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2018 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 11, 2018 · Arrowhead Stadium
14
26
Kansas City Chiefs 26–14. Biggest swing: Q4 12:19, ARI +7% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(12:19) (Shotgun) 3-J.Rosen pass short left intended for 31-D.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 50-J.Houston at ARI 35. 50-J.Houston to ARI 31 for 4 yards (31-D.Johnson).
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Cardinals | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 68 | 56 |
| Total yards | 261 | 331 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.8 | 5.9 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.14 | 0.12 (edge) |
| Success rate | 43% | 46% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 65% | 63% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.25 | 0.22 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.05 (edge) | -0.04 |
| Third downs | 7/14 (edge) | 4/11 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 20 | 21 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 5 | 5 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 (edge) |
Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.12 expected points added per play vs -0.14.
Who moved the needle
Passing · KC
21/28, 249 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
5.8 expected points added · +7.0% completion over expected
Passing · ARI
22/39, 208 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
-11.0 expected points added · -5.6% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 25 | 5 | 75 | 0:56 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | ARI | ARI 25 | 14 | 65 | 6:01 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | KC | ARI 38 | 8 | 22 | 5:03 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | ARI | ARI 25 | 5 | 2 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 5 | KC | KC 18 | 9 | 54 | 3:58 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | ARI | ARI 28 | 5 | 12 | 2:05 | Punt | |
| 7 | KC | KC 27 | 10 | 73 | 4:53 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | ARI | ARI 32 | 8 | 22 | 3:45 | Punt | |
| 9 | KC | KC 20 | 7 | 16 | 1:21 | Punt | |
| 10 | ARI | ARI 18 | 2 | 0 | 0:25 | End of half | |
| 11 | ARI | ARI 39 | 14 | 54 | 7:12 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | KC | KC 13 | 11 | 38 | 5:16 | Punt | |
| 13 | ARI | ARI 20 | 4 | 9 | 2:12 | Punt | |
| 14 | KC | KC 24 | 5 | 19 | 2:30 | Punt | |
| 15 | ARI | ARI 17 | 2 | 23 | 0:38 | Interception | |
| 16 | KC | ARI 31 | 5 | 31 | 1:58 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | ARI | ARI 25 | 7 | 2 | 2:25 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 18 | KC | KC 10 | 4 | 3 | 1:38 | Punt | |
| 19 | ARI | ARI 24 | 11 | 26 | 3:28 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | KC | ARI 40 | 4 | 0 | 0:23 | Punt | |
| 21 | ARI | ARI 8 | 10 | 46 | 2:03 | Interception | |
| 22 | KC | ARI 30 | 1 | 0 | 0:17 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 75 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Rosen | 22/39 | 208 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Johnson | 21 | 98 | 4.7 | 1 | 2.3 |
| Chase Edmonds | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Josh Rosen | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| J.J. Nelson | 1 | -10 | -10.0 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Johnson | 7 | 9 | 85 | 1 | 24% | 1.8 |
| Ricky Seals-Jones | 5 | 9 | 51 | 0 | 24% | -1.0 |
| Larry Fitzgerald | 6 | 10 | 50 | 0 | 27% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bene' Benwikere | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Antoine Bethea | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre Boston | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Haason Reddick |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 21/28 | 249 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Hunt | 16 | 71 | 4.4 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Chiefs closed -16.5, won by 12 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 49.5; the game landed 40 — under by 9.5.
Conditions and crew
| 0.7 |
| T.J. Logan | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 5% | -1.2 |
| Christian Kirk | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 16% | -1.4 |
| J.J. Nelson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.8 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Patrick Peterson | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chandler Jones | 3 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Markus Golden | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Budda Baker | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Corey Peters | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Bynes | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| -3.5 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Tyreek Hill | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | 0 | 1.2 |
| Spencer Ware | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 1 | 0.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 7 | 10 | 117 | 2 | 36% | 8.1 |
| Travis Kelce | 6 | 7 | 46 | 0 | 25% | 1.9 |
| Demarcus Robinson | 3 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 14% | 2.3 |
| Kareem Hunt | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 7% | 2.3 |
| Chris Conley | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 7% | 0.9 |
| Spencer Ware | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4% | 0.0 |
| Anthony Sherman | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4% | -1.2 |
| Marcus Kemp | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.8 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Ragland | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Sorensen | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dee Ford | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Murray | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Niemann | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dorian O'Daniel | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Fuller | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Williams | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Jones | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Orlando Scandrick | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
