2019 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 8, 2019 · Hard Rock Stadium
Baltimore RavensWinner
59
Miami Dolphins
10
Baltimore Ravens 59–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 14:56, MIA +10% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(14:56) (Shotgun) 21-M.Ingram right guard to MIA 40 for 49 yards (20-R.Jones; 25-X.Howard).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 14:56MIA +10% win prob(14:56) (Shotgun) 21-M.Ingram right guard to MIA 40 for 49 yards (20-R.Jones; 25-X.Howard).
- Q1 · 9:02BAL +6% win prob(9:02) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right intended for 32-K.Drake INTERCEPTED by 29-E.Thomas at BAL 39. 29-E.Thomas to MIA 47 for 14 yards (65-D.Isidora).
- Q1 · 15:00BAL +3% win prob7-J.Sanders kicks 66 yards from MIA 35 to BAL -1. 43-J.Hill MUFFS catch, and recovers at BAL 2. 43-J.Hill to BAL 11 for 9 yards (44-D.Lacey).
- Q1 · 8:46MIA +3% win prob(8:46) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle to 15-M.Brown for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on MIA-29-M.Fitzpatrick, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Ravens | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 71 | 47 |
| Total yards | 645 (edge) | 200 |
| Yards per play | 9.1 (edge) | 4.3 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.66 (edge) | -0.25 |
| Success rate | 55% (edge) | 34% |
| Dropback rate | 38% | 77% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 1.41 (edge) | -0.16 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.20 (edge) | -0.54 |
| Third downs | 7/11 (edge) | 3/10 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 14 (edge) | 3 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 27 (edge) | 11 |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Ravens won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.66 expected points added per play vs -0.25.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | BAL 11 | 10 | 89 | 4:26 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | MIA | MIA 21 | 5 | 16 | 1:48 | Interception | |
| 3 | BAL | MIA 47 | 2 | 47 | 0:09 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | MIA | MIA 25 | 7 | 7 | 2:51 | Punt | |
| 5 | BAL | BAL 10 | 4 | 90 | 1:29 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | MIA | MIA 15 | 7 | 28 | 2:05 | Punt | |
| 7 | BAL | BAL 20 | 8 | 70 | 3:23 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | MIA | MIA 25 | 7 | 44 | 3:11 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | BAL | BAL 25 | 5 | 9 | 2:14 | Punt | |
| 10 | BAL | MIA 10 | 4 | 10 | 1:34 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | MIA | MIA 10 | 7 | 17 | 2:31 | Punt | |
| 12 | BAL | BAL 21 | 8 | 75 | 2:37 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | MIA | MIA 25 | 10 | 60 | 1:29 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | BAL | BAL 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:13 | End of half | |
| 15 | MIA | MIA 25 | 6 | 10 | 1:58 | Punt | |
| 16 | BAL | BAL 29 | 10 | 76 | 5:08 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | MIA | MIA 25 | 8 | 18 | 2:07 | Punt | |
| 18 | BAL | BAL 16 | 9 | 63 | 5:25 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | MIA | MIA 25 | 3 | 5 | 0:28 | Interception | |
| 20 | BAL | MIA 42 | 10 | 42 | 5:30 | Touchdown | |
| 21 | MIA | MIA 30 | 5 | -5 | 1:25 | Punt | |
| 22 | BAL | BAL 21 | 14 | 74 | 7:59 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 90 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- BAL -7
- Closing total
- 41
- BAL moneyline
- -298
- MIA moneyline
- +263
Ravens closed -7 and covered, winning by 49.
Total closed 41; the game landed 69 — over by 28.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 91°F, wind 8 mph
- Referee
- Jerome Boger
- Rest
- BAL 7 days · MIA 7 days
- Coaches
- John Harbaugh vs Brian Flores