2018 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 23, 2018 · Hard Rock Stadium

Oakland Raiders

Miami DolphinsWinner

MIA -3 ✓O 46 ✓90°FDolphins closed -3 and covered, winning by 8.

Miami Dolphins 28–20. Biggest swing: Q4 2:59, OAK +32% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 2:59OAK — MIA LV ball · 1st & 10MIA 50%

(2:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left intended for 12-M.Bryant INTERCEPTED by 25-X.Howard [91-C.Wake] at MIA -9. Touchback.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 2:59OAK +32% win prob(2:59) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left intended for 12-M.Bryant INTERCEPTED by 25-X.Howard [91-C.Wake] at MIA -9. Touchback.
Q4 · 7:30MIA +24% win prob(7:30) 15-A.Wilson pass deep right to 19-J.Grant for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The play was an end around
Q2 · 12:17MIA +18% win prob(12:17) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep left to 10-K.Stills for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN [99-A.Key].
Q1 · 14:56MIA +14% win prob(14:56) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 82-J.Nelson pushed ob at MIA 14 for 61 yards (55-J.Baker) [93-A.Spence].

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · MIA

Ryan TannehillQB

17/23, 289 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

11.7 expected points added · +7.4% completion over expected

Rushing · MIA

Frank GoreRB

6 att, 12 yds, 0 TD

-2.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIA

Kenyan DrakeRB

5 att, 3 yds, 0 TD

-3.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIA

Jakeem GrantWR

2/3 for 70 yds, 2 TD

13% of team targets · 5.7 expected points added

Receiving · MIA

Kenny StillsWR

3/5 for 61 yds, 1 TD

21% of team targets · 4.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LV	LV 25	6	75	1:26	Touchdown
2	MIA	MIA 28	5	4	1:44	Punt
3	LV	LV 4	9	97	4:58	Turnover on downs
4	MIA	MIA 1	8	31	4:37	Punt
5	LV	LV 41	1	0	0:17	Interception
6	MIA	MIA 43	4	4	1:54	Punt
7	LV	LV 2	4	0	1:22	Punt
8	MIA	LV 35	4	35	1:31	Touchdown
9	LV	LV 25	17	58	8:37	Turnover on downs
10	MIA	MIA 24	8	52	2:42	Punt
11	LV	LV 10	2	0	0:52	End of half
12	MIA	MIA 23	5	9	2:18	Punt
13	LV	LV 33	16	72	9:44	Touchdown
14	MIA	MIA 30	6	70	2:03	Touchdown
15	LV	LV 25	5	6	0:55	Punt
16	MIA	MIA 15	6	19	2:38	Punt
17	LV	LV 17	9	28	4:16	Punt
18	MIA	MIA 30	3	70	0:48	Touchdown
19	LV	LV 10	10	59	4:24	Interception
20	MIA	MIA 20	3	80	0:54	Touchdown
21	LV	LV 25	7	41	1:40	Turnover on downs
22	MIA	LV 42	2	0	0:20	End of game

0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Raiders gained 97 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a turnover on downs.

Full stat lines

Box score

Oakland Raiders

Miami Dolphins

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ryan Tannehill	17/23	289	3	0	1	11.7
Albert Wilson	1/1	52	1	0	0	4.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Ryan Tannehill	3	26	8.7	1.5
Frank Gore	6	12	2.0	-2.4
Kenyan Drake	5	3	0.6	-3.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Albert Wilson	2	2	74	1	8%	5.3
Jakeem Grant	2	3	70	2	13%	5.7
Kenny Stills	3	5	61	1	21%	4.1
Danny Amendola	3	3	42	0	13%	2.5
DeVante Parker	2	3	40	0	13%	0.9
Mike Gesicki	3	3	31	0	13%	1.5
A.J. Derby	1	1	16	0	4%	0.7
Kenyan Drake	2	4	7	0	17%	-3.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Kiko Alonso	4	8	0.0	0
Minkah Fitzpatrick	2	8	0.0	0
Jerome Baker	6	2	0.0	0
Bobby McCain	4	4	0.0	1
Vincent Taylor	3	4	1.0	0
T.J. McDonald	2	4	0.0	1
Raekwon McMillan	1	2	0.0	0
Cameron Wake	1	2	1.0	0
Robert Quinn	2	1	0.0	0
Jordan Phillips	2	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: MIA -3
Closing total: 46
OAK moneyline: +125
MIA moneyline: -138

Dolphins closed -3 and covered, winning by 8.

Total closed 46; the game landed 48 — over by 2.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 90°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Shawn Hochuli
Rest: OAK 7 days · MIA 7 days
Coaches: Jon Gruden vs Adam Gase