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2019 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 8, 2019 · State Farm Stadium

Detroit Lions

27

Arizona Cardinals

27

DET -2.5 upsetO 45.5 ✓Dome

A 27–27 tie. Biggest swing: OT 1:10, ARI +66% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3End Q4ARIDET
OT · 1:10DET ARI ARI ball · 4th & 7DET 82%

(1:10) 4-A.Lee punts 41 yards to DET 5, Center-46-A.Brewer, downed by ARI-16-T.Sherfield.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. OT · 1:10ARI +66% win prob(1:10) 4-A.Lee punts 41 yards to DET 5, Center-46-A.Brewer, downed by ARI-16-T.Sherfield.
  2. OT · 7:21DET +50% win prob(7:21) 5-Z.Gonzalez 28 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-A.Lee.
  3. OT · 0:05ARI +49% win prob(:05) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep right.
  4. OT · 3:52DET +32% win prob(3:52) 5-M.Prater 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricLionsCardinals
Offensive plays7883
Total yards477 (edge)389
Yards per play6.1 (edge)4.7
Expected points added / play0.04 (edge)-0.09
Success rate45% (edge)37%
Dropback rate62%72%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.25 (edge)-0.12
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.29-0.01 (edge)
Third downs6/189/22 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)8 (edge)6
First downs gained on snaps22 (edge)20
Sacks taken3 (edge)5
Turnovers11

Lions won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.04 expected points added per play vs -0.09.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1DETDET 257243:00Punt
2ARIARI 104101:41Punt
3DETDET 275321:29Punt
4ARIARI 1641:59Interception
5DETARI 241-100:12Fumble
6ARIARI 34491:54Punt
7DETDET 2010435:38Turnover on downs
8ARIARI 16520:57Punt
9DETDET 493510:47Touchdown
10ARIARI 226112:36Punt
11DETDET 510856:09Touchdown
12ARIARI 258111:58Punt
13ARIDET 8460:21Turnover on downs
14DETDET 258171:04Punt
15ARIARI 18150:15End of half
16ARIARI 325-31:33Punt
17DETDET 314132:43Punt
18ARIARI 24430:56Punt
19DETDET 204142:36Punt
20ARIARI 348422:34Turnover on downs
21DETDET 1812874:51Touchdown
22ARIARI 2611683:38Turnover on downs
23DETDET 29572:17Punt
24ARIARI 308702:55Touchdown
25DETDET 1710323:26Punt
26ARIARI 4010571:48Touchdown
27DETDET 256120:43Punt
28ARIARI 258652:43Turnover on downs
29DETDET 259603:29Turnover on downs
30ARIARI 2511292:49Punt
31DETDET 56100:59Turnover on downs

0 of 31 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 87 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DET -2.5
Closing total
45.5
DET moneyline
-147
ARI moneyline
+133

Lions closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 54 — over by 8.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Scott Novak
Rest
DET 7 days · ARI 7 days
Coaches
Matt Patricia vs Kliff Kingsbury