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2018 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 11, 2018 · FirstEnergy Stadium
16
28
Cleveland Browns 28–16. Biggest swing: Q3 8:51, CLE +16% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(8:51) 24-N.Chubb right tackle for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Falcons | Browns |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 73 | 48 |
| Total yards | 382 | 429 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.2 | 8.9 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.00 | 0.36 (edge) |
| Success rate | 48% | 60% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 77% | 48% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.08 | 0.63 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.25 | 0.11 (edge) |
| Third downs | 5/14 | 4/8 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 | 7 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 25 (edge) | 19 |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.36 expected points added per play vs 0.00.
Who moved the needle
Passing · ATL
38/52, 330 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
8.5 expected points added · +3.8% completion over expected
Passing · CLE
17/20, 216 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
19.0 expected points added · +15.7% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | CLE 23 | 6 | 21 | 2:53 | Punt | |
| 2 | ATL | ATL 19 | 7 | 33 | 2:36 | Punt | |
| 3 | CLE | CLE 12 | 9 | 88 | 4:55 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | ATL | ATL 25 | 15 | 61 | 7:18 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | CLE | CLE 24 | 8 | 42 | 3:48 | Interception | |
| 6 | ATL | CLE 45 | 7 | 45 | 3:26 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | CLE | CLE 20 | 10 | 85 | 4:09 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | ATL | ATL 25 | 5 | 14 | 0:55 | End of half | |
| 9 | ATL | ATL 22 | 4 | 19 | 1:33 | Fumble | |
| 10 | CLE | ATL 41 | 7 | 41 | 3:00 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | ATL | ATL 33 | 6 | 21 | 1:26 | Punt | |
| 12 | CLE | CLE 8 | 3 | 92 | 0:16 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | ATL | ATL 25 | 7 | 17 | 2:37 | Punt | |
| 14 | CLE | CLE 20 | 7 | 33 | 4:43 | Fumble | |
| 15 | ATL | ATL 19 | 10 | 67 | 4:56 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | CLE | CLE 1 | 5 | 23 | 3:02 | Punt | |
| 17 | ATL | ATL 31 | 14 | 69 | 4:03 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | CLE | CLE 20 | 5 | 4 | 0:32 | Punt | |
| 19 | ATL | ATL 19 | 9 | 36 | 2:33 | Fumble | |
| 20 | CLE | CLE 49 | 2 | 0 | 1:19 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 92 scrimmage yards over 3 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 38/52 | 330 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tevin Coleman | 11 | 44 | 4.0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Matt Ryan | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Ito Smith | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Calvin Ridley | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julio Jones | 7 | 11 | 107 | 1 | 22% | 4.8 |
| Austin Hooper | 10 | 11 | 56 | 1 | 22% | 7.0 |
| Mohamed Sanu | 6 | 8 | 47 | 0 | 16% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Vondre Campbell | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Robert Alford | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Richards | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Duke Riley |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | 17/20 | 216 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19.0 |
| Dontrell Hilliard | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6.4 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Falcons closed -5.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 49.5; the game landed 44 — under by 5.5.
Conditions and crew
| -3.5 |
| Calvin Ridley | 3 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 10% | -0.2 |
| Tevin Coleman | 3 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 10% | 0.6 |
| Eric Saubert | 1 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 4% | -3.0 |
| Ito Smith | 4 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 10% | -0.4 |
| Logan Paulsen | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 4% | 1.8 |
| Marvin Hall | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 2% | 0.9 |
| Justin Hardy | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2% | 0.6 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Derrick Shelby | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Grady Jarrett | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Damontae Kazee | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Foyesade Oluokun | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kemal Ishmael | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Desmond Trufant | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Nick Chubb | 20 | 176 | 8.8 | 1 | 4.7 |
| Baker Mayfield | 6 | 20 | 3.3 | 0 | 1.0 |
| Duke Johnson | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Callaway | 2 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 10% | 2.5 |
| Nick Chubb | 3 | 3 | 33 | 1 | 14% | 4.0 |
| Breshad Perriman | 2 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 10% | 2.6 |
| Duke Johnson | 4 | 4 | 31 | 1 | 19% | 3.0 |
| Rashard Higgins | 1 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 5% | 2.8 |
| Jarvis Landry | 2 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 24% | 1.2 |
| David Njoku | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 5% | 1.7 |
| Dontrell Hilliard | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 5% | 0.6 |
| Orson Charles | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 5% | 0.6 |
| Baker Mayfield | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5% | -6.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Collins | 8 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joe Schobert | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tanner Vallejo | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| T.J. Carrie | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Briean Boddy-Calhoun | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jabrill Peppers | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Larry Ogunjobi | 2 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Damarious Randall | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Kindred | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Genard Avery | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
