2018 Week 6 · Thu, Oct 11, 2018 · MetLife Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

New York Giants

PHI -1.5 ✓O 45.5 ✓Eagles closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 21.

Philadelphia Eagles 34–13 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 14:24, PHI +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 14:24PHI — NYG NYG ball · 2nd & 2PHI 52%

(14:24) 10-E.Manning pass short middle intended for 82-S.Simonson INTERCEPTED by 54-K.Grugier-Hill (58-J.Hicks) at NYG 40. 54-K.Grugier-Hill pushed ob at NYG 16 for 24 yards (26-S.Barkley).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 14:24PHI +18% win prob(14:24) 10-E.Manning pass short middle intended for 82-S.Simonson INTERCEPTED by 54-K.Grugier-Hill (58-J.Hicks) at NYG 40. 54-K.Grugier-Hill pushed ob at NYG 16 for 24 yards (26-S.Barkley).
Q2 · 5:13NYG +9% win prob(5:13) 11-C.Wentz pass deep right to 13-N.Agholor pushed ob at NYG 10 for 58 yards (35-C.Riley). Penalty on NYG-59-L.Carter, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.
Q1 · 11:50NYG +7% win prob(11:50) (Shotgun) 26-S.Barkley right tackle to PHI 18 for 46 yards (29-A.Maddox).
Q2 · 8:06NYG +6% win prob(8:06) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 26-S.Barkley to PHI 13 for 55 yards (55-B.Graham).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Giants
Offensive plays	68	64
Total yards	379	401 (edge)
Yards per play	5.6	6.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.23 (edge)	-0.15
Success rate	44% (edge)	33%
Dropback rate	57%	73%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.53 (edge)	-0.33
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.16	0.34 (edge)
Third downs	9/16 (edge)	4/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	6 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	20 (edge)	16
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	4
Turnovers	1 (edge)	2

Giants outgained Eagles 401–379 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Eli ManningQB

24/43, 281 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-15.4 expected points added · -8.6% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Carson WentzQB

26/36, 278 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

19.0 expected points added · +6.1% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

13 att, 130 yds, 1 TD

6.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Wendell SmallwoodRB

18 att, 51 yds, 0 TD

-5.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

9/12 for 99 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 4.4 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

Nelson AgholorWR

3/5 for 91 yds, 0 TD

14% of team targets · 7.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 25	3	8	0:45	Interception
2	PHI	NYG 16	4	16	1:00	Touchdown
3	NYG	NYG 25	8	60	3:09	Turnover on downs
4	PHI	PHI 14	8	46	3:10	Punt
5	NYG	NYG 9	4	7	2:07	Punt
6	PHI	NYG 44	7	44	3:21	Touchdown
7	NYG	NYG 25	5	0	1:13	Punt
8	PHI	PHI 20	4	6	1:45	Punt
9	NYG	NYG 22	6	27	3:43	Punt
10	PHI	PHI 14	4	9	1:33	Punt
11	NYG	NYG 32	9	65	2:30	Turnover on downs
12	PHI	PHI 25	6	75	1:22	Touchdown
13	NYG	NYG 25	5	-6	1:20	Punt
14	PHI	50	6	20	1:33	Turnover on downs
15	NYG	NYG 25	6	41	1:06	Turnover on downs
16	PHI	PHI 42	3	11	0:21	Turnover on downs
17	NYG	NYG 44	1	20	0:02	End of half
18	PHI	PHI 25	14	75	6:18	Touchdown
19	NYG	NYG 25	7	75	2:32	Touchdown
20	PHI	PHI 24	14	49	6:18	Fumble
21	NYG	NYG 27	8	6	2:35	Punt
22	PHI	PHI 18	4	4	2:09	Punt
23	NYG	NYG 37	14	58	4:49	Turnover on downs
24	PHI	PHI 5	10	24	3:40	Punt
25	NYG	NYG 10	4	40	1:39	End of game

0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 75 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Wentz	26/36	278	3	0	1	19.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Wendell Smallwood	18	51	2.8	0	-5.0
Corey Clement	11	43	3.9	1	0.3
Carson Wentz	2	14	7.0	0	1.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Nelson Agholor	3	5	91	0	14%	7.7
Alshon Jeffery	8	12	74	2	33%	7.6
Zach Ertz	7	9	43	1	25%	1.4
Corey Clement	3	3	26	0	8%	2.1
Jordan Matthews	2	3	26	0	8%	3.9
DeAndre Carter	1	1	11	0	3%	-0.6
Dallas Goedert	1	1	7	0	3%	0.4
Wendell Smallwood	1	2	0	0	6%	-1.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jordan Hicks	4	5	0.0	0	1
Jalen Mills	5	2	0.0	0	2
Fletcher Cox	3	3	1.0	0	0
Avonte Maddox	2	3	0.0	0	0
Michael Bennett	2	2	1.0	0	0
Malcolm Jenkins	3	1	0.0	0	0
Nigel Bradham	4	0	1.0	0	1
Dallas Goedert	1	1	0.0	0	0
Brandon Graham	1	1	0.0	0	0
Kamu Grugier-Hill	1	0	0.0	1	1

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Eli Manning	24/43	281	0	1	4	-15.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	13	130	10.0	1	6.4
Wayne Gallman	4	17	4.3	0	-0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Saquon Barkley	9	12	99	28%	4.4
Cody Latimer	3	4	52	9%	1.6
Odell Beckham	6	10	44	23%	-2.5
Sterling Shepard	3	7	37	16%	-4.2
Wayne Gallman	2	5	25	12%	1.6
Scott Simonson	1	3	24	7%	-8.8
Jawill Davis	0	2	0	5%	-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Landon Collins	7	2	0
Eli Apple	5	2	3
Alec Ogletree	6	0	0
Kerry Wynn	3	2	0
Curtis Riley	4	1	0
Nate Stupar	4	1	0
B.J. Goodson	3	1	0
Michael Thomas	1	3	0
Damon Harrison	2	2	0
Josh Mauro	1	2	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -1.5
Closing total: 45.5
PHI moneyline: -126
NYG moneyline: +114

Eagles closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 21.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 47 — over by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 70°F, wind 3 mph
Referee: Ron Torbert
Rest: PHI 4 days · NYG 4 days
Coaches: Doug Pederson vs Pat Shurmur

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.