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2018 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 7, 2018 · StubHub Center

Oakland Raiders

10

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

26

LAC -5.5 ✓U 52 ✓

Los Angeles Chargers 26–10. Biggest swing: Q2 4:14, LAC +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3LACOAK
Q2 · 4:14OAK LAC LAC ball · 1st & 10LAC 67%

(4:14) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left to 30-A.Ekeler for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-M.Lee].

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 4:14LAC +12% win prob(4:14) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left to 30-A.Ekeler for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN [55-M.Lee].
  2. Q2 · 4:04OAK +7% win prob(4:04) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 12-M.Bryant to LV 46 for 21 yards (57-J.Brown). FUMBLES (57-J.Brown), RECOVERED by LAC-37-J.Addae at LV 48. 37-J.Addae to LV 48 for no gain (12-M.Bryant). Penalty on LV-12-M.Bryant, Offensive Pass Interference, declined.
  3. Q1 · 11:52OAK +5% win prob(11:52) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers sacked at LV 31 for -6 yards (51-B.Irvin).
  4. Q3 · 1:13OAK +4% win prob(1:13) 4-D.Carr pass short middle intended for 85-D.Carrier INTERCEPTED by 54-M.Ingram at LAC -4. 54-M.Ingram to LAC 4 for 8 yards (76-J.Feliciano).

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Philip RiversQB

22/27, 339 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

19.1 expected points added · +13.3% completion over expected

Rushing · LAC

Melvin GordonRB

19 att, 58 yds, 1 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LAC

Austin EkelerRB

6 att, 15 yds, 0 TD

1.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Keenan AllenWR

8/9 for 90 yds, 0 TD

35% of team targets · 5.0 expected points added

Receiving · LAC

Tyrell WilliamsWR

3/3 for 66 yds, 0 TD

12% of team targets · 4.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LACLAC 328373:52Turnover on downs
2LVLV 257113:19Punt
3LACLAC 218344:20Punt
4LVLV 1810825:06Turnover on downs
5LACLAC 24582:23Punt
6LVLV 11472:22Punt
7LAC504-20:54Punt
8LVLV 9431:36Punt
9LACLAC 455552:04Touchdown
10LVLV 252210:10Fumble
11LACLV 487582:15Touchdown
12LVLV 259361:33Turnover on downs
13LACLAC 47280:06End of half
14LVLV 275-71:43Punt
15LACLAC 2611677:12Turnover on downs
16LVLV 2510625:00Interception
17LACLAC 491216:23Touchdown
18LVLV 2611744:31Touchdown
19LACLV 4812285:11End of game

0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 121 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Oakland Raiders

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Philip Rivers22/2733920119.1

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Melvin Gordon19583.11-1.2
Austin Ekeler6152.501.3
Keenan Allen155.00-0.1
Mike Williams133.00-0.8
Melvin Ingram100.00-1.0
Philip Rivers3-2-0.70-4.9

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Keenan Allen8990035%5.0
Tyrell Williams3366012%4.6
Melvin Gordon4462015%4.3
Mike Williams3445015%1.2
Austin Ekeler1344112%2.8
Antonio Gates221908%1.9
Virgil Green111314%2.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Melvin Ingram521.011
Adrian Phillips420.001
Denzel Perryman330.000
Jahleel Addae400.000
Trevor Williams220.002
Derwin James310.000
Austin Ekeler200.000
Darius Philon111.000
Jatavis Brown200.000
Brandon Mebane110.000

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LAC -5.5
Closing total
52
OAK moneyline
+205
LAC moneyline
-230

Chargers closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 16.

Total closed 52; the game landed 36 — under by 16.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
StubHub Center
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
75°F, wind 10 mph
Referee
Alex Kemp
Rest
OAK 7 days · LAC 7 days
Coaches
Jon Gruden vs Anthony Lynn

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.