2018 Divisional Round · Sat, Jan 12, 2019 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Dallas Cowboys

Los Angeles RamsWinner

LA -7.5 ✓O 48 ✓Rams closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 8.

Los Angeles Rams 30–22. Biggest swing: Q1 6:28, LA +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 6:28DAL — LA DAL ball · 4th & 1LA 77%

(6:28) 21-E.Elliott up the middle to LA 44 for 5 yards (58-C.Littleton, 43-J.Johnson). PENALTY on LA-22-M.Peters, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at LA 44.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 6:28LA +9% win prob(6:28) 21-E.Elliott up the middle to LA 44 for 5 yards (58-C.Littleton, 43-J.Johnson). PENALTY on LA-22-M.Peters, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at LA 44.
Q2 · 7:26LA +6% win prob(7:26) 35-C.Anderson up the middle to DAL 1 for 14 yards (25-X.Woods).
Q2 · 12:18DAL +5% win prob(12:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 10-T.Austin to DAL 38 for -2 yards (50-S.Ebukam).
Q2 · 3:35LA +5% win prob(3:35) (No Huddle) 30-T.Gurley right guard for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cowboys	Rams
Offensive plays	55	73
Total yards	308	461 (edge)
Yards per play	5.6	6.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.11	0.24 (edge)
Success rate	42%	53% (edge)
Dropback rate	62%	38%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.23 (edge)	0.11
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.08	0.31 (edge)
Third downs	1/10	5/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6	9 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	17	28 (edge)
Sacks taken	1	0 (edge)
Turnovers	0	0

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.24 expected points added per play vs 0.11.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

20/32, 266 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

5.9 expected points added · -7.1% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Jared GoffQB

15/28, 186 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

2.7 expected points added · -9.6% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

C.J. AndersonRB

23 att, 123 yds, 2 TD

7.8 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Todd GurleyRB

16 att, 115 yds, 1 TD

5.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

Michael GallupWR

6/9 for 119 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 6.4 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Robert WoodsWR

6/8 for 69 yds, 0 TD

30% of team targets · 3.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LA	LA 25	12	57	5:16	Turnover on downs
2	DAL	DAL 29	9	56	3:41	Touchdown
3	LA	LA 25	17	70	7:23	Turnover on downs
4	DAL	DAL 17	6	21	2:20	Punt
5	LA	LA 24	10	76	4:20	Touchdown
6	DAL	DAL 25	5	5	0:55	Punt
7	LA	LA 36	7	59	2:38	Touchdown
8	DAL	DAL 19	11	37	2:52	Punt
9	LA	LA 26	6	29	0:35	Turnover on downs
10	DAL	DAL 25	5	3	0:53	Punt
11	LA	LA 26	8	52	4:04	Turnover on downs
12	DAL	DAL 25	10	85	4:43	Touchdown
13	LA	LA 25	7	28	2:10	Punt
14	DAL	DAL 23	8	42	3:18	Turnover on downs
15	LA	LA 35	13	65	7:36	Touchdown
16	DAL	DAL 25	14	59	5:05	Touchdown
17	LA	LA 25	8	25	2:11	End of game

0 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 85 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	20/32	266	1	0	1	5.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	20	47	2.4	1	-3.1
Dak Prescott	2	3	1.5	1	3.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Michael Gallup	6	9	119	0	28%	6.4
Amari Cooper	6	9	65	1	28%	1.5
Dalton Schultz	1	2	20	0	6%	0.3
Ezekiel Elliott	2	5	19	0	16%	-1.9
Blake Jarwin	2	2	17	0	6%	2.2
Cole Beasley	1	2	15	0	6%	0.5
Noah Brown	1	1	13	0	3%	1.1
Rico Gathers	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.5
Tavon Austin	1	1	-2	0	3%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Jaylon Smith	6	3	0
Xavier Woods	5	3	0
Jeff Heath	4	4	1
Maliek Collins	4	2	0
Sean Lee	3	3	0
Byron Jones	4	0	1
Antwaun Woods	2	2	0
Caraun Reid	2	2	0
Chidobe Awuzie	3	0	1
Leighton Vander Esch	2	1	0

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	15/28	186	0	0	0	2.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
C.J. Anderson	23	123	5.3	2	7.8
Todd Gurley	16	115	7.2	1	5.0
Jared Goff	6	12	2.0	0	-1.5
Robert Woods	1	9	9.0	0	1.0
Josh Reynolds	1	9	9.0	0	0.5
Brandin Cooks	1	5	5.0	0	1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Robert Woods	6	8	69	30%	3.0
Brandin Cooks	4	6	65	22%	2.5
Tyler Higbee	2	4	30	15%	1.6
Josh Reynolds	1	4	19	15%	0.5
Todd Gurley	2	2	3	7%	-1.1
C.J. Anderson	0	1	0	4%	-0.5
Gerald Everett	0	2	0	7%	-3.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
John Johnson	4	3	0.0	0
Cory Littleton	4	2	0.0	1
Aqib Talib	4	2	0.0	0
Lamarcus Joyner	3	2	0.0	0
Mark Barron	4	1	0.0	0
Dante Fowler	2	1	1.0	0
Ndamukong Suh	2	1	0.0	0
Aaron Donald	2	0	0.0	0
Samson Ebukam	2	0	0.0	1
Troy Hill	1	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -7.5
Closing total: 48
DAL moneyline: +296
LA moneyline: -338

Rams closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 8.

Total closed 48; the game landed 52 — over by 4.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 57°F, wind 1 mph
Referee: John Parry
Rest: DAL 7 days · LA 13 days
Coaches: Jason Garrett vs Sean McVay