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2019 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 8, 2019 · U.S. Bank Stadium

Atlanta Falcons

12

Minnesota VikingsWinner

28

MIN -3.5 ✓U 47 ✓Dome

Minnesota Vikings 28–12. Biggest swing: Q1 12:59, ATL +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3MINATL
Q1 · 12:59ATL MIN ATL ball · 4th & 2MIN 65%

(12:59) 5-M.Bosher punt is BLOCKED by 50-E.Wilson, Center-47-J.Harris, RECOVERED by MIN-50-E.Wilson at ATL 21. 50-E.Wilson to ATL 21 for no gain (41-S.Neasman).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 12:59ATL +12% win prob(12:59) 5-M.Bosher punt is BLOCKED by 50-E.Wilson, Center-47-J.Harris, RECOVERED by MIN-50-E.Wilson at ATL 21. 50-E.Wilson to ATL 21 for no gain (41-S.Neasman).
  2. Q1 · 10:02ATL +6% win prob(10:02) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short middle intended for 11-J.Jones INTERCEPTED by 41-A.Harris at ATL 41. 41-A.Harris to ATL 41 for no gain (11-J.Jones).
  3. Q1 · 13:41MIN +6% win prob(13:41) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan scrambles left end to ATL 33 for 12 yards (55-A.Barr).
  4. Q1 · 11:57MIN +5% win prob(11:57) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 19-A.Thielen for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN [97-G.Jarrett].

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricFalconsVikings
Offensive plays6947
Total yards345 (edge)271
Yards per play5.05.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.230.20 (edge)
Success rate39%45% (edge)
Dropback rate78%23%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.130.77 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.590.03 (edge)
Third downs2/85/10 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)77
First downs gained on snaps23 (edge)14
Sacks taken41 (edge)
Turnovers30 (edge)

Falcons outgained Vikings 345–271 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ATLATL 25582:07Punt
2MINATL 213311:03Touchdown
3ATLATL 16471:55Interception
4MINATL 415411:33Touchdown
5ATLATL 2513395:51Punt
6MINMIN 88365:09Punt
7ATLATL 284462:01Fumble
8MINMIN 2111595:41Touchdown
9ATLATL 259302:57Punt
10MINMIN 10401:06Punt
11ATLATL 453360:37End of half
12MINMIN 258234:15Punt
13ATLATL 1513517:37Interception
14MINMIN 207572:39Touchdown
15ATLATL 23500:29Punt
16MINMIN 25442:25Punt
17ATLATL 349663:16Touchdown
18MINMIN 298204:51Punt
19ATLATL 2913623:23Touchdown
20MINATL 39301:05End of game

0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Falcons gained 66 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIN -3.5
Closing total
47
ATL moneyline
+159
MIN moneyline
-176

Vikings closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 16.

Total closed 47; the game landed 40 — under by 7.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
U.S. Bank Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Bill Vinovich
Rest
ATL 7 days · MIN 7 days
Coaches
Dan Quinn vs Mike Zimmer