2018 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 28, 2018 · Wembley Stadium

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

Jacksonville Jaguars

PHI -4 ✓U 44.5 ✓Eagles closed -4 and covered, winning by 6.

Philadelphia Eagles 24–18. Biggest swing: Q1 1:33, PHI +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 1:33PHI — JAX PHI ball · 2nd & 9PHI 65%

(1:33) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle intended for 83-J.Perkins INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Ramsey at JAX -9. Touchback.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 1:33PHI +18% win prob(1:33) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle intended for 83-J.Perkins INTERCEPTED by 20-J.Ramsey at JAX -9. Touchback.
Q2 · 1:40PHI +15% win prob(1:40) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right to 84-K.Cole to PHI 43 for 15 yards (29-A.Maddox). FUMBLES (29-A.Maddox), RECOVERED by PHI-27-M.Jenkins at PHI 45. 27-M.Jenkins to JAX 44 for 11 yards (68-A.Norwell).
Q1 · 12:37JAX +11% win prob(12:37) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle to 80-J.Matthews ran ob at JAX 37 for 31 yards (43-Q.Meeks) [91-Y.Ngakoue].
Q2 · 0:38JAX +10% win prob(:38) 11-C.Wentz pass deep left to 88-D.Goedert for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Jaguars
Offensive plays	59	63
Total yards	398 (edge)	335
Yards per play	6.7 (edge)	5.3
Expected points added / play	0.19 (edge)	-0.07
Success rate	47% (edge)	40%
Dropback rate	63%	83%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.29 (edge)	-0.02
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.01 (edge)	-0.31
Third downs	7/11 (edge)	6/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	10 (edge)	5
First downs gained on snaps	22 (edge)	17
Sacks taken	4	4
Turnovers	3	1 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.19 expected points added per play vs -0.07.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · JAX

Blake BortlesQB

24/41, 286 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-1.8 expected points added · -10.5% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Carson WentzQB

21/30, 286 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

7.7 expected points added · +8.7% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Josh AdamsRB

9 att, 61 yds, 0 TD

3.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · JAX

Blake BortlesQB

8 att, 43 yds, 0 TD

6.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

Jordan MatthewsTE

4/5 for 93 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 7.5 expected points added

Receiving · JAX

T.J. YeldonRB

7/9 for 83 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · 2.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 25	8	43	3:05	Fumble
2	JAX	JAX 28	9	41	5:05	Turnover on downs
3	PHI	PHI 14	9	63	5:23	Interception
4	JAX	JAX 20	4	-6	1:39	Punt
5	PHI	PHI 23	13	64	7:05	Turnover on downs
6	JAX	JAX 25	9	41	5:00	Turnover on downs
7	PHI	PHI 12	5	3	0:59	Punt
8	JAX	JAX 42	2	13	0:15	Fumble
9	PHI	JAX 44	5	44	1:00	Touchdown
10	JAX	JAX 25	2	0	0:29	End of half
11	JAX	JAX 25	7	27	1:21	Punt
12	PHI	PHI 5	10	95	5:00	Touchdown
13	JAX	JAX 25	11	75	4:06	Touchdown
14	PHI	PHI 25	5	-10	1:26	Punt
15	JAX	JAX 48	11	47	4:57	Turnover on downs
16	PHI	PHI 25	8	75	3:15	Touchdown
17	JAX	JAX 25	11	76	2:58	Turnover on downs
18	PHI	PHI 32	5	-3	1:49	Fumble
19	JAX	JAX 27	8	21	1:32	Turnover on downs
20	PHI	JAX 48	7	24	3:36	End of game

0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 95 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Wentz	21/30	286	3	1	4	7.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Josh Adams	9	61	6.8	3.2
Carson Wentz	6	28	4.7	0.6
Wendell Smallwood	8	24	3.0	-2.1
Nelson Agholor	1	14	14.0	1.0
Corey Clement	4	6	1.5	-1.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jordan Matthews	4	5	93	0	17%	7.5
Nelson Agholor	3	6	49	0	20%	1.0
Wendell Smallwood	2	3	42	1	10%	3.6
Alshon Jeffery	4	5	35	0	17%	3.0
Dallas Goedert	1	1	32	1	3%	3.9
Zach Ertz	4	6	26	1	20%	1.9
Josh Adams	1	1	6	0	3%	0.3
Carson Wentz	1	1	4	0	3%	1.2
Joshua Perkins	0	1	0	0	3%	-4.4
Corey Clement	1	1	-1	0	3%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jordan Hicks	9	4	1.5	0
Nigel Bradham	6	1	0.0	1
Ronald Darby	3	1	0.0	0
Avonte Maddox	4	0	0.0	0
Malcolm Jenkins	3	0	0.0	2
Dexter McDougle	3	0	0.0	1
Chris Long	2	0	2.0	0
Brandon Graham	2	0	0.0	0
Kamu Grugier-Hill	2	0	0.0	0
Carson Wentz	1	0	0.0	0

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Blake Bortles	24/41	286	1	0	4	-1.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Blake Bortles	8	43	5.4	6.0
Carlos Hyde	6	11	1.8	-3.8
Dede Westbrook	1	9	9.0	0.4
T.J. Yeldon	2	7	3.5	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
T.J. Yeldon	7	9	83	0	22%	2.6
Donte Moncrief	4	7	54	0	17%	-0.2
D.J. Chark	4	5	41	0	12%	1.3
David Grinnage	3	5	37	0	12%	1.4
Dede Westbrook	2	6	31	1	15%	0.4
Keelan Cole	2	3	18	0	7%	-4.2
Blake Bell	1	2	13	0	5%	-0.9
Rashad Greene	1	2	9	0	5%	0.2
Carlos Hyde	0	2	0	0	5%	-2.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Tashaun Gipson	6	1	0.0	0	0
Telvin Smith	4	2	0.0	0	0
Myles Jack	2	3	1.0	0	0
Marcell Dareus	3	2	1.0	0	0
Leon Jacobs	4	0	0.0	0	0
Calais Campbell	2	2	1.0	0	0
Dante Fowler	2	1	0.0	0	0
Jalen Ramsey	3	0	0.0	1	1
Abry Jones	2	1	0.0	0	0
Tre Herndon	3	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -4
Closing total: 44.5
PHI moneyline: -208
JAX moneyline: +186

Eagles closed -4 and covered, winning by 6.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 42 — under by 2.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Wembley Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 48°F, wind 12 mph
Referee: John Hussey
Rest: PHI 7 days · JAX 7 days
Coaches: Doug Pederson vs Doug Marrone