2018 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 9, 2018 · FedExField

New York GiantsWinner

Washington Commanders

NYG -3 ✓O 40.5 ✓Giants closed -3 and covered, winning by 24.

New York Giants 40–16 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 2:52, NYG +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 2:52NYG — WAS WAS ball · 2nd & 11NYG 66%

(2:52) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left intended for 17-M.Floyd INTERCEPTED by 35-C.Riley (96-K.Martin) at WAS 9. 35-C.Riley for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 2:52NYG +12% win prob(2:52) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left intended for 17-M.Floyd INTERCEPTED by 35-C.Riley (96-K.Martin) at WAS 9. 35-C.Riley for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 4:09NYG +7% win prob(4:09) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning sacked at NYG 49 for -8 yards (95-D.Payne).
Q2 · 8:54WAS +5% win prob(8:54) 26-S.Barkley right guard for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 12:49NYG +5% win prob(12:49) 10-E.Manning pass short right to 26-S.Barkley pushed ob at NYG 18 for -3 yards (24-J.Norman).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Giants	Commanders
Offensive plays	62	59
Total yards	404 (edge)	292
Yards per play	6.5 (edge)	4.9
Expected points added / play	0.09 (edge)	-0.31
Success rate	39%	39% (edge)
Dropback rate	47%	71%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.04 (edge)	-0.31
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.13 (edge)	-0.30
Third downs	4/13 (edge)	2/11
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6	7 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	17 (edge)	13
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	5
Turnovers	1 (edge)	3

Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.31.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Eli ManningQB

14/22, 197 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

7.9 expected points added · +1.6% completion over expected

Passing · WAS

Josh JohnsonQB

11/16, 195 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

8.6 expected points added · +4.4% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Saquon BarkleyRB

14 att, 170 yds, 1 TD

7.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · WAS

Josh JohnsonQB

7 att, 45 yds, 1 TD

1.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · WAS

Jamison CrowderWR

2/7 for 87 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · -1.5 expected points added

Receiving · WAS

Josh DoctsonWR

4/5 for 84 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 0.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	WAS	WAS 25	7	14	2:11	Punt
2	NYG	NYG 21	4	0	1:33	Punt
3	WAS	WAS 28	4	3	0:54	Punt
4	NYG	NYG 27	4	4	0:58	Punt
5	WAS	WAS 31	6	15	3:45	Punt
6	NYG	NYG 15	5	9	2:22	Punt
7	WAS	WAS 2	2	-1	0:32	Defensive touchdown
8	WAS	WAS 32	5	4	2:38	Punt
9	NYG	NYG 40	9	48	4:29	Turnover on downs
10	WAS	WAS 25	5	3	1:44	Punt
11	NYG	NYG 22	2	78	0:12	Touchdown
12	WAS	WAS 25	3	8	1:00	Interception
13	NYG	WAS 10	4	10	1:21	Touchdown
14	WAS	WAS 25	5	8	2:01	Punt
15	NYG	NYG 18	7	82	2:32	Touchdown
16	WAS	WAS 25	5	-3	0:52	Punt
17	NYG	NYG 42	6	53	0:56	Turnover on downs
18	NYG	NYG 25	5	1	1:32	Punt
19	WAS	WAS 25	4	-7	2:10	Punt
20	NYG	NYG 19	10	81	5:40	Touchdown
21	WAS	WAS 29	12	50	5:38	Turnover on downs
22	NYG	NYG 21	3	0	0:59	Interception
23	WAS	NYG 33	6	22	2:05	Touchdown
24	NYG	NYG 25	5	5	1:33	Punt
25	WAS	WAS 23	3	94	1:35	Touchdown
26	NYG	NYG 25	5	5	1:38	Punt
27	WAS	WAS 25	7	82	2:46	Interception
28	NYG	NYG 24	9	28	4:24	End of game

0 of 28 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 94 scrimmage yards over 3 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Eli Manning	14/22	197	3	0	2	7.9
Kyle Lauletta	0/5	0	0	1	0	-6.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	14	170	12.1	1	7.9
Wayne Gallman	14	38	2.7	0	-3.1
Elijhaa Penny	5	21	4.2	0	-0.5
Kyle Lauletta	1	-2	-2.0	0	-1.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Evan Engram	3	5	77	0	19%	2.8
Corey Coleman	2	2	43	0	8%	3.6
Saquon Barkley	4	5	27	0	19%	0.2
Sterling Shepard	2	6	17	1	23%	0.5
Elijhaa Penny	1	1	16	0	4%	1.5
Russell Shepard	1	4	11	1	15%	-1.8
Bennie Fowler	1	1	6	1	4%	2.1
Wayne Gallman	0	2	0	0	8%	-1.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Alec Ogletree	3	5	0.0	1	2
Michael Thomas	3	3	0.0	1	1
Lorenzo Carter	4	1	1.0	0	0
Janoris Jenkins	5	0	0.0	0	1
Olivier Vernon	3	1	1.5	0	0
Russell Shepard	3	0	0.0	0	0
Curtis Riley	2	1	0.0	1	1
Sean Chandler	2	1	1.0	0	0
Grant Haley	2	1	0.0	0	0
B.J. Goodson	1	1	0.0	0	0

Washington Commanders

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Josh Johnson	11/16	195	1	1	0	8.6
Mark Sanchez	6/14	38	0	2	5	-23.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Josh Johnson	7	45	6.4	1	1.8
Chris Thompson	3	23	7.7	0	0.0
Adrian Peterson	10	16	1.6	0	-4.2
Byron Marshall	1	4	4.0	0	-0.1
Jehu Chesson	1	-4	-4.0	0	-1.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jamison Crowder	2	7	87	1	24%	-1.5
Josh Doctson	4	5	84	0	17%	0.6
Vernon Davis	4	4	31	0	14%	2.5
Chris Thompson	3	5	15	0	17%	-1.4
Byron Marshall	3	3	13	0	10%	1.1
Adrian Peterson	1	1	3	0	3%	-0.5
Maurice Harris	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.4
Michael Floyd	0	2	0	0	7%	-6.2
Jordan Reed	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Shaun Dion Hamilton	4	3	0.0	0	0
Ha Ha Clinton-Dix	4	2	0.0	0	1
Ryan Kerrigan	3	3	1.0	0	0
Preston Smith	3	2	0.0	0	0
Mason Foster	3	2	0.0	1	1
Daron Payne	3	2	1.0	0	0
Fabian Moreau	2	2	0.0	0	0
Byron Marshall	1	1	0.0	0	0
Stacy McGee	1	1	0.0	0	0
Josh Harvey-Clemons	2	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: NYG -3
Closing total: 40.5
NYG moneyline: -167
WAS moneyline: +151

Giants closed -3 and covered, winning by 24.

Total closed 40.5; the game landed 56 — over by 15.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FedExField
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 33°F, wind 6 mph
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: NYG 7 days · WAS 6 days
Coaches: Pat Shurmur vs Jay Gruden

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.