2019 Week 1 · Mon, Sep 9, 2019 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Houston Texans
28
at
New Orleans SaintsWinner
30
NO -6.5 no coverO 52 ✓Dome
New Orleans Saints 30–28 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:02, NO +43% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
Q4 · 0:02HOU — NO NO ball · 3rd & 1NO 57%
(:02) 3-W.Lutz 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:02NO +43% win prob(:02) 3-W.Lutz 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-6-T.Morstead.
- Q4 · 0:43NO +27% win prob(:43) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep middle to 12-K.Stills for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN [24-V.Bell]. Pass 32, YAC 5
- Q4 · 15:00NO +17% win prob(15:00) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short right to 10-T.Smith for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 14, YAC 0
- Q4 · 4:25HOU +16% win prob(4:25) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson sacked at HOU 45 for -11 yards (91-T.Hendrickson).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Texans | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 59 | 63 |
| Total yards | 414 | 510 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 7.0 | 8.1 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.28 (edge) | 0.25 |
| Success rate | 46% | 59% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 64% | 67% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.26 | 0.32 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.33 (edge) | 0.12 |
| Third downs | 7/13 | 7/11 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 11 (edge) | 8 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 20 | 25 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 6 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU | HOU 25 | 7 | 7 | 2:21 | Punt | |
| 2 | NO | NO 14 | 6 | 41 | 3:31 | Punt | |
| 3 | HOU | HOU 10 | 5 | 13 | 2:11 | Punt | |
| 4 | NO | HOU 49 | 8 | 38 | 4:02 | Interception | |
| 5 | HOU | HOU 6 | 8 | 104 | 3:42 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | NO | NO 21 | 12 | 65 | 4:51 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | HOU | HOU 25 | 18 | 80 | 7:35 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | NO | NO 25 | 8 | 37 | 1:47 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | NO | NO 17 | 7 | 83 | 2:09 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | HOU | HOU 25 | 11 | 70 | 4:31 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | NO | NO 25 | 13 | 75 | 5:41 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | HOU | HOU 16 | 4 | 2 | 0:51 | Interception | |
| 13 | NO | HOU 49 | 5 | 47 | 1:53 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | HOU | HOU 25 | 8 | 18 | 4:08 | Punt | |
| 15 | NO | NO 28 | 5 | 25 | 3:03 | Punt | |
| 16 | HOU | HOU 4 | 8 | 45 | 4:15 | Punt | |
| 17 | NO | NO 7 | 8 | 64 | 2:39 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | HOU | HOU 25 | 4 | 75 | 0:13 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | NO | NO 25 | 7 | 35 | 0:37 | Turnover on downs |
0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Texans gained 104 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NO -6.5
- Closing total
- 52
- HOU moneyline
- +273
- NO moneyline
- -310
Saints closed -6.5, won by 2 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 52; the game landed 58 — over by 6.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Mercedes-Benz Superdome
- Roof / surface
- dome · astroturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- John Hussey
- Rest
- HOU 7 days · NO 7 days
- Coaches
- Bill O'Brien vs Sean Payton