For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending.mdto eligible URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown.
2018 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 9, 2018 · Lambeau Field
20
34
Green Bay Packers 34–20. Biggest swing: Q2 6:08, ATL +11% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(6:08) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right intended for 81-A.Hooper INTERCEPTED by 26-B.Breeland at ATL 22. 26-B.Breeland for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Falcons | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 68 | 60 |
| Total yards | 344 (edge) | 301 |
| Yards per play | 5.1 (edge) | 5.0 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.01 | 0.12 (edge) |
| Success rate | 51% (edge) | 43% |
| Dropback rate | 65% | 65% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.15 | 0.17 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.25 | 0.03 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/12 | 7/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 7 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 22 (edge) | 17 |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 (edge) |
Falcons outgained Packers 344–301 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Passing · ATL
28/42, 262 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
6.6 expected points added · -0.3% completion over expected
Passing · GB
21/32, 196 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
2.8 expected points added · -0.4% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATL | ATL 25 | 9 | 80 | 3:24 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | GB | GB 25 | 11 | 69 | 4:25 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | ATL | ATL 27 | 13 | 38 | 6:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | GB | GB 43 | 4 | -10 | 0:49 | Punt | |
| 5 | ATL | ATL 22 | 4 | -2 | 1:05 | Punt | |
| 6 | GB | GB 25 | 12 | 43 | 6:02 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | ATL | ATL 8 | 4 | 6 | 1:44 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 8 | ATL | ATL 29 | 7 | 22 | 3:16 | Punt | |
| 9 | GB | GB 7 | 10 | 43 | 2:45 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | GB | GB 28 | 8 | 47 | 2:16 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | ATL | ATL 26 | 5 | -1 | 2:15 | Punt | |
| 12 | GB | GB 24 | 9 | 71 | 4:38 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | ATL | ATL 24 | 6 | 11 | 2:04 | Punt | |
| 14 | GB | GB 23 | 4 | 3 | 1:00 | Punt | |
| 15 | ATL | ATL 32 | 12 | 78 | 4:13 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | GB | GB 25 | 5 | 8 | 2:55 | Punt | |
| 17 | ATL | ATL 39 | 11 | 58 | 3:55 | Fumble | |
| 18 | GB | GB 7 | 9 | 27 | 4:07 | Punt | |
| 19 | ATL | ATL 46 | 11 | 54 | 2:23 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | GB | ATL 48 | 2 | 0 | 0:14 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Falcons gained 80 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Ryan | 28/42 | 262 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ito Smith | 11 | 60 | 5.5 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Tevin Coleman | 10 | 45 | 4.5 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Brian Hill | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Matt Ryan | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Marvin Hall | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julio Jones | 8 | 11 | 106 | 2 | 26% | 6.5 |
| Mohamed Sanu | 6 | 8 | 54 | 0 | 19% | 5.8 |
| Austin Hooper | 4 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 14% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deion Jones | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Brian Poole | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| De'Vondre Campbell | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Desmond Trufant |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 21/32 | 196 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | 17 | 78 | 4.6 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Packers closed -4 and covered, winning by 14.
Total closed 51; the game landed 54 — over by 3.0.
Conditions and crew
| -4.6 |
| Justin Hardy | 3 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 10% | 3.9 |
| Eric Saubert | 2 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 7% | 0.5 |
| Ito Smith | 3 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 10% | 1.9 |
| Calvin Ridley | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 10% | -0.6 |
| Marvin Hall | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -0.7 |
| Tevin Coleman | 1 | 1 | -4 | 0 | 2% | -0.7 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 1.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Isaiah Oliver | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Robert Alford | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Damontae Kazee | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Deadrin Senat | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Crawford | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Richards | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.3 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | 0 | 4.0 |
| Jamaal Williams | 4 | 17 | 4.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| DeShone Kizer | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante Adams | 7 | 11 | 81 | 1 | 35% | 5.4 |
| Randall Cobb | 5 | 6 | 43 | 1 | 19% | 2.3 |
| Aaron Jones | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 10% | 1.8 |
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 6% | 0.9 |
| Jimmy Graham | 2 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 16% | -0.9 |
| Equanimeous St. Brown | 2 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 10% | 0.3 |
| Jamaal Williams | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Martinez | 9 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaire Alexander | 10 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Josh Jones | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kentrell Brice | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Brown | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dean Lowry | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyler Fackrell | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Lancaster | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Clay Matthews | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Jackson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
