For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending.mdto eligible URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown.
2018 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 25, 2018 · Lincoln Financial Field
22
25
Philadelphia Eagles 25–22 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 2:39, PHI +25% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(2:39) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short middle to 13-N.Agholor to NYG 30 for 12 yards (35-C.Riley).
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Giants | Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 58 | 61 |
| Total yards | 402 (edge) | 346 |
| Yards per play | 6.9 (edge) | 5.7 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.18 (edge) | 0.14 |
| Success rate | 43% | 52% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 69% | 51% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.20 | 0.29 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.12 (edge) | -0.00 |
| Third downs | 5/12 (edge) | 3/11 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 | 7 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 19 | 19 |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 (edge) |
Giants outgained Eagles 402–346 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Passing · NYG
26/37, 297 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
8.2 expected points added · +6.6% completion over expected
Passing · PHI
20/28, 236 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
8.9 expected points added · +4.0% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYG | NYG 25 | 11 | 80 | 4:22 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | PHI | PHI 29 | 6 | 29 | 2:21 | Punt | |
| 3 | PHI | NYG 6 | 11 | 92 | 5:04 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | PHI | PHI 24 | 7 | 8 | 3:13 | Punt | |
| 5 | NYG | NYG 13 | 10 | 77 | 5:26 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | PHI | PHI 30 | 8 | 46 | 4:15 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | NYG | NYG 25 | 5 | 75 | 1:13 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | PHI | PHI 25 | 8 | 74 | 3:02 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | NYG | NYG 46 | 7 | 27 | 1:00 | Interception | |
| 10 | PHI | PHI 27 | 1 | 0 | 0:04 | End of half | |
| 11 | PHI | PHI 25 | 10 | 23 | 2:39 | Punt | |
| 12 | NYG | NYG 10 | 4 | -4 | 2:14 | Punt | |
| 13 | PHI | NYG 47 | 8 | 37 | 3:18 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | NYG | NYG 25 | 7 | 7 | 2:22 | Punt | |
| 15 | PHI | PHI 34 | 7 | 11 | 4:25 | Punt | |
| 16 | NYG | NYG 22 | 4 | -10 | 0:57 | Punt | |
| 17 | PHI | PHI 39 | 8 | 63 | 3:54 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | NYG | NYG 33 | 9 | 56 | 4:22 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | PHI | PHI 25 | 11 | 50 | 5:27 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | NYG | NYG 34 | 4 | 7 | 0:22 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 92 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a turnover on downs.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Manning | 26/37 | 297 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8.2 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | 13 | 101 | 7.8 | 1 | 1.5 |
| Wayne Gallman | 5 | 25 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odell Beckham | 5 | 9 | 85 | 0 | 24% | 2.6 |
| Rhett Ellison | 4 | 6 | 77 | 0 | 16% | 4.8 |
| Saquon Barkley | 7 | 8 | 41 | 1 | 22% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Collins | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Curtis Riley | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Thomas | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alec Ogletree |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Wentz | 20/28 | 236 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Adams | 22 | 84 | 3.8 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Eagles closed -4.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 49; the game landed 47 — under by 2.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
| 2.0 |
| Sterling Shepard | 4 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 16% | 0.6 |
| Russell Shepard | 1 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 3% | 3.2 |
| Bennie Fowler | 2 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 8% | 1.3 |
| Elijhaa Penny | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
| Corey Coleman | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.6 |
| Wayne Gallman | 2 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 5% | -1.5 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 1.0 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| B.J. Goodson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dalvin Tomlinson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tae Davis | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Grant Haley | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| B.J. Hill | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Janoris Jenkins | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -0.9 |
| Corey Clement | 5 | 45 | 9.0 | 0 | 2.4 |
| Carson Wentz | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Ertz | 7 | 8 | 91 | 1 | 29% | 8.7 |
| Alshon Jeffery | 3 | 3 | 39 | 0 | 11% | 2.6 |
| Dallas Goedert | 3 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 14% | 1.0 |
| Corey Clement | 2 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 7% | 2.2 |
| Golden Tate | 4 | 8 | 30 | 0 | 29% | -1.4 |
| Nelson Agholor | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 4% | 2.5 |
| Josh Adams | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
| Jordan Matthews | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.9 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Graham | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| De'Vante Bausby | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamu Grugier-Hill | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nigel Bradham | 2 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Gerry | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malcolm Jenkins | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Chandon Sullivan | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Graham | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fletcher Cox | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| D.J. Alexander | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
