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2018 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 9, 2018 · FirstEnergy Stadium
20
26
Cleveland Browns 26–20. Biggest swing: Q4 14:13, CLE +19% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(14:13) 80-J.Landry right guard to CAR 4 for 51 yards (59-L.Kuechly).
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Panthers | Browns |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 69 | 43 |
| Total yards | 393 (edge) | 350 |
| Yards per play | 5.7 | 8.1 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.00 | 0.04 (edge) |
| Success rate | 39% | 40% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 67% | 58% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.05 (edge) | -0.09 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.11 | 0.21 (edge) |
| Third downs | 5/14 | 4/9 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 (edge) | 6 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 20 (edge) | 11 |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.04 expected points added per play vs 0.00.
Who moved the needle
Passing · CAR
26/42, 265 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-1.6 expected points added · -3.8% completion over expected
Passing · CLE
18/22, 238 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
7.8 expected points added · +13.9% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | CAR 35 | 12 | 70 | 5:43 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | CLE | CLE 25 | 5 | 72 | 1:36 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | CAR | CAR 25 | 10 | 34 | 5:01 | Punt | |
| 4 | CLE | CLE 14 | 2 | 7 | 1:09 | Fumble | |
| 5 | CAR | CLE 17 | 6 | 17 | 2:18 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | CLE | CLE 25 | 10 | 85 | 5:46 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | CAR | CAR 18 | 9 | 75 | 4:24 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | CLE | CLE 25 | 9 | 44 | 3:04 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | CAR | CAR 25 | 7 | 60 | 0:59 | Fumble | |
| 10 | CLE | CLE 35 | 2 | -3 | 0:08 | Fumble | |
| 11 | CAR | CLE 32 | 4 | -3 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 12 | CLE | CLE 11 | 4 | -6 | 1:38 | Punt | |
| 13 | CAR | CAR 46 | 10 | 63 | 4:26 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | CLE | CLE 25 | 5 | 20 | 2:55 | Punt | |
| 15 | CAR | CAR 25 | 6 | 5 | 2:40 | Punt | |
| 16 | CLE | CLE 25 | 7 | 70 | 3:31 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | CAR | CAR 25 | 5 | 0 | 0:24 | Punt | |
| 18 | CLE | CLE 37 | 6 | 40 | 3:55 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | CAR | CAR 25 | 13 | 72 | 6:11 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | CLE | CLE 3 | 6 | 21 | 1:31 | Punt | |
| 21 | CAR | CAR 35 | 1 | 0 | 0:07 | Interception | |
| 22 | CLE | CAR 48 | 2 | 0 | 0:57 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 85 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Newton | 26/42 | 265 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Taylor Heinicke | 1/1 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | 16 | 63 | 3.9 | 2 | 1.4 |
| Cam Newton | 5 | 23 | 4.6 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Jarius Wright | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Cameron Artis-Payne | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.5 |
| D.J. Moore |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Samuel | 4 | 8 | 80 | 0 | 19% | -1.8 |
| Ian Thomas | 9 | 11 | 77 | 0 | 26% | 3.6 |
| D.J. Moore | 5 | 8 | 67 | 0 | 19% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kuechly | 6 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Donte Jackson | 8 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Thomas Davis | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Reid |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | 18/22 | 238 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7.8 |
| Jarvis Landry | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Panthers closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 48; the game landed 46 — under by 2.0.
Conditions and crew
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| -1.0 |
| Alex Armah | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 2.1 |
| Christian McCaffrey | 6 | 7 | 38 | 0 | 17% | 1.8 |
| Jarius Wright | 3 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 12% | -2.3 |
| Devin Funchess | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7% | -4.3 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| James Bradberry | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaq Thompson | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Captain Munnerlyn | 2 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dontari Poe | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kawann Short | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Nick Chubb | 13 | 66 | 5.1 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Jarvis Landry | 2 | 54 | 27.0 | 1 | 5.1 |
| Baker Mayfield | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Duke Johnson | 2 | -6 | -3.0 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breshad Perriman | 2 | 2 | 81 | 0 | 9% | 4.9 |
| Jarvis Landry | 3 | 4 | 57 | 1 | 17% | 0.3 |
| David Njoku | 3 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 17% | 0.1 |
| Dontrell Hilliard | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 9% | -0.0 |
| Rashard Higgins | 2 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 13% | -3.5 |
| Nick Chubb | 4 | 6 | 17 | 0 | 26% | -1.7 |
| Orson Charles | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 4% | 0.8 |
| Antonio Callaway | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.6 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damarious Randall | 8 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Joe Schobert | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamie Collins | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terrance Mitchell | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Briean Boddy-Calhoun | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Garrett | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| T.J. Carrie | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Tanner Vallejo | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Genard Avery | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Derrick Kindred | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
