2018 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 7, 2018 · Bank of America Stadium

New York Giants

Carolina PanthersWinner

CAR -7 no coverO 43.5 ✓Panthers closed -7, won by 2 — but didn't cover.

Carolina Panthers 33–31 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:06, CAR +51% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:06NYG — CAR CAR ball · 3rd & 10NYG 63%

(:06) 9-G.Gano 63 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:06CAR +51% win prob(:06) 9-G.Gano 63 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.Jansen, Holder-5-M.Palardy.
Q3 · 1:38NYG +17% win prob(1:38) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right intended for 13-O.Beckham INTERCEPTED by 29-M.Adams at CAR 14. 29-M.Adams pushed ob at CAR 32 for 18 yards (85-R.Ellison).
Q4 · 1:39CAR +15% win prob(1:39) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep right to 81-R.Shepard for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep right to 81-R.Shepard to CAR 15 for 40 yards (26-D.Jackson).
Q4 · 3:27CAR +12% win prob(3:27) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 13-J.Wright to NYG 17 for 27 yards (35-C.Riley).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Giants	Panthers
Offensive plays	55	65
Total yards	434 (edge)	351
Yards per play	7.9 (edge)	5.4
Expected points added / play	0.08 (edge)	-0.12
Success rate	42% (edge)	42%
Dropback rate	71%	57%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.23 (edge)	-0.02
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.28	-0.24 (edge)
Third downs	0/7	4/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	8	9 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	19 (edge)	18
Sacks taken	1	1
Turnovers	2	2

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Eli ManningQB

22/36, 326 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

3.3 expected points added · -1.9% completion over expected

Passing · CAR

Cam NewtonQB

21/35, 237 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

-2.1 expected points added · -2.6% completion over expected

Rushing · CAR

Christian McCaffreyRB

17 att, 58 yds, 0 TD

-5.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

15 att, 48 yds, 0 TD

-6.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Odell BeckhamWR

8/14 for 131 yds, 1 TD

38% of team targets · 1.3 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

4/4 for 81 yds, 2 TD

11% of team targets · 8.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 27	7	13	2:04	Punt
2	CAR	CAR 6	4	7	2:35	Punt
3	NYG	CAR 39	6	21	2:57	Turnover on downs
4	CAR	CAR 25	7	75	2:46	Touchdown
5	NYG	NYG 25	8	36	3:53	Turnover on downs
6	CAR	CAR 39	5	8	1:39	Defensive touchdown
7	NYG	NYG 28	5	4	0:58	Punt
8	CAR	CAR 20	7	51	4:24	Turnover on downs
9	NYG	NYG 25	6	80	2:07	Touchdown
10	CAR	CAR 40	9	31	4:01	Turnover on downs
11	NYG	NYG 25	8	40	2:16	Turnover on downs
12	CAR	CAR 25	2	0	0:20	End of half
13	CAR	CAR 25	5	6	1:50	Punt
14	NYG	NYG 7	13	75	5:36	Turnover on downs
15	CAR	CAR 25	10	34	4:00	Interception
16	NYG	NYG 22	4	53	2:04	Interception
17	CAR	CAR 32	10	53	5:09	Touchdown
18	NYG	NYG 25	3	1	0:44	Interception
19	CAR	NYG 45	3	2	1:44	Interception
20	NYG	CAR 34	3	36	0:45	Touchdown
21	CAR	CAR 25	13	54	5:52	Turnover on downs
22	NYG	NYG 25	6	75	1:08	Touchdown
23	CAR	CAR 25	9	30	1:07	Turnover on downs
24	NYG	—	1	0	0:01	End of game

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 80 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Eli Manning	22/36	326	2	2	1	3.3
Odell Beckham	1/1	57	1	0	0	5.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	15	48	3.2	0	-6.0
Eli Manning	1	2	2.0	0	1.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Odell Beckham	8	14	131	1	38%	1.3
Saquon Barkley	4	4	81	2	11%	8.1
Sterling Shepard	4	7	75	0	19%	-1.1
Russell Shepard	3	4	52	0	11%	1.8
Jawill Davis	2	4	27	0	11%	-0.1
Rhett Ellison	2	3	17	0	8%	0.3
Scott Simonson	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Landon Collins	4	4	0	1
Alec Ogletree	4	2	0	0
Eli Apple	5	0	0	0
B.J. Goodson	3	1	0	0
B.J. Hill	2	2	0	0
Damon Harrison	1	3	0	0
Janoris Jenkins	3	1	1	2
Ray-Ray Armstrong	1	3	0	0
B.W. Webb	3	1	0	0
Curtis Riley	3	0	1	1

Carolina Panthers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Cam Newton	21/35	237	2	2	1	-2.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Christian McCaffrey	17	58	3.4	-5.3
Cam Newton	8	29	3.6	1.0
D.J. Moore	1	18	18.0	0.9
C.J. Anderson	4	9	2.3	-2.3
Alex Armah	1	4	4.0	0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Devin Funchess	4	7	53	0	21%	2.5
D.J. Moore	4	4	49	0	12%	2.4
Ian Thomas	3	6	38	0	18%	-9.1
Curtis Samuel	2	4	37	1	12%	2.4
Christian McCaffrey	5	6	35	1	18%	1.7
Jarius Wright	3	6	25	0	18%	1.3
Torrey Smith	0	1	0	0	3%	-1.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
James Bradberry	6	1	0.0	0	2
Donte Jackson	4	1	0.0	0	0
Mike Adams	4	1	0.0	2	2
Luke Kuechly	2	1	1.0	0	0
Eric Reid	3	0	0.0	0	0
Julius Peppers	1	2	0.0	0	0
Captain Munnerlyn	2	1	0.0	0	1
D.J. Moore	2	0	0.0	0	0
Ben Jacobs	1	1	0.0	0	0
Kawann Short	1	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CAR -7
Closing total: 43.5
NYG moneyline: +234
CAR moneyline: -264

Panthers closed -7, won by 2 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 64 — over by 20.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Bank of America Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 80°F, wind 3 mph
Referee: Jerome Boger
Rest: NYG 7 days · CAR 14 days
Coaches: Pat Shurmur vs Ron Rivera