2019 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 8, 2019 · Gillette Stadium
Pittsburgh Steelers
3
New England PatriotsWinner
33
New England Patriots 33–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q4 0:06, NE +51% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:06) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 89-V.McDonald to NE 5 for 21 yards (24-S.Gilmore; 30-J.McCourty).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:06NE +51% win prob(:06) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 89-V.McDonald to NE 5 for 21 yards (24-S.Gilmore; 30-J.McCourty).
- Q1 · 12:01NE +7% win prob(12:01) 7-J.Bailey punts 53 yards to PIT 12, Center-49-J.Cardona, out of bounds.
- Q1 · 5:35NE +6% win prob(5:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-J.Edelman pass short left to 28-J.White to PIT 20 for 32 yards (20-C.Sutton).
- Q1 · 12:06PIT +4% win prob(12:06) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep middle to 11-J.Edelman.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Steelers | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 61 | 67 |
| Total yards | 308 | 465 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.0 | 6.9 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.23 | 0.24 (edge) |
| Success rate | 34% | 43% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 80% | 57% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.17 | 0.50 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.45 | -0.11 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/12 | 7/14 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 12 | 23 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 (edge) |
Patriots won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.24 expected points added per play vs -0.23.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | NE 20 | 8 | 15 | 3:06 | Punt | |
| 2 | PIT | PIT 12 | 8 | 27 | 4:00 | Punt | |
| 3 | NE | NE 18 | 8 | 92 | 3:08 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | PIT | PIT 25 | 5 | 14 | 2:30 | Punt | |
| 5 | NE | NE 38 | 12 | 55 | 5:24 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | PIT | PIT 21 | 5 | 9 | 1:52 | Punt | |
| 7 | NE | NE 35 | 4 | 3 | 0:48 | Punt | |
| 8 | PIT | PIT 30 | 4 | 5 | 2:14 | Punt | |
| 9 | NE | NE 20 | 7 | 80 | 3:09 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | PIT | PIT 25 | 8 | 28 | 1:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | NE | NE 47 | 8 | 30 | 1:40 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | PIT | PIT 25 | 2 | 4 | 0:17 | End of half | |
| 13 | PIT | PIT 25 | 12 | 67 | 4:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | NE | NE 25 | 6 | 75 | 2:12 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | PIT | PIT 28 | 7 | 30 | 2:45 | Punt | |
| 16 | NE | NE 10 | 9 | 73 | 5:07 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | PIT | PIT 25 | 9 | 30 | 2:47 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | NE | NE 45 | 13 | 45 | 5:48 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | PIT | PIT 25 | 6 | 29 | 2:21 | Interception | |
| 20 | NE | NE 20 | 4 | -3 | 2:11 | Punt | |
| 21 | PIT | PIT 45 | 9 | 65 | 2:06 | End of game |
0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Patriots gained 92 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NE -5.5
- Closing total
- 49
- PIT moneyline
- +203
- NE moneyline
- -228
Patriots closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 30.
Total closed 49; the game landed 36 — under by 13.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Gillette Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 66°F, wind 2 mph
- Referee
- Clete Blakeman
- Rest
- PIT 7 days · NE 7 days
- Coaches
- Mike Tomlin vs Bill Belichick