2018 Week 11 · Mon, Nov 19, 2018 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Kansas City Chiefs

Los Angeles RamsWinner

LA -3 pushO 63.5 ✓Rams closed -3 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Los Angeles Rams 54–51 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 1:28, KC +35% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 1:28KC — LA KC ball · 1st & 10LA 55%

(1:28) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right intended for 17-C.Conley INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters [50-S.Ebukam] at LA 26. 22-M.Peters to LA 35 for 9 yards (17-C.Conley).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 1:28KC +35% win prob(1:28) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right intended for 17-C.Conley INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters [50-S.Ebukam] at LA 26. 22-M.Peters to LA 35 for 9 yards (17-C.Conley).
Q4 · 1:56LA +30% win prob(1:56) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep right to 81-G.Everett for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 11:16KC +29% win prob(11:16) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at LA 4 for -10 yards (50-J.Houston). FUMBLES (50-J.Houston), RECOVERED by KC-97-A.Bailey at LA 2. 97-A.Bailey for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 2:00KC +26% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes sacked at KC 13 for -9 yards (99-A.Donald). FUMBLES (99-A.Donald) [99-A.Donald], RECOVERED by LA-50-S.Ebukam at KC 11. 50-S.Ebukam for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Chiefs	Rams
Offensive plays	69	73
Total yards	546 (edge)	457
Yards per play	7.9 (edge)	6.3
Expected points added / play	0.10	0.11 (edge)
Success rate	49% (edge)	40%
Dropback rate	78%	77%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.16	0.21 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.11 (edge)	-0.22
Third downs	5/10 (edge)	5/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	10 (edge)	8
First downs gained on snaps	23	25 (edge)
Sacks taken	3 (edge)	5
Turnovers	6	2 (edge)

Chiefs outgained Rams 546–457 but lost the turnover battle 6–2. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · KC

Patrick MahomesQB

33/46, 478 yds, 6 TD, 3 INT

9.4 expected points added · +7.6% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Jared GoffQB

31/49, 413 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

9.3 expected points added · +5.7% completion over expected

Rushing · KC

Kareem HuntRB

14 att, 70 yds, 0 TD

-2.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Todd GurleyRB

12 att, 55 yds, 0 TD

-3.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · KC

Tyreek HillWR

10/14 for 215 yds, 2 TD

30% of team targets · 14.1 expected points added

Receiving · KC

Travis KelceTE

10/15 for 127 yds, 1 TD

33% of team targets · 5.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LA	LA 25	8	59	3:00	Touchdown
2	KC	KC 29	6	17	2:04	Punt
3	LA	LA 17	11	69	4:21	Touchdown
4	KC	KC 25	6	75	2:10	Touchdown
5	LA	LA 16	10	42	3:31	Turnover on downs
6	KC	KC 25	12	78	6:50	Turnover on downs
7	LA	LA 25	4	-4	1:27	Fumble
8	KC	LA 21	2	21	0:09	Touchdown
9	LA	LA 10	7	29	2:24	Punt
10	KC	KC 3	5	8	2:14	Defensive touchdown
11	KC	KC 31	9	69	1:37	Touchdown
12	LA	LA 25	2	0	0:13	End of half
13	KC	KC 29	5	20	1:33	Fumble
14	LA	KC 46	9	46	2:35	Touchdown
15	KC	KC 36	10	64	3:43	Touchdown
16	LA	LA 35	10	50	4:45	Turnover on downs
17	KC	KC 25	2	0	0:10	Defensive touchdown
18	KC	KC 24	5	1	1:16	Defensive touchdown
19	LA	LA 34	5	16	2:26	Punt
20	KC	KC 9	4	91	1:28	Touchdown
21	LA	LA 15	4	-13	0:57	Defensive touchdown
22	LA	LA 25	8	75	1:29	Touchdown
23	KC	KC 25	5	7	1:29	Punt
24	LA	LA 16	4	9	1:36	Punt
25	KC	KC 35	9	55	3:46	Touchdown
26	LA	LA 25	8	75	0:58	Touchdown
27	KC	KC 26	5	26	0:31	Interception
28	LA	LA 35	4	4	0:28	Punt
29	KC	KC 12	4	14	0:37	Interception
30	LA	LA 33	1	0	0:13	End of game

0 of 30 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 91 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Kansas City Chiefs

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Patrick Mahomes	33/46	478	6	3	3	9.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kareem Hunt	14	70	5.0	0	-2.5
Patrick Mahomes	6	28	4.7	0	-0.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyreek Hill	10	14	215	2	30%	14.1
Travis Kelce	10	15	127	1	33%	5.6
Chris Conley	7	8	74	2	17%	6.9
Kareem Hunt	3	4	41	1	9%	4.5
Demarcus Robinson	1	2	14	0	4%	1.4
Sammy Watkins	1	1	4	0	2%	-0.2
Demetrius Harris	1	2	3	0	4%	-7.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Ron Parker	6	1	0.0	1
Steven Nelson	5	1	0.0	1
Chris Jones	6	0	2.0	1
Anthony Hitchens	3	2	0.0	0
Eric Murray	5	0	0.0	0
Xavier Williams	3	1	1.0	0
Dorian O'Daniel	3	1	0.0	0
Justin Houston	4	0	1.0	0
Kendall Fuller	3	0	0.0	1
Marcus Kemp	2	0	0.0	0

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	31/49	413	4	0	5	9.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Todd Gurley	12	55	4.6	0	-3.1
Malcolm Brown	4	15	3.8	0	-0.1
Jared Goff	4	6	1.5	1	2.3
Brandin Cooks	1	0	0.0	0	-0.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Brandin Cooks	8	12	107	0	26%	6.2
Josh Reynolds	6	8	80	1	17%	5.4
Robert Woods	4	11	72	1	24%	0.5
Tyler Higbee	6	7	63	0	15%	5.1
Gerald Everett	3	4	49	2	9%	5.3
Todd Gurley	3	3	39	0	7%	2.4
KhaDarel Hodge	1	1	3	0	2%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
John Johnson	7	2	0.0	0	0
Lamarcus Joyner	5	2	0.0	1	2
Cory Littleton	5	1	0.0	0	0
Sam Shields	6	0	0.0	0	0
Aaron Donald	2	2	2.0	0	0
Troy Hill	2	2	0.0	0	0
Mark Barron	3	1	0.0	0	0
Bryce Hager	3	0	0.0	0	0
Samson Ebukam	2	1	1.0	1	1
Marqui Christian	2	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -3
Closing total: 63.5
KC moneyline: +153
LA moneyline: -170

Rams closed -3 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Total closed 63.5; the game landed 105 — over by 41.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 65°F, wind 0 mph
Referee: Clete Blakeman
Rest: KC 8 days · LA 8 days
Coaches: Andy Reid vs Sean McVay