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2018 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 23, 2018 · Arrowhead Stadium
27
38
Kansas City Chiefs 38–27. Biggest swing: Q2 12:01, KC +6% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(12:01) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep right to 44-K.Juszczyk for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | 49ers | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 64 | 66 |
| Total yards | 408 (edge) | 386 |
| Yards per play | 6.4 (edge) | 5.8 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.25 | 0.31 (edge) |
| Success rate | 56% (edge) | 53% |
| Dropback rate | 58% | 62% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.23 | 0.51 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.26 (edge) | -0.00 |
| Third downs | 2/9 | 7/11 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 9 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 24 | 24 |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.31 expected points added per play vs 0.25.
Who moved the needle
Passing · KC
24/38, 314 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
18.6 expected points added · +0.5% completion over expected
Passing · SF
20/30, 251 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
8.7 expected points added · -0.8% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | SF 19 | 5 | 5 | 1:41 | Punt | |
| 2 | KC | KC 43 | 12 | 62 | 4:55 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | SF | SF 25 | 7 | 31 | 2:38 | Punt | |
| 4 | KC | KC 16 | 9 | 33 | 3:26 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | SF | SF 25 | 10 | 77 | 5:28 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | KC | KC 25 | 7 | 75 | 2:58 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | SF | SF 25 | 5 | 4 | 1:42 | Punt | |
| 8 | KC | KC 28 | 9 | 52 | 3:35 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | SF | SF 25 | 7 | 8 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 10 | KC | KC 32 | 10 | 73 | 1:26 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | SF | SF 25 | 7 | 54 | 0:34 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | KC | KC 25 | 8 | 23 | 3:24 | Punt | |
| 13 | SF | SF 13 | 8 | 87 | 2:37 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | KC | KC 25 | 5 | -5 | 1:04 | Punt | |
| 15 | SF | SF 23 | 12 | 74 | 5:12 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | KC | KC 25 | 10 | 51 | 3:56 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | SF | SF 25 | 18 | 68 | 8:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | KC | KC 22 | 11 | 22 | 5:17 | End of game |
0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 87 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 20/30 | 251 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Breida | 10 | 90 | 9.0 | 0 | 4.0 |
| Alfred Morris | 14 | 67 | 4.8 | 1 | 4.0 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Raheem Mostert | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Marquise Goodwin | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kittle | 5 | 7 | 79 | 0 | 23% | 5.8 |
| Kyle Juszczyk | 2 | 4 | 38 | 1 | 13% | 3.3 |
| Marquise Goodwin | 3 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 13% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Warner | 9 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antone Exum | 8 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Reuben Foster | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ahkello Witherspoon |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 24/38 | 314 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Hunt | 18 | 44 | 2.4 | 2 |
Closing number vs result
Chiefs closed -6 and covered, winning by 11.
Total closed 53; the game landed 65 — over by 12.0.
Conditions and crew
| 2.9 |
| Matt Breida | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 10% | 1.6 |
| Kendrick Bourne | 1 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 7% | 0.1 |
| Trent Taylor | 3 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 13% | -0.9 |
| Pierre Garcon | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 13% | -1.0 |
| Raheem Mostert | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3% | 0.7 |
| Garrett Celek | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3% | 0.9 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| DeForest Buckner | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adrian Colbert | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| D.J. Reed | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronald Blair | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arik Armstead | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Richard Sherman | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| -1.5 |
| Sammy Watkins | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 0 | 1.6 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 5 | 7 | 1.4 | 0 | 1.2 |
| Tyreek Hill | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Spencer Ware | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 8 | 10 | 114 | 0 | 26% | 9.3 |
| Sammy Watkins | 5 | 8 | 55 | 1 | 21% | 3.2 |
| Tyreek Hill | 2 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 13% | 1.7 |
| Spencer Ware | 2 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 8% | 1.1 |
| Anthony Sherman | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 3% | 1.5 |
| Damien Williams | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 5% | 1.5 |
| Demetrius Harris | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 8% | -0.1 |
| Chris Conley | 2 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 8% | 3.7 |
| Marcus Kemp | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3% | -0.0 |
| Kareem Hunt | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.7 |
| Demarcus Robinson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Ragland | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron Parker | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Hitchens | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Murray | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kendall Fuller | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Houston | 4 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Allen Bailey | 3 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Steven Nelson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Jones | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Nnadi | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
