2018 Wild Card · Sat, Jan 5, 2019 · AT&T Stadium

Seattle Seahawks

Dallas CowboysWinner

DAL -2.5 no coverO 43 ✓DomeCowboys closed -2.5, won by 2 — but didn't cover.

Dallas Cowboys 24–22 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 9:43, SEA +18% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 9:43SEA — DAL DAL ball · 1st & 15DAL 85%

(9:43) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right intended for 85-N.Brown INTERCEPTED by 50-K.Wright at SEA 0. Touchback.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 9:43SEA +18% win prob(9:43) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right intended for 85-N.Brown INTERCEPTED by 50-K.Wright at SEA 0. Touchback.
Q3 · 4:55DAL +15% win prob(4:55) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 89-D.Baldwin pushed ob at DAL 17 for 22 yards (24-C.Awuzie).
Q4 · 14:27DAL +14% win prob(14:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short middle to 19-A.Cooper to SEA 16 for 34 yards (33-T.Thompson).
Q2 · 1:11DAL +13% win prob(1:11) 21-E.Elliott right end ran ob at SEA 22 for 44 yards (28-J.Coleman).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Seahawks	Cowboys
Offensive plays	54	66
Total yards	303	382 (edge)
Yards per play	5.6	5.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.00	0.03 (edge)
Success rate	37%	42% (edge)
Dropback rate	54%	52%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.08 (edge)	-0.05
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.10	0.11 (edge)
Third downs	2/13	4/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6	6
First downs gained on snaps	13	20 (edge)
Sacks taken	1	1
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.00.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Russell WilsonQB

18/27, 233 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

3.1 expected points added · +1.0% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

22/33, 226 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-1.7 expected points added · +2.0% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

26 att, 137 yds, 1 TD

-0.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

6 att, 29 yds, 1 TD

5.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

Tyler LockettWR

4/6 for 120 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · 4.3 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Amari CooperWR

7/9 for 106 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 3.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 25	11	54	5:10	Turnover on downs
2	SEA	SEA 25	5	8	1:33	Punt
3	DAL	DAL 23	7	25	2:45	Punt
4	SEA	SEA 23	4	0	2:15	Punt
5	DAL	DAL 29	4	9	1:07	Punt
6	SEA	SEA 27	4	-3	2:10	Defensive touchdown
7	DAL	DAL 14	8	31	5:12	Punt
8	SEA	SEA 22	6	69	2:45	Turnover on downs
9	DAL	DAL 25	8	30	3:51	Turnover on downs
10	SEA	SEA 48	6	28	1:29	Turnover on downs
11	DAL	DAL 25	9	75	1:19	Touchdown
12	SEA	DAL 49	5	10	0:24	Turnover on downs
13	SEA	SEA 25	5	4	1:39	Punt
14	DAL	DAL 29	4	9	2:14	Punt
15	SEA	SEA 13	7	40	3:13	Punt
16	DAL	DAL 2	4	1	0:54	Punt
17	SEA	DAL 44	10	46	5:01	Touchdown
18	DAL	DAL 33	11	67	4:31	Touchdown
19	SEA	SEA 25	5	4	1:37	Punt
20	DAL	SEA 38	2	27	1:17	Interception
21	SEA	SEA 20	4	20	2:14	Punt
22	DAL	DAL 37	12	54	5:12	Touchdown
23	SEA	SEA 25	8	77	0:50	Touchdown
24	DAL	DAL 32	3	0	1:18	End of game

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 77 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Russell Wilson	18/27	233	1	0	1	3.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Rashaad Penny	4	29	7.3	0	0.5
Chris Carson	13	20	1.5	0	-5.4
Russell Wilson	3	14	4.7	1	2.1
Mike Davis	4	10	2.5	0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Lockett	4	6	120	0	22%	4.3
Ed Dickson	4	5	42	0	19%	0.9
Doug Baldwin	3	6	32	0	22%	1.6
Mike Davis	2	2	22	0	7%	0.4
J.D. McKissic	2	3	13	1	11%	1.7
Nick Vannett	1	2	5	0	7%	-1.6
Chris Carson	2	3	-1	0	11%	-2.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Bradley McDougald	9	1	0.0	0	0
K.J. Wright	7	1	0.0	1	1
Justin Coleman	5	1	0.0	0	0
Tedric Thompson	4	1	0.0	0	0
Bobby Wagner	3	2	0.0	0	0
Shaquill Griffin	4	0	0.0	0	2
Frank Clark	2	2	1.0	0	0
Jarran Reed	2	2	0.0	0	0
Jake Martin	1	2	0.0	0	0
Shamar Stephen	2	0	0.0	0	0

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	22/33	226	1	1	1	-1.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	26	137	5.3	1	-0.2
Dak Prescott	6	29	4.8	1	5.3
Rod Smith	1	1	1.0	0	-0.7
Tavon Austin	1	-3	-3.0	0	-1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Amari Cooper	7	9	106	0	28%	3.7
Ezekiel Elliott	4	5	32	0	16%	-1.6
Cole Beasley	3	3	28	0	9%	2.4
Michael Gallup	2	6	18	1	19%	-1.3
Blake Jarwin	3	3	15	0	9%	0.4
Allen Hurns	1	1	14	0	3%	2.1
Tavon Austin	1	1	7	0	3%	1.0
Noah Brown	1	4	6	0	13%	-5.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Leighton Vander Esch	6	4	0.0	0
Jaylon Smith	3	4	0.0	1
Chidobe Awuzie	5	1	0.0	1
Demarcus Lawrence	2	3	0.0	0
Jeff Heath	3	1	0.0	0
Byron Jones	2	2	0.0	0
Maliek Collins	2	2	1.0	0
Antwaun Woods	2	1	0.0	0
Xavier Woods	2	0	0.0	0
Joe Thomas	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -2.5
Closing total: 43
SEA moneyline: +135
DAL moneyline: -149

Cowboys closed -2.5, won by 2 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 43; the game landed 46 — over by 3.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Walt Anderson
Rest: SEA 6 days · DAL 6 days
Coaches: Pete Carroll vs Jason Garrett