2018 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 16, 2018 · Paul Brown Stadium

Oakland Raiders

Cincinnati BengalsWinner

CIN -3 ✓46 pushBengals closed -3 and covered, winning by 14.

Cincinnati Bengals 30–16. Biggest swing: Q3 4:43, CIN +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q3 · 4:43OAK — CIN LV ball · 2nd & 7CIN 85%

(4:43) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 82-J.Nelson to CIN 7 for 44 yards (36-S.Williams).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q3 · 4:43CIN +8% win prob(4:43) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 82-J.Nelson to CIN 7 for 44 yards (36-S.Williams).
Q1 · 3:04CIN +7% win prob(3:04) (Shotgun) 6-J.Driskel pass short left to 83-T.Boyd for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 8:58OAK +7% win prob(8:58) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr sacked at LV 49 for -9 yards (94-S.Hubbard). FUMBLES (94-S.Hubbard) [94-S.Hubbard], RECOVERED by CIN-96-C.Dunlap at CIN 49. 96-C.Dunlap to CIN 49 for no gain (61-R.Hudson). {Sack credited for 7 yards due to point of recovery}
Q2 · 10:20CIN +7% win prob(10:20) (Run formation) 28-J.Mixon up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CIN

Jeff DriskelQB

14/33, 130 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-5.7 expected points added · -16.5% completion over expected

Rushing · CIN

Joe MixonRB

27 att, 129 yds, 2 TD

1.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CIN

Jeff DriskelQB

7 att, 32 yds, 0 TD

2.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CIN

Tyler BoydWR

4/5 for 38 yds, 1 TD

15% of team targets · 7.1 expected points added

Receiving · CIN

C.J. UzomahTE

1/5 for 27 yds, 0 TD

15% of team targets · -0.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LV	LV 28	7	10	2:14	Punt
2	CIN	CIN 23	4	6	1:46	Punt
3	LV	LV 35	5	16	2:09	Fumble
4	CIN	CIN 49	1	0	0:09	Interception
5	LV	LV 6	4	1	1:00	Punt
6	CIN	LV 45	10	45	4:42	Touchdown
7	LV	LV 25	9	33	2:50	Punt
8	CIN	CIN 10	13	85	4:53	Touchdown
9	LV	LV 23	3	11	0:48	Fumble
10	CIN	LV 34	7	18	2:48	Turnover on downs
11	LV	LV 25	7	80	2:53	Touchdown
12	CIN	LV 46	8	11	2:09	Turnover on downs
13	LV	LV 36	5	-7	0:31	Punt
14	CIN	CIN 22	4	1	0:39	Punt
15	LV	LV 27	4	21	0:29	End of half
16	CIN	CIN 25	8	9	2:47	Punt
17	LV	LV 11	10	57	5:46	Turnover on downs
18	CIN	CIN 19	5	3	1:05	Punt
19	LV	LV 46	6	56	2:44	Turnover on downs
20	CIN	CIN 25	15	81	6:53	Turnover on downs
21	LV	LV 40	5	-5	1:34	Punt
22	CIN	CIN 25	4	-4	2:06	Punt
23	LV	LV 48	6	31	2:00	Turnover on downs
24	CIN	LV 21	4	21	1:01	Touchdown
25	LV	LV 25	5	-7	1:43	Punt
26	CIN	CIN 40	8	21	2:21	End of game

0 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bengals gained 85 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Oakland Raiders

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jeff Driskel	14/33	130	1	1	1	-5.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Joe Mixon	27	129	4.8	2	1.3
Jeff Driskel	7	32	4.6	0	2.8
Giovani Bernard	6	7	1.2	0	-2.5
John Ross	1	3	3.0	0	-0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Boyd	4	5	38	1	15%	7.1
C.J. Uzomah	1	5	27	0	15%	-0.2
Giovani Bernard	2	2	25	0	6%	2.3
Alex Erickson	3	5	23	0	15%	-1.3
Cody Core	1	4	10	0	12%	0.1
John Ross	1	5	6	0	15%	-6.9
Joe Mixon	2	4	1	0	12%	-2.7
Matt Lengel	0	2	0	0	6%	-1.1
Sam Hubbard	0	1	0	0	3%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Darqueze Dennard	7	1	0.0	1
Shawn Williams	6	0	0.0	2
Geno Atkins	5	1	3.0	0
Nick Vigil	4	1	0.0	0
Jessie Bates	2	3	0.0	0
Hardy Nickerson	2	2	0.0	0
Clayton Fejedelem	1	2	0.0	0
Dre Kirkpatrick	3	0	0.0	0
William Jackson	1	1	0.0	1
Mark Walton	2	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CIN -3
Closing total: 46
OAK moneyline: +140
CIN moneyline: -155

Bengals closed -3 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 46 and landed exactly there — a push.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Paul Brown Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 43°F, wind 2 mph
Referee: Alex Kemp
Rest: OAK 7 days · CIN 7 days
Coaches: Jon Gruden vs Marvin Lewis