	2.6
Austin Ekeler	4	47	11.8	0	1.6
Tyrell Williams	1	14	14.0	0	0.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Mike Williams	4	7	81	2	23%	6.6
Antonio Gates	3	5	45	0	17%	3.6
Keenan Allen	3	7	44	0	23%	-4.3
Austin Ekeler	3	3	24	0	10%	-1.9
Tyrell Williams	2	3	22	0	10%	2.5
Virgil Green	1	1	6	0	3%	0.3
Melvin Gordon	2	4	4	0	13%	-2.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Denzel Perryman	6	4	0.0	0	0
Derwin James	7	2	0.0	1	1
Kyzir White	5	2	0.0	0	0
Jahleel Addae	4	2	0.0	0	0
Casey Hayward	5	0	0.0	0	0
Desmond King	3	2	0.0	0	0
Jatavis Brown	3	1	0.0	0	0
Chris Landrum	3	1	0.0	0	0
Brandon Mebane	4	0	1.0	0	1
Darius Philon	2	1	0.0	0	0

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	29/36	354	3	1	1	21.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Todd Gurley	23	105	4.6	1	1.9
Malcolm Brown	5	42	8.4	0	1.8
Jared Goff	3	14	4.7	0	1.0
Robert Woods	3	13	4.3	0	-0.4
Cooper Kupp	1	-3	-3.0	0	-1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Robert Woods	10	11	104	2	31%	10.2
Brandin Cooks	7	8	90	0	23%	6.5
Cooper Kupp	4	5	71	1	14%	6.4
Todd Gurley	5	6	51	0	17%	-3.7
Tyler Higbee	2	2	35	0	6%	2.7
Gerald Everett	1	2	3	0	6%	-3.2
Malcolm Brown	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Ramik Wilson	6	3	0.0	1
Cory Littleton	4	5	0.0	1
Lamarcus Joyner	2	2	0.0	0
Nickell Robey	2	1	0.0	0
Marqui Christian	3	0	0.0	0
Sam Shields	2	1	0.0	1
John Johnson	1	2	0.0	0
Ndamukong Suh	1	1	1.0	1
Ethan Westbrooks	1	0	1.0	0
Dominique Easley	1	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -7.5
Closing total: 49
LAC moneyline: +254
LA moneyline: -288

Rams closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 12.

Total closed 49; the game landed 58 — over by 9.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 80°F, wind 5 mph
Referee: John Hussey
Rest: LAC 7 days · LA 7 days
Coaches: Anthony Lynn vs Sean McVay