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2018 Week 12 · Sun, Nov 25, 2018 · Sports Authority Field at Mile High
17
24
Denver Broncos 24–17. Biggest swing: Q3 10:47, DEN +26% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(10:47) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep middle to 19-J.Smith-Schuster for 97 yards, TOUCHDOWN [96-S.Harris].
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Steelers | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 76 | 50 |
| Total yards | 527 (edge) | 311 |
| Yards per play | 6.9 (edge) | 6.2 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.05 | 0.10 (edge) |
| Success rate | 51% (edge) | 42% |
| Dropback rate | 82% | 60% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.06 | 0.10 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.02 | 0.11 (edge) |
| Third downs | 6/14 (edge) | 3/10 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 | 6 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 25 (edge) | 17 |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 2 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 (edge) |
Steelers outgained Broncos 527–311 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Passing · PIT
41/56, 462 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
11.3 expected points added · +5.3% completion over expected
Passing · DEN
15/28, 197 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
2.9 expected points added · -7.2% completion over expected
Receiving · PIT
13/17 for 189 yds, 1 TD
29% of team targets · 9.6 expected points added
Receiving · DEN
7/12 for 86 yds, 1 TD
43% of team targets · 2.0 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | DEN 25 | 5 | 5 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 2 | PIT | PIT 23 | 10 | 52 | 3:55 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | DEN | DEN 38 | 8 | 49 | 3:10 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | PIT | PIT 25 | 13 | 74 | 6:37 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | DEN | DEN 20 | 8 | 32 | 3:00 | Punt | |
| 6 | PIT | PIT 21 | 9 | 50 | 5:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | DEN | DEN 25 | 8 | 70 | 3:02 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | PIT | PIT 25 | 14 | 75 | 3:27 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | PIT | PIT 25 | 6 | 12 | 2:03 | Punt | |
| 10 | DEN | DEN 27 | 6 | 20 | 2:10 | Punt | |
| 11 | PIT | PIT 3 | 2 | 97 | 0:15 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | DEN | DEN 25 | 5 | 2 | 0:58 | Punt | |
| 13 | PIT | PIT 23 | 6 | 30 | 3:27 | Interception | |
| 14 | DEN | PIT 43 | 3 | 43 | 0:37 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | PIT | PIT 25 | 6 | 16 | 1:10 | Punt | |
| 16 | DEN | DEN 10 | 4 | 2 | 1:04 | Punt | |
| 17 | PIT | PIT 37 | 5 | 40 | 3:16 | Fumble | |
| 18 | DEN | DEN 21 | 12 | 84 | 5:43 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | PIT | PIT 25 | 7 | 27 | 2:07 | Punt | |
| 20 | DEN | DEN 16 | 4 | 4 | 2:44 | Punt | |
| 21 | PIT | PIT 44 | 10 | 54 | 3:23 | Interception | |
| 22 | DEN | DEN 20 | 3 | 0 | 1:03 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Steelers gained 97 scrimmage yards over 2 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Roethlisberger | 41/56 | 462 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11.3 |
| Chris Boswell | 1/1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.0 |
| Antonio Brown | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Conner | 13 | 53 | 4.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Ben Roethlisberger | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 0 | 1.9 |
| Ryan Switzer | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | 13 | 17 | 189 | 1 | 29% | 9.6 |
| Ryan Switzer | 6 | 8 | 67 | 0 | 14% | 4.8 |
| Antonio Brown | 9 | 13 | 67 | 0 | 22% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Edmunds | 8 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javon Hargrave | 1 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jon Bostic | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean Davis |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Case Keenum | 15/28 | 197 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Lindsay | 14 | 110 | 7.9 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Steelers closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 47.5; the game landed 41 — under by 6.5.
Conditions and crew
| -10.0 |
| James Conner | 4 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 7% | -1.5 |
| Jesse James | 4 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 7% | 3.0 |
| Vance McDonald | 3 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 9% | 0.3 |
| Xavier Grimble | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 2% | -4.9 |
| Jaylen Samuels | 1 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 3% | 1.3 |
| Alejandro Villanueva | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2% | 4.0 |
| James Washington | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5% | -2.1 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Joe Haden | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Cameron Heyward | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
| L.J. Fort | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vince Williams | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyson Alualu | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Coty Sensabaugh | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.6 |
| Royce Freeman | 6 | 17 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Case Keenum | 3 | -3 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Sanders | 7 | 12 | 86 | 1 | 43% | 2.0 |
| Jeff Heuerman | 2 | 3 | 44 | 0 | 11% | 1.9 |
| Matt LaCosse | 3 | 4 | 34 | 1 | 14% | 2.8 |
| Courtland Sutton | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 14% | -0.4 |
| DaeSean Hamilton | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 7% | 0.2 |
| Devontae Booker | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7% | -0.1 |
| Brian Parker | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Davis | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Simmons | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bradley Roby | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Josey Jewell | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Harris | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Will Parks | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bradley Chubb | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tramaine Brock | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adam Gotsis | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brendan Langley | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
