2019 Week 1 · Thu, Sep 5, 2019 · Soldier Field
Green Bay PackersWinner
10
Chicago Bears
3
Green Bay Packers 10–3. Biggest swing: Q4 2:03, GB +21% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(2:03) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left intended for 12-A.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Amos at GB -9. Touchback.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 2:03GB +21% win prob(2:03) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left intended for 12-A.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 31-A.Amos at GB -9. Touchback.
- Q3 · 13:11CHI +12% win prob(13:11) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass incomplete deep middle to 80-J.Graham. PENALTY on CHI-58-R.Smith, Defensive Pass Interference, 38 yards, enforced at GB 27 - No Play.
- Q2 · 0:24CHI +11% win prob(:24) (Punt formation) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 52 yards to GB 33, Center-48-P.Scales, downed by CHI-84-C.Patterson.
- Q4 · 4:11CHI +11% win prob(4:11) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep middle to 12-A.Robinson to GB 30 for 21 yards (50-B.Martinez).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Packers | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 55 | 65 |
| Total yards | 215 | 254 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.9 (edge) | 3.9 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.19 (edge) | -0.30 |
| Success rate | 35% | 35% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 65% | 80% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.10 (edge) | -0.29 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.35 | -0.31 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/12 | 3/15 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 11 | 13 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 5 | 5 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Bears outgained Packers 254–215 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | GB 25 | 5 | -10 | 1:59 | Punt | |
| 2 | CHI | CHI 43 | 7 | 7 | 3:22 | Punt | |
| 3 | GB | GB 12 | 4 | -7 | 1:46 | Punt | |
| 4 | CHI | GB 36 | 6 | 16 | 3:44 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | GB | GB 40 | 5 | 5 | 0:56 | Punt | |
| 6 | CHI | CHI 4 | 8 | 19 | 3:30 | Punt | |
| 7 | GB | GB 26 | 5 | 74 | 1:35 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | CHI | CHI 25 | 6 | 34 | 1:58 | Punt | |
| 9 | GB | GB 4 | 9 | 22 | 5:45 | Punt | |
| 10 | CHI | CHI 11 | 6 | 22 | 3:18 | Punt | |
| 11 | GB | GB 35 | 7 | 19 | 1:24 | Punt | |
| 12 | CHI | CHI 15 | 4 | 0 | 0:28 | Punt | |
| 13 | GB | GB 33 | 2 | 16 | 0:15 | End of half | |
| 14 | CHI | CHI 25 | 5 | 2 | 1:18 | Punt | |
| 15 | GB | GB 34 | 5 | 1 | 2:51 | Punt | |
| 16 | CHI | CHI 10 | 4 | 9 | 1:50 | Punt | |
| 17 | GB | GB 42 | 4 | -10 | 2:31 | Punt | |
| 18 | CHI | CHI 23 | 6 | 57 | 2:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | GB | GB 30 | 8 | 25 | 4:01 | Punt | |
| 20 | CHI | CHI 13 | 7 | 38 | 3:05 | Punt | |
| 21 | GB | GB 6 | 10 | 73 | 6:33 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | CHI | CHI 25 | 14 | 59 | 3:17 | Interception | |
| 23 | GB | GB 20 | 4 | 7 | 0:25 | Punt | |
| 24 | CHI | CHI 14 | 4 | -9 | 0:31 | Turnover on downs | |
| 25 | GB | CHI 5 | 2 | 0 | 1:02 | End of game |
0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 74 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- CHI -3.5
- Closing total
- 47
- GB moneyline
- +160
- CHI moneyline
- -178
Bears closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 47; the game landed 13 — under by 34.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Soldier Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 65°F, wind 10 mph
- Referee
- Tony Corrente
- Rest
- GB 7 days · CHI 7 days
- Coaches
- Matt LaFleur vs Matt Nagy
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.