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2018 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 9, 2018 · StubHub Center
21
26
Los Angeles Chargers 26–21. Biggest swing: Q2 0:25, LAC +8% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:25) (Shotgun) 6-J.Driskel pass short middle to 15-J.Ross for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Bengals | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 64 | 56 |
| Total yards | 295 (edge) | 288 |
| Yards per play | 4.6 | 5.1 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.03 | 0.07 (edge) |
| Success rate | 42% | 50% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 52% | 57% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.15 (edge) | 0.11 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.11 | 0.00 (edge) |
| Third downs | 5/13 | 5/13 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 19 (edge) | 17 |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.07 expected points added per play vs 0.03.
Who moved the needle
Passing · LAC
19/29, 220 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
3.6 expected points added · -0.7% completion over expected
Passing · CIN
18/27, 170 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
3.3 expected points added · +4.9% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | LAC 25 | 8 | 75 | 3:21 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | CIN | CIN 20 | 10 | 51 | 5:16 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | LAC | LAC 25 | 15 | 85 | 6:32 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | CIN | CIN 25 | 7 | 16 | 2:43 | Punt | |
| 5 | LAC | LAC 7 | 4 | -2 | 1:46 | Punt | |
| 6 | CIN | LAC 46 | 10 | 50 | 5:21 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | LAC | LAC 17 | 5 | 0 | 1:24 | Punt | |
| 8 | CIN | CIN 46 | 4 | -11 | 1:36 | Punt | |
| 9 | LAC | LAC 7 | 4 | -1 | 0:26 | Punt | |
| 10 | CIN | LAC 35 | 6 | 35 | 1:15 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | LAC | LAC 32 | 4 | 22 | 0:20 | End of half | |
| 12 | CIN | CIN 26 | 5 | 14 | 2:16 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | LAC | CIN 35 | 11 | 22 | 5:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | CIN | CIN 28 | 9 | 38 | 3:39 | Punt | |
| 15 | LAC | LAC 4 | 7 | 19 | 2:59 | Punt | |
| 16 | CIN | CIN 39 | 8 | 33 | 3:48 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | LAC | LAC 25 | 9 | 61 | 4:27 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | CIN | CIN 21 | 13 | 69 | 5:55 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | LAC | CIN 34 | 5 | 7 | 1:01 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | CIN | CIN 23 | 4 | 0 | 0:49 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 85 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Driskel | 18/27 | 170 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | 26 | 111 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Alex Erickson | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Jeff Driskel | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Giovani Bernard | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Boyd | 3 | 6 | 52 | 0 | 24% | 2.3 |
| C.J. Uzomah | 3 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 12% | 2.3 |
| Cody Core | 3 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 16% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessie Bates | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shawn Williams | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| KeiVarae Russell | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Johnson |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Rivers | 19/29 | 220 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Ekeler | 15 | 66 | 4.4 | 1 |
Closing number vs result
Chargers closed -17, won by 5 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 48.5; the game landed 47 — under by 1.5.
Conditions and crew
| 2.2 |
| Joe Mixon | 5 | 6 | 27 | 0 | 24% | 0.7 |
| Giovani Bernard | 2 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 8% | 0.6 |
| John Ross | 2 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 16% | -0.3 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Carlos Dunlap | 4 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 |
| William Jackson | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jordan Evans | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Ringo | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Cody Core | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Clayton Fejedelem | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.2 |
| Justin Jackson | 7 | 12 | 1.7 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Philip Rivers | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Keenan Allen | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Allen | 5 | 8 | 78 | 1 | 28% | 1.4 |
| Mike Williams | 3 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 21% | 1.5 |
| Austin Ekeler | 2 | 5 | 28 | 0 | 17% | 1.2 |
| Justin Jackson | 2 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 7% | 1.1 |
| Antonio Gates | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 7% | 0.7 |
| Tyrell Williams | 3 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 14% | 0.7 |
| Travis Benjamin | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3% | 0.1 |
| Derek Watt | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahleel Addae | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derwin James | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jatavis Brown | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Joey Bosa | 6 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Melvin Ingram | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adrian Phillips | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jeff Richards | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Desmond King | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Davis | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Emanuel | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
