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2018 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 28, 2018 · Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum

Indianapolis ColtsWinner

42

Oakland Raiders

28

IND -3.5 ✓O 51 ✓

Indianapolis Colts 42–28. Biggest swing: Q3 1:06, OAK +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3OAK ↑IND ↓
Q3 · 1:06IND — OAK LV ball · 3rd & 5OAK 54%

(1:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 19-B.LaFell for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 1:06OAK +15% win prob(1:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 19-B.LaFell for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q4 · 10:50OAK +13% win prob(10:50) (Shotgun) 25-M.Mack up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q2 · 6:20OAK +13% win prob(6:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right to 87-J.Cook for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
  4. Q3 · 7:45OAK +12% win prob(7:45) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 85-E.Ebron for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · IND

Andrew LuckQB

22/31, 239 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

17.7 expected points added · +6.3% completion over expected

Rushing · IND

Marlon MackRB

25 att, 132 yds, 2 TD

9.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · IND

Nyheim Miller-HinesRB

11 att, 78 yds, 0 TD

3.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · IND

Jack DoyleTE

6/7 for 70 yds, 1 TD

23% of team targets · 7.0 expected points added

Receiving · IND

Dontrelle InmanWR

6/7 for 52 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 3.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1INDIND 2513756:39Touchdown
2LVLV 25581:04Punt
3INDIND 2213557:17Turnover on downs
4LVLV 258703:04Touchdown
5INDIND 25571:15Punt
6LVLV 218694:28Touchdown
7INDIND 2517785:47Turnover on downs
8LVLV 39320:26End of half
9LVLV 2510785:11Touchdown
10INDIND 256772:10Touchdown
11LVLV 2513856:38Touchdown
12INDIND 2514905:14Touchdown
13LVLV 25571:27Punt
14INDIND 437623:52Touchdown
15LVLV 25210:12Fumble
16INDLV 276182:21Touchdown
17LVLV 257281:00Turnover on downs
18INDLV 43331:55End of game

0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Colts gained 90 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Indianapolis Colts

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Andrew Luck22/3123930017.7

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Marlon Mack251325.329.3
Nyheim Miller-Hines11787.103.1
Jordan Wilkins2147.001.0
Andrew Luck2-2-1.00-2.3

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Jack Doyle6770123%7.0
Dontrelle Inman6752023%3.0
Eric Ebron3337110%4.3
T.Y. Hilton1534016%-2.0
Mo Alie-Cox112613%2.8
Marlon Mack2417013%1.4
Nyheim Miller-Hines22706%-0.2
Chester Rogers01003%0.5
Zach Pascal11-403%0.9

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Shaquille Leonard350.000
Pierre Desir520.000
Anthony Walker140.000
Corey Moore120.000
Kenny Moore210.001
Mike Mitchell210.000
Clayton Geathers300.000
Arthur Maulet200.000
Zaire Franklin200.001
Grover Stewart100.000

Oakland Raiders

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
IND -3.5
Closing total
51
IND moneyline
-183
OAK moneyline
+165

Colts closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 51; the game landed 70 — over by 19.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
69°F, wind 8 mph
Referee
John Parry
Rest
IND 7 days · OAK 14 days
Coaches
Frank Reich vs Jon Gruden