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2018 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 9, 2018 · Arrowhead Stadium
24
27
Kansas City Chiefs 27–24 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: OT 4:46, KC +57% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(4:46) 7-H.Butker 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-41-J.Winchester, Holder-2-D.Colquitt.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Ravens | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 68 | 83 |
| Total yards | 321 | 442 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.7 | 5.3 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.08 | 0.12 (edge) |
| Success rate | 47% (edge) | 46% |
| Dropback rate | 44% | 69% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.20 (edge) | 0.19 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.01 (edge) | -0.04 |
| Third downs | 5/12 (edge) | 7/17 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 22 | 27 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.12 expected points added per play vs 0.08.
Who moved the needle
Passing · KC
35/53, 377 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
11.8 expected points added · +7.6% completion over expected
Passing · BAL
13/24, 147 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
6.7 expected points added · -6.4% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 25 | 10 | 28 | 3:38 | Punt | |
| 2 | BAL | BAL 17 | 6 | 13 | 2:38 | Punt | |
| 3 | KC | KC 25 | 11 | 63 | 5:41 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | BAL | BAL 25 | 10 | 75 | 3:46 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | KC | KC 25 | 9 | 27 | 2:40 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | BAL | BAL 41 | 10 | 34 | 4:37 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | KC | KC 25 | 11 | 60 | 4:23 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | BAL | BAL 18 | 6 | 17 | 1:01 | Punt | |
| 9 | KC | KC 19 | 9 | 70 | 1:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | BAL | BAL 25 | 7 | 46 | 3:21 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | KC | KC 39 | 3 | 7 | 1:14 | Interception | |
| 12 | BAL | BAL 27 | 15 | 68 | 7:15 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | KC | KC 25 | 14 | 48 | 6:49 | Punt | |
| 14 | BAL | BAL 9 | 8 | 30 | 4:31 | Punt | |
| 15 | KC | KC 22 | 4 | -3 | 1:52 | Punt | |
| 16 | BAL | KC 14 | 4 | 14 | 0:54 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | KC | KC 25 | 13 | 85 | 3:11 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | BAL | BAL 25 | 4 | -2 | 0:15 | Fumble | |
| 19 | KC | BAL 23 | 3 | -2 | 0:38 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | KC | KC 25 | 12 | 59 | 5:18 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | BAL | BAL 25 | 10 | 26 | 3:09 | Turnover on downs |
0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 85 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 13/24 | 147 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6.7 |
| Robert Griffin | 0/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 14 | 67 | 4.8 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Gus Edwards | 16 | 67 | 4.2 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Kenneth Dixon | 8 | 59 | 7.4 | 1 | 4.3 |
| Ty Montgomery | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Snead | 5 | 7 | 61 | 0 | 27% | 7.5 |
| Michael Crabtree | 3 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 15% | 1.6 |
| John Brown | 2 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 23% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Smith | 10 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| C.J. Mosley | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Pierce | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Weddle |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 35/53 | 377 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Ware | 15 | 75 | 5.0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Chiefs closed -6.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 49; the game landed 51 — over by 2.0.
Conditions and crew
| 2.2 |
| Kenneth Dixon | 1 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 4% | 1.7 |
| Maxx Williams | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 4% | 4.0 |
| Ty Montgomery | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12% | -1.8 |
| Chris Moore | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8% | -1.4 |
| Mark Andrews | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8% | -1.6 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| Marlon Humphrey | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Carr | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Williams | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brent Urban | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrell Suggs | 3 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
| Patrick Onwuasor | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.2 |
| Damien Williams | 8 | 14 | 1.8 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Tyreek Hill | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Anthony Sherman | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 1.7 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 2 | -3 | -1.5 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 8 | 14 | 139 | 0 | 29% | 6.3 |
| Travis Kelce | 7 | 9 | 77 | 1 | 19% | 8.6 |
| Spencer Ware | 5 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 10% | 1.8 |
| Demarcus Robinson | 5 | 7 | 42 | 0 | 15% | -1.0 |
| Demetrius Harris | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 6% | 2.6 |
| Damien Williams | 4 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 10% | 3.3 |
| Chris Conley | 2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 6% | -0.1 |
| Darrel Williams | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2% | -0.1 |
| Anthony Sherman | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -0.7 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Hitchens | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Fuller | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 |
| Reggie Ragland | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Nnadi | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Houston | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dee Ford | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Allen Bailey | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron Parker | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Jones | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Orlando Scandrick | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
