2018 Week 16 · Mon, Dec 24, 2018 · Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
Denver Broncos
14
Oakland RaidersWinner
27
Oakland Raiders 27–14. Biggest swing: Q1 10:35, DEN +14% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(10:35) 3-C.Wadman punts 65 yards to LV 1, Center-42-C.Kreiter. 17-D.Harris for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the kick touched ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 10:35DEN +14% win prob(10:35) 3-C.Wadman punts 65 yards to LV 1, Center-42-C.Kreiter. 17-D.Harris for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the kick touched ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
- Q1 · 14:53OAK +10% win prob(14:53) 30-P.Lindsay up the middle to DEN 26 for 3 yards (22-R.Melvin, 50-N.Morrow).
- Q1 · 5:05OAK +8% win prob(5:05) 30-P.Lindsay left guard to DEN 36 for 11 yards (99-A.Key). PENALTY on LV-92-P.Hall, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 36.
- Q1 · 0:52OAK +6% win prob(:52) (Shotgun) 4-C.Keenum to DEN 40 for -6 yards (50-N.Morrow). FUMBLES (50-N.Morrow), recovered by DEN-30-P.Lindsay at DEN 42. 30-P.Lindsay ran ob at LV 47 for 11 yards (25-E.Harris).
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · DEN
23/37, 202 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT
-2.7 expected points added · -1.6% completion over expected
Receiving · DEN
6/10 for 65 yds, 1 TD
28% of team targets · 0.4 expected points added
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | DEN 23 | 8 | 21 | 4:50 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 2 | DEN | DEN 31 | 5 | 6 | 1:45 | Punt | |
| 3 | LV | LV 20 | 4 | 6 | 1:57 | Punt | |
| 4 | DEN | DEN 21 | 7 | 24 | 3:25 | Punt | |
| 5 | LV | LV 20 | 4 | 6 | 0:43 | Punt | |
| 6 | DEN | DEN 37 | 8 | 11 | 3:49 | Punt | |
| 7 | LV | LV 11 | 10 | 78 | 5:35 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | DEN | DEN 12 | 8 | 34 | 3:35 | Punt | |
| 9 | LV | LV 20 | 11 | 65 | 4:02 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | DEN | DEN 40 | 5 | 20 | 0:19 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | LV | LV 25 | 7 | 10 | 2:53 | Punt | |
| 12 | DEN | DEN 16 | 5 | 19 | 2:42 | Punt | |
| 13 | LV | LV 32 | 4 | 7 | 1:15 | Punt | |
| 14 | DEN | DEN 18 | 11 | 82 | 3:34 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | LV | LV 28 | 14 | 82 | 7:20 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | DEN | DEN 23 | 13 | 77 | 4:45 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | LV | LV 36 | 5 | 5 | 1:43 | Punt | |
| 18 | DEN | DEN 12 | 2 | 0 | 0:12 | Interception | |
| 19 | LV | DEN 31 | 4 | 4 | 0:58 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | DEN | DEN 18 | 5 | 6 | 0:56 | Interception | |
| 21 | LV | DEN 18 | 6 | 13 | 3:42 | End of game |
0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Broncos gained 82 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Denver Broncos
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Case Keenum | 23/37 | 202 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -2.7 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Lindsay | 10 | 46 | 4.6 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Devontae Booker | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Royce Freeman | 7 | 21 | 3.0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Case Keenum | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | 4.8 |
| Tim Patrick | 1 | -7 | -7.0 | 0 | -1.4 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtland Sutton | 6 | 10 | 65 | 1 | 28% | 0.4 |
| Tim Patrick | 3 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 14% | -0.7 |
| DaeSean Hamilton | 6 | 9 | 40 | 1 | 25% | 1.3 |
| Devontae Booker | 3 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 14% | -1.4 |
| Phillip Lindsay | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 6% | 0.4 |
| Andy Janovich | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3% | 0.9 |
| Brian Parker | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 8% | -0.6 |
| Royce Freeman | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Davis | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Domata Peko | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josey Jewell | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bradley Chubb | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Marshall | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaquil Barrett | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bradley Roby | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Simmons | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaac Yiadom | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Will Parks | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Oakland Raiders
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- DEN -2.5
- Closing total
- 42.5
- DEN moneyline
- -130
- OAK moneyline
- +118
Broncos closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 42.5; the game landed 41 — under by 1.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 58°F, wind 14 mph
- Referee
- Carl Cheffers
- Rest
- DEN 9 days · OAK 8 days
- Coaches
- Vance Joseph vs Jon Gruden
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.