2019 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 8, 2019 · TIAA Bank Stadium
Kansas City ChiefsWinner
40
Jacksonville Jaguars
26
Kansas City Chiefs 40–26. Biggest swing: Q1 13:36, JAX +16% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(13:36) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 13:36JAX +16% win prob(13:36) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 14-S.Watkins for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 5:31JAX +11% win prob(5:31) (Shotgun) 7-N.Foles pass deep right to 17-D.Chark for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN [95-C.Jones].
- Q1 · 2:45JAX +9% win prob(2:45) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right to 14-S.Watkins for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 7:56JAX +6% win prob(7:56) 15-G.Minshew pass deep middle to 17-D.Chark to KC 6 for 69 yards (35-C.Ward).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Chiefs | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 59 | 51 |
| Total yards | 492 (edge) | 428 |
| Yards per play | 8.3 | 8.4 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.41 (edge) | 0.20 |
| Success rate | 58% (edge) | 53% |
| Dropback rate | 58% | 71% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.68 (edge) | 0.30 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.03 (edge) | -0.03 |
| Third downs | 5/11 | 5/10 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 9 | 9 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 22 (edge) | 17 |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 1 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.41 expected points added per play vs 0.20.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 25 | 5 | 75 | 1:36 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | JAX | JAX 25 | 5 | 6 | 1:40 | Punt | |
| 3 | KC | KC 21 | 6 | 70 | 2:47 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | JAX | JAX 25 | 9 | 70 | 3:34 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | KC | KC 20 | 7 | 85 | 2:47 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | JAX | JAX 25 | 10 | 66 | 6:00 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | KC | KC 25 | 8 | 68 | 3:40 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | JAX | JAX 25 | 6 | 80 | 3:34 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | KC | KC 25 | 11 | 47 | 3:58 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | JAX | JAX 25 | 3 | 11 | 0:24 | End of half | |
| 11 | JAX | JAX 25 | 10 | 49 | 6:10 | Fumble | |
| 12 | KC | KC 40 | 13 | 49 | 6:25 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | JAX | JAX 22 | 5 | 7 | 2:10 | Punt | |
| 14 | KC | KC 33 | 9 | 57 | 4:19 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | JAX | JAX 21 | 9 | 79 | 3:24 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | KC | JAX 46 | 6 | 5 | 2:07 | Punt | |
| 17 | JAX | JAX 20 | 1 | 0 | 0:11 | Interception | |
| 18 | KC | JAX 12 | 4 | 5 | 1:41 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | JAX | JAX 25 | 8 | 60 | 1:38 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | KC | JAX 47 | 6 | 31 | 1:55 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 85 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- KC -3.5
- Closing total
- 49
- KC moneyline
- -181
- JAX moneyline
- +163
Chiefs closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 14.
Total closed 49; the game landed 66 — over by 17.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- TIAA Bank Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 91°F, wind 6 mph
- Referee
- Carl Cheffers
- Rest
- KC 7 days · JAX 7 days
- Coaches
- Andy Reid vs Doug Marrone