2018 Week 17 · Sun, Dec 30, 2018 · Arrowhead Stadium
Oakland Raiders
3
Kansas City ChiefsWinner
35
Kansas City Chiefs 35–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 12:51, KC +6% win probability on one snap. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(12:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 10-T.Hill for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 12:51KC +6% win prob(12:51) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 10-T.Hill for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 5:54OAK +6% win prob(5:54) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short right intended for 87-J.Cook INTERCEPTED by 49-D.Sorensen at KC 46. 49-D.Sorensen for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 14:05KC +4% win prob(14:05) (Shotgun) 26-Dam. Williams up the middle to KC 32 for 4 yards (99-A.Key).
- Q1 · 7:18KC +3% win prob(7:18) 4-D.Carr pass incomplete deep left to 88-M.Ateman.
Who moved the needle
Top performers
Passing · KC
14/24, 281 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
16.0 expected points added · -6.2% completion over expected
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 16 | 8 | 84 | 2:19 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | LV | LV 25 | 5 | 20 | 1:48 | Fumble | |
| 3 | KC | LV 45 | 4 | 5 | 0:56 | Punt | |
| 4 | LV | LV 12 | 9 | 38 | 4:13 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 5 | LV | LV 25 | 12 | 45 | 6:33 | Fumble | |
| 6 | KC | KC 40 | 10 | 60 | 4:40 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | LV | LV 45 | 5 | 21 | 2:12 | Interception | |
| 8 | KC | LV 4 | 4 | 0 | 1:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | LV | LV 2 | 13 | 66 | 4:39 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | KC | KC 25 | 4 | 19 | 0:22 | Interception | |
| 11 | LV | LV 3 | 4 | 9 | 0:33 | Punt | |
| 12 | KC | KC 33 | 1 | 0 | 0:09 | End of half | |
| 13 | LV | LV 25 | 9 | 44 | 4:53 | Punt | |
| 14 | KC | KC 1 | 6 | 99 | 1:34 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | LV | LV 43 | 9 | 11 | 4:32 | Punt | |
| 16 | KC | KC 8 | 11 | 92 | 5:36 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | LV | LV 25 | 7 | 19 | 3:21 | Punt | |
| 18 | KC | KC 20 | 13 | 51 | 8:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | LV | LV 29 | 3 | 19 | 1:12 | End of game |
0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 99 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
Box score
Oakland Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 14/24 | 281 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16.0 |
| Chad Henne | 2/3 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 |
Rushing
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien Williams | 11 | 51 | 4.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Darrel Williams | 11 | 31 | 2.8 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Tyreek Hill | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 1 | 2.0 |
| Chad Henne | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Charcandrick West | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | 0 | -0.9 |
Receiving
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 5 | 7 | 101 | 1 | 26% | 6.7 |
| Demarcus Robinson | 1 | 2 | 89 | 1 | 7% | 7.3 |
| Travis Kelce | 5 | 9 | 62 | 0 | 33% | 0.1 |
| Gehrig Dieter | 1 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 7% | -0.6 |
| Anthony Sherman | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 7% | 3.3 |
| Kelvin Benjamin | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 4% | 0.7 |
| Damien Williams | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 4% | 0.5 |
| Chris Conley | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11% | -1.5 |
Defense (top contributors)
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Fuller | 9 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Hitchens | 5 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charvarius Ward | 9 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Reggie Ragland | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Steven Nelson | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Justin Houston | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Dorian O'Daniel | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Allen Bailey | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Williams | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Lucas | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- KC -14.5
- Closing total
- 54
- OAK moneyline
- +586
- KC moneyline
- -794
Chiefs closed -14.5 and covered, winning by 32.
Total closed 54; the game landed 38 — under by 16.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Arrowhead Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 45°F, wind 15 mph
- Referee
- Shawn Hochuli
- Rest
- OAK 6 days · KC 7 days
- Coaches
- Jon Gruden vs Andy Reid
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.