2018 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 14, 2018 · U.S. Bank Stadium

Arizona Cardinals

Minnesota VikingsWinner

MIN -10 pushO 43.5 ✓DomeVikings closed -10 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Minnesota Vikings 27–17. Biggest swing: Q2 4:24, ARI +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 4:24ARI — MIN MIN ball · 3rd & 9MIN 91%

(4:24) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at MIN 29 for -7 yards (55-C.Jones). FUMBLES (55-C.Jones) [55-C.Jones], RECOVERED by ARI-36-B.Baker at MIN 36. 36-B.Baker for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 4:24ARI +14% win prob(4:24) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins sacked at MIN 29 for -7 yards (55-C.Jones). FUMBLES (55-C.Jones) [55-C.Jones], RECOVERED by ARI-36-B.Baker at MIN 36. 36-B.Baker for 36 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 9:44MIN +8% win prob(9:44) 3-J.Rosen pass deep left to 13-C.Kirk pushed ob at MIN 11 for 35 yards (22-H.Smith).
Q1 · 11:17ARI +8% win prob(11:17) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 8-K.Cousins to ARI 43 for -1 yards (36-B.Baker).
Q2 · 12:07ARI +8% win prob(12:07) 31-D.Johnson left guard to MIN 1 for no gain (29-X.Rhodes). MIN-91-S.Weatherly was injured during the play.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cardinals	Vikings
Offensive plays	55	68
Total yards	268	412 (edge)
Yards per play	4.9	6.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.41	-0.14 (edge)
Success rate	36%	41% (edge)
Dropback rate	64%	56%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.34	-0.34 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.53	0.11 (edge)
Third downs	0/10	5/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	5 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	14	20 (edge)
Sacks taken	4	4
Turnovers	2	2

Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.14 expected points added per play vs -0.41.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Josh RosenQB

21/31, 240 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-11.9 expected points added · -5.4% completion over expected

Passing · MIN

Kirk CousinsQB

24/34, 233 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-11.9 expected points added · +1.0% completion over expected

Rushing · MIN

Latavius MurrayRB

24 att, 155 yds, 1 TD

0.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · ARI

David JohnsonRB

18 att, 54 yds, 1 TD

-10.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · MIN

Adam ThielenWR

11/13 for 123 yds, 1 TD

42% of team targets · 7.2 expected points added

Receiving · ARI

Christian KirkWR

6/7 for 77 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 3.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	ARI	ARI 16	5	7	1:27	Punt
2	MIN	MIN 31	6	26	2:28	Turnover on downs
3	ARI	ARI 43	7	49	2:47	Turnover on downs
4	MIN	MIN 25	8	80	2:45	Touchdown
5	ARI	ARI 25	2	5	0:07	Fumble
6	MIN	ARI 31	6	17	3:23	Turnover on downs
7	ARI	ARI 25	5	-4	1:51	Punt
8	MIN	MIN 31	3	9	0:53	Interception
9	ARI	MIN 47	5	46	2:16	Turnover on downs
10	MIN	MIN 1	4	9	2:32	Punt
11	ARI	ARI 49	4	1	1:29	Punt
12	MIN	MIN 10	7	26	3:49	Defensive touchdown
13	MIN	MIN 25	7	29	2:31	Punt
14	ARI	ARI 3	4	8	0:22	Punt
15	MIN	MIN 34	7	41	1:13	Turnover on downs
16	ARI	—	1	0	0:07	End of half
17	MIN	MIN 25	12	75	4:54	Touchdown
18	ARI	ARI 7	5	-5	2:18	Punt
19	MIN	ARI 43	4	43	1:11	Touchdown
20	ARI	ARI 25	8	26	3:32	Interception
21	MIN	MIN 47	4	6	1:36	Punt
22	ARI	ARI 7	9	57	4:23	Turnover on downs
23	MIN	MIN 33	4	-1	2:21	Punt
24	ARI	ARI 31	8	67	2:48	Touchdown
25	MIN	MIN 19	5	6	1:32	Punt
26	ARI	ARI 22	6	11	2:11	Punt
27	MIN	MIN 26	7	46	3:14	End of game

0 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 80 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Josh Rosen	21/31	240	0	1	4	-11.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
David Johnson	18	54	3.0	1	-10.8
Chase Edmonds	1	4	4.0	0	0.1
Derrick Coleman	1	2	2.0	0	0.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Christian Kirk	6	7	77	23%	3.1
Ricky Seals-Jones	5	6	69	19%	2.3
Larry Fitzgerald	5	8	39	26%	-8.6
Jermaine Gresham	1	1	26	3%	1.8
David Johnson	2	5	15	16%	-2.2
J.J. Nelson	1	2	9	6%	0.1
Chad Williams	1	2	5	6%	-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Budda Baker	8	2	0.0	0	0
Antoine Bethea	9	1	0.0	0	0
Haason Reddick	1	6	0.0	0	1
Josh Bynes	3	4	0.0	0	0
Robert Nkemdiche	2	3	0.0	0	0
Corey Peters	2	3	2.0	0	0
Patrick Peterson	3	2	0.0	0	0
Chandler Jones	4	1	1.5	0	1
Tre Boston	2	2	0.0	1	1
Bene' Benwikere	3	1	0.0	0	0

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kirk Cousins	24/34	233	1	1	4	-11.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Latavius Murray	24	155	6.5	1	0.1
Mike Boone	1	20	20.0	0	1.7
Kirk Cousins	4	14	3.5	1	-1.6
Stefon Diggs	1	9	9.0	0	1.0
C.J. Ham	1	1	1.0	0	-0.2
Roc Thomas	1	-4	-4.0	0	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Adam Thielen	11	13	123	1	42%	7.2
Laquon Treadwell	4	4	38	0	13%	1.4
Kyle Rudolph	4	5	37	0	16%	0.8
Stefon Diggs	3	4	33	0	13%	2.6
Latavius Murray	1	2	3	0	6%	-1.1
C.J. Ham	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.6
Aldrick Robinson	0	1	0	0	3%	-1.9
Kirk Cousins	1	1	-1	0	3%	-3.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
George Iloka	7	1	0.0	0
Harrison Smith	4	3	1.0	0
Xavier Rhodes	5	0	0.0	0
Eric Kendricks	2	3	0.0	0
Danielle Hunter	3	2	2.0	0
Mackensie Alexander	4	1	1.0	2
Stephen Weatherly	1	3	0.0	0
Anthony Barr	3	0	0.0	1
Linval Joseph	2	1	0.0	0
Sheldon Richardson	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: MIN -10
Closing total: 43.5
ARI moneyline: +350
MIN moneyline: -405

Vikings closed -10 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 44 — over by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Jerome Boger
Rest: ARI 7 days · MIN 7 days
Coaches: Steve Wilks vs Mike Zimmer