2019 Week 1 · Sun, Sep 8, 2019 · Raymond James Stadium
San Francisco 49ersWinner
31
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
17
San Francisco 49ers 31–17. Biggest swing: Q2 2:55, SF +21% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(2:55) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 80-O.Howard INTERCEPTED by 53-M.Nzeocha at TB 30. 53-M.Nzeocha to TB 29 for 1 yard (80-O.Howard).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 2:55SF +21% win prob(2:55) 3-J.Winston pass short middle intended for 80-O.Howard INTERCEPTED by 53-M.Nzeocha at TB 30. 53-M.Nzeocha to TB 29 for 1 yard (80-O.Howard).
- Q2 · 8:47SF +19% win prob(8:47) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left intended for 26-T.Coleman INTERCEPTED by 28-V.Hargreaves at SF 15. 28-V.Hargreaves for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 13:07SF +17% win prob(13:07) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass incomplete short middle to 12-C.Godwin (33-T.Moore).
- Q4 · 2:10SF +17% win prob(2:10) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short left intended for 44-D.Ogunbowale INTERCEPTED by 23-A.Witherspoon [55-D.Ford] at TB 25. 23-A.Witherspoon for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | 49ers | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 59 | 64 |
| Total yards | 260 | 296 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.4 | 4.6 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.16 (edge) | -0.38 |
| Success rate | 39% | 41% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 49% | 66% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.07 (edge) | -0.57 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.24 | -0.01 (edge) |
| Third downs | 5/13 | 5/11 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 17 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 2 (edge) | 4 |
Buccaneers outgained 49ers 296–260 but lost the turnover battle 4–2. That was the game.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TB | TB 24 | 5 | 6 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 2 | SF | TB 33 | 6 | 32 | 2:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | TB | TB 18 | 10 | 18 | 3:36 | Punt | |
| 4 | SF | SF 9 | 5 | 20 | 2:31 | Punt | |
| 5 | TB | TB 17 | 16 | 77 | 8:10 | Fumble | |
| 6 | SF | SF 8 | 6 | 14 | 3:10 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 7 | SF | SF 25 | 12 | 58 | 5:46 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | TB | TB 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:06 | Interception | |
| 9 | SF | TB 29 | 6 | 4 | 2:39 | Fumble | |
| 10 | TB | TB 29 | 1 | 0 | 0:10 | End of half | |
| 11 | SF | SF 25 | 9 | 52 | 2:29 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | TB | TB 25 | 3 | 0 | 0:47 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 13 | TB | TB 25 | 13 | 75 | 6:01 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | SF | SF 25 | 9 | 36 | 3:05 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | TB | TB 47 | 9 | 59 | 4:34 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | SF | SF 2 | 7 | 11 | 4:43 | Punt | |
| 17 | TB | SF 41 | 6 | 23 | 3:34 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | SF | SF 25 | 9 | 31 | 2:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | TB | TB 21 | 2 | 0 | 0:16 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 20 | TB | TB 25 | 9 | 38 | 1:10 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | SF | SF 37 | 2 | 0 | 0:51 | End of game |
0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Buccaneers gained 77 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a fumble.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- TB -1
- Closing total
- 51
- SF moneyline
- -102
- TB moneyline
- -108
Buccaneers closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 51; the game landed 48 — under by 3.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Raymond James Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 93°F, wind 9 mph
- Referee
- Alex Kemp
- Rest
- SF 7 days · TB 7 days
- Coaches
- Kyle Shanahan vs Bruce Arians