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2019 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 8, 2019 · CenturyLink Field

Cincinnati Bengals

20

Seattle SeahawksWinner

21

SEA -9.5 no coverU 44 ✓

Seattle Seahawks 21–20 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q3 13:30, CIN +20% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3SEACIN
Q3 · 13:30CIN SEA CIN ball · 2nd & 9CIN 56%

(13:30) 14-A.Dalton sacked at SEA 19 for -7 yards (Team). FUMBLES (Team), RECOVERED by SEA-72-A.Woods at SEA 19. 72-A.Woods to SEA 24 for 5 yards (14-A.Dalton).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 13:30CIN +20% win prob(13:30) 14-A.Dalton sacked at SEA 19 for -7 yards (Team). FUMBLES (Team), RECOVERED by SEA-72-A.Woods at SEA 19. 72-A.Woods to SEA 24 for 5 yards (14-A.Dalton).
  2. Q3 · 15:00CIN +19% win prob(15:00) 3-R.Wilson pass short left to 32-C.Carson to SEA 35 for 10 yards (52-P.Brown). FUMBLES (52-P.Brown), RECOVERED by CIN-27-D.Kirkpatrick at SEA 39. 27-D.Kirkpatrick ran ob at SEA 28 for 11 yards.
  3. Q2 · 0:16SEA +17% win prob(:16) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass deep middle to 11-J.Ross III for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q4 · 15:00SEA +17% win prob(15:00) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 16-T.Lockett for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricBengalsSeahawks
Offensive plays7047
Total yards429 (edge)234
Yards per play6.1 (edge)5.0
Expected points added / play0.00 (edge)-0.17
Success rate40% (edge)32%
Dropback rate80%51%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.15 (edge)-0.09
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.61-0.26 (edge)
Third downs6/15 (edge)4/12
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)7 (edge)5
First downs gained on snaps19 (edge)11
Sacks taken54 (edge)
Turnovers21 (edge)

Bengals outgained Seahawks 429–234 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1CINCIN 259243:09Punt
2SEASEA 20471:25Punt
3CINCIN 2813617:38Turnover on downs
4SEASEA 255-22:08Punt
5SEACIN 436-12:30Punt
6CINCIN 11441:58Punt
7SEACIN 488494:36Touchdown
8CINCIN 255751:24Touchdown
9SEASEA 25551:37Punt
10CINCIN 30491:42Punt
11SEASEA 237621:01Touchdown
12CINCIN 256750:45Touchdown
13SEASEA 25200:07End of half
14SEASEA 252100:12Fumble
15CINSEA 28391:25Fumble
16SEASEA 244-51:39Punt
17CINCIN 307434:07Turnover on downs
18SEASEA 354-52:07Punt
19CINCIN 89563:29Turnover on downs
20SEASEA 365742:08Touchdown
21CINCIN 2514527:53Turnover on downs
22SEASEA 25561:30Punt
23CINCIN 297152:08Punt
24SEASEA 67343:01Punt
25CINCIN 25260:12Fumble
26SEACIN 44100:09End of game

0 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bengals gained 75 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SEA -9.5
Closing total
44
CIN moneyline
+344
SEA moneyline
-398

Seahawks closed -9.5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 44; the game landed 41 — under by 3.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
CenturyLink Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
64°F, wind 7 mph
Referee
Bradley Rogers
Rest
CIN 7 days · SEA 7 days
Coaches
Zac Taylor vs Pete Carroll