2018 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 30, 2018 · Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum

Cleveland Browns

Oakland RaidersWinner

OAK -2.5 ✓O 44.5 ✓Raiders closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 3.

Oakland Raiders 45–42 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: OT 5:39, OAK +43% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

OT · 5:39CLE — OAK CLE ball · 4th & 5OAK 79%

(5:39) 4-B.Colquitt punts 48 yards to LV 7, Center-47-C.Hughlett. 17-D.Harris to LV 19 for 12 yards (29-D.Johnson, 24-N.Chubb).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

OT · 5:39OAK +43% win prob(5:39) 4-B.Colquitt punts 48 yards to LV 7, Center-47-C.Hughlett. 17-D.Harris to LV 19 for 12 yards (29-D.Johnson, 24-N.Chubb).
OT · 8:49OAK +36% win prob(8:49) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 89-A.Cooper pushed ob at CLE 35 for 36 yards (38-T.Carrie).
Q4 · 13:30CLE +25% win prob(13:30) 6-B.Mayfield FUMBLES (Aborted) at CLE 20, RECOVERED by LV-90-J.Hankins at CLE 20. 90-J.Hankins to CLE 20 for no gain (64-J.Tretter). Penalty on CLE-81-R.Higgins, Illegal Shift, declined.
OT · 4:44OAK +23% win prob(4:44) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 87-J.Cook to 50 for 24 yards (26-D.Kindred) [55-G.Avery].

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CLE

Baker MayfieldQB

21/41, 295 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

-6.8 expected points added · -11.4% completion over expected

Rushing · CLE

Carlos HydeRB

22 att, 82 yds, 1 TD

-0.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CLE

Rashard HigginsWR

4/5 for 61 yds, 0 TD

12% of team targets · 6.0 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Antonio CallawayWR

3/9 for 54 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · -10.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LV	LV 25	5	9	1:44	Punt
2	CLE	CLE 28	4	2	0:59	Punt
3	LV	LV 23	4	6	1:31	Punt
4	CLE	CLE 23	2	2	0:45	Defensive touchdown
5	CLE	CLE 25	16	72	8:01	Turnover on downs
6	LV	LV 25	10	46	4:14	Turnover on downs
7	CLE	CLE 37	2	63	0:11	Touchdown
8	LV	LV 25	5	7	1:37	Punt
9	CLE	CLE 30	5	72	1:58	Touchdown
10	LV	LV 25	10	75	4:30	Touchdown
11	CLE	CLE 22	8	18	2:37	Punt
12	LV	LV 18	6	47	1:30	Interception
13	CLE	CLE 15	1	0	0:23	End of half
14	CLE	CLE 25	12	65	5:38	Turnover on downs
15	LV	LV 25	4	24	1:05	Interception
16	CLE	LV 31	3	9	0:51	Touchdown
17	LV	LV 25	7	15	1:36	Punt
18	CLE	CLE 11	1	-4	0:05	Fumble
19	LV	CLE 7	4	7	0:11	Touchdown
20	CLE	CLE 19	5	4	1:25	Punt
21	LV	LV 42	4	8	1:14	Punt
22	LV	CLE 20	6	55	1:34	Punt
23	LV	LV 31	4	-1	2:07	Turnover on downs
24	CLE	CLE 12	3	8	0:48	Fumble
25	LV	CLE 20	3	20	0:40	Touchdown
26	CLE	CLE 25	5	0	0:34	Punt
27	LV	CLE 29	4	3	1:26	Turnover on downs
28	CLE	CLE 23	9	77	2:39	Touchdown
29	LV	LV 25	6	14	2:21	Punt
30	CLE	CLE 37	4	63	1:26	Touchdown
31	LV	LV 25	9	66	2:29	Turnover on downs
32	CLE	CLE 9	4	9	0:23	Punt
33	LV	LV 47	7	55	0:58	Touchdown
34	CLE	CLE 25	4	26	0:23	Interception
35	LV	LV 14	1	0	0:07	Turnover on downs
36	LV	LV 25	8	43	3:50	Turnover on downs
37	CLE	CLE 40	4	5	0:43	Punt
38	LV	LV 19	11	70	3:41	Turnover on downs

0 of 38 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 77 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Baker Mayfield	21/41	295	2	2	2	-6.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Nick Chubb	3	105	35.0	2	8.7
Carlos Hyde	22	82	3.7	1	-0.9
Duke Johnson	2	11	5.5	0	1.4
Baker Mayfield	4	10	2.5	0	-1.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Rashard Higgins	4	5	61	0	12%	6.0
Antonio Callaway	3	9	54	0	22%	-10.6
David Njoku	5	7	52	0	17%	-0.4
Darren Fells	1	2	49	1	5%	3.9
Duke Johnson	4	6	45	0	15%	1.4
Jarvis Landry	4	10	34	1	24%	1.3
Carlos Hyde	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.5
Orson Charles	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Joe Schobert	6	7	1.0	0	0
T.J. Carrie	6	5	0.0	0	0
Myles Garrett	5	2	0.5	0	0
Damarious Randall	6	0	0.0	1	2
E.J. Gaines	3	2	0.0	1	1
Nick Chubb	1	3	0.0	0	0
Trevon Coley	1	3	0.0	0	0
Jamie Collins	1	3	1.0	0	1
Christian Kirksey	3	1	0.0	0	0
Briean Boddy-Calhoun	1	2	0.0	0	0

Oakland Raiders

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: OAK -2.5
Closing total: 44.5
CLE moneyline: +122
OAK moneyline: -135

Raiders closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 3.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 87 — over by 42.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 71°F, wind 8 mph
Referee: Walt Anderson
Rest: CLE 10 days · OAK 7 days
Coaches: Hue Jackson vs Jon Gruden