2018 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 11, 2018 · Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

Oakland Raiders

LAC -10.5 ✓U 50 ✓16 mph windChargers closed -10.5 and covered, winning by 14.

Los Angeles Chargers 20–6. Biggest swing: Q2 11:20, LAC +11% win probability on one snap. Played in 16 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 11:20LAC — OAK LV ball · 3rd & 6LAC 68%

(11:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at LAC 30 for -9 yards (54-M.Ingram). FUMBLES (54-M.Ingram) [54-M.Ingram], RECOVERED by LAC-94-C.Liuget at LAC 36. 94-C.Liuget to LV 40 for 24 yards (30-J.Richard). 4-yards loose ball ya

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 11:20LAC +11% win prob(11:20) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at LAC 30 for -9 yards (54-M.Ingram). FUMBLES (54-M.Ingram) [54-M.Ingram], RECOVERED by LAC-94-C.Liuget at LAC 36. 94-C.Liuget to LV 40 for 24 yards (30-J.Richard). 4-yards loose ball yardage.
Q1 · 12:33OAK +8% win prob(12:33) (Punt formation) 5-J.Townsend left end ran ob at LAC 21 for 42 yards (30-A.Ekeler).
Q1 · 8:08LAC +5% win prob(8:08) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 17-D.Harris to LAC 1 for no gain (33-D.James).
Q2 · 9:58OAK +5% win prob(9:58) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short right to 16-Ty.Williams pushed ob at LV 23 for 12 yards (22-R.Melvin).

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LAC

Philip RiversQB

18/26, 223 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

7.1 expected points added · +7.5% completion over expected

Rushing · LAC

Melvin GordonRB

18 att, 93 yds, 0 TD

1.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LAC

Melvin GordonRB

5/6 for 72 yds, 1 TD

23% of team targets · 3.6 expected points added

Receiving · LAC

Keenan AllenWR

6/9 for 57 yds, 1 TD

35% of team targets · 2.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LV	LV 19	14	80	6:57	Turnover on downs
2	LAC	LAC 1	4	5	1:38	Punt
3	LV	LV 41	8	32	3:34	Turnover on downs
4	LAC	LAC 25	5	1	1:08	Punt
5	LV	LV 26	9	38	5:33	Fumble
6	LAC	LV 40	11	26	5:23	Turnover on downs
7	LV	LV 26	5	6	2:14	Punt
8	LAC	LAC 9	9	86	3:09	Touchdown
9	LV	LV 10	2	0	0:24	Turnover on downs
10	LAC	LAC 23	6	77	2:28	Touchdown
11	LV	LV 20	7	4	3:34	Punt
12	LAC	LAC 25	3	6	1:33	Interception
13	LV	LV 27	4	15	1:41	Punt
14	LAC	LAC 11	6	32	2:51	Punt
15	LV	LV 19	9	69	3:04	Turnover on downs
16	LAC	LAC 21	13	62	7:37	Turnover on downs
17	LV	LV 21	10	60	3:02	Turnover on downs
18	LAC	LAC 19	7	40	3:03	Punt
19	LV	LV 22	5	14	1:07	End of game

0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 86 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Chargers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Philip Rivers	18/26	223	2	1	1	7.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Melvin Gordon	18	93	5.2	1.9
Austin Ekeler	3	19	6.3	-0.3
Derek Watt	2	2	1.0	-1.2
Philip Rivers	1	1	1.0	-0.5
Mike Williams	1	0	0.0	-0.5
Travis Benjamin	1	-2	-2.0	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Melvin Gordon	5	6	72	1	23%	3.6
Keenan Allen	6	9	57	1	35%	2.0
Tyrell Williams	4	6	46	0	23%	0.3
Virgil Green	2	3	30	0	12%	1.9
Antonio Gates	1	2	18	0	8%	0.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jatavis Brown	6	5	0.0	0
Adrian Phillips	4	4	0.0	1
Derwin James	4	4	0.0	1
Jahleel Addae	4	2	0.0	0
Austin Ekeler	5	0	0.0	0
Michael Davis	3	1	0.0	1
Melvin Ingram	2	1	1.0	0
Casey Hayward	2	0	0.0	1
Kyle Emanuel	2	0	0.0	0
Hayes Pullard	2	0	0.0	0

Oakland Raiders

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LAC -10.5
Closing total: 50
LAC moneyline: -458
OAK moneyline: +391

Chargers closed -10.5 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 50; the game landed 26 — under by 24.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 69°F, wind 16 mph
Referee: Craig Wrolstad
Rest: LAC 7 days · OAK 10 days
Coaches: Anthony Lynn vs Jon Gruden

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 16 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.