2019 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 8, 2019 · Bank of America Stadium

Los Angeles RamsWinner

Carolina Panthers

LA -1.5 ✓O 49.5 ✓Rams closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 3.

Los Angeles Rams 30–27 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 13:45, LA +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 13:45LA — CAR LA ball · 4th & 12LA 87%

(13:45) 6-J.Hekker punt is BLOCKED by 56-J.Carter, Center-44-J.McQuaide, RECOVERED by CAR-39-R.Bonnafon at LA 9. 39-R.Bonnafon to LA 5 for 4 yards (6-J.Hekker).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 13:45LA +12% win prob(13:45) 6-J.Hekker punt is BLOCKED by 56-J.Carter, Center-44-J.McQuaide, RECOVERED by CAR-39-R.Bonnafon at LA 9. 39-R.Bonnafon to LA 5 for 4 yards (6-J.Hekker).
Q1 · 11:47LA +10% win prob(11:47) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 12-D.Moore to LA 26 for 16 yards (58-C.Littleton). FUMBLES (58-C.Littleton), RECOVERED by LA-58-C.Littleton at LA 30. 58-C.Littleton to LA 33 for 3 yards (40-A.Armah).
Q4 · 12:09LA +10% win prob(12:09) (No Huddle) 16-J.Goff pass deep middle intended for 17-R.Woods INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Bradberry at CAR 29. 24-J.Bradberry to CAR 29 for no gain (17-R.Woods).
Q2 · 13:48CAR +8% win prob(13:48) 4-G.Zuerlein 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Rams	Panthers
Offensive plays	70	63
Total yards	352 (edge)	343
Yards per play	5.0	5.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.03 (edge)	-0.13
Success rate	47% (edge)	46%
Dropback rate	59%	65%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.05 (edge)	-0.22
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.13 (edge)	0.04
Third downs	9/17 (edge)	5/11
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	8 (edge)	5
First downs gained on snaps	21	22 (edge)
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	3
Turnovers	1 (edge)	3

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.13.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CAR	CAR 25	7	45	3:26	Fumble
2	LA	LA 33	9	25	3:52	Punt
3	CAR	CAR 35	4	8	2:11	Punt
4	LA	LA 20	4	0	0:54	Punt
5	CAR	CAR 25	9	45	3:56	Turnover on downs
6	LA	LA 43	7	26	1:58	Turnover on downs
7	CAR	CAR 25	2	-5	0:36	Fumble
8	LA	CAR 10	3	10	0:23	Touchdown
9	CAR	CAR 32	6	12	3:12	Punt
10	LA	LA 3	7	18	3:18	Punt
11	CAR	CAR 27	4	6	1:18	Punt
12	LA	LA 29	9	33	3:54	Turnover on downs
13	CAR	CAR 25	9	47	1:02	Turnover on downs
14	LA	LA 25	8	76	3:07	Turnover on downs
15	CAR	CAR 40	10	60	3:25	Touchdown
16	LA	LA 25	15	54	5:37	Touchdown
17	CAR	CAR 30	9	36	2:40	Turnover on downs
18	LA	LA 25	5	6	1:33	Punt
19	CAR	LA 5	3	5	0:28	Touchdown
20	LA	LA 25	4	26	1:08	Interception
21	CAR	CAR 29	4	4	1:31	Punt
22	LA	LA 43	8	57	3:54	Touchdown
23	CAR	CAR 25	4	11	0:51	Interception
24	LA	CAR 32	4	9	1:40	Turnover on downs
25	CAR	CAR 31	10	69	2:08	Touchdown
26	LA	50	5	12	1:58	End of game

0 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 76 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a turnover on downs.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -1.5
Closing total: 49.5
LA moneyline: -122
CAR moneyline: +111

Rams closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 3.

Total closed 49.5; the game landed 57 — over by 7.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Bank of America Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 87°F, wind 3 mph
Referee: Shawn Hochuli
Rest: LA 7 days · CAR 7 days
Coaches: Sean McVay vs Ron Rivera