2019 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 15, 2019 · MetLife Stadium

Buffalo BillsWinner

New York Giants

BUF -1 ✓U 44.5 ✓Bills closed -1 and covered, winning by 14.

Buffalo Bills 28–14. Biggest swing: Q2 8:08, NYG +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 8:08BUF — NYG BUF ball · 1st & 20BUF 78%

(8:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 10-C.Beasley to NYG 14 for 51 yards (27-D.Baker, 21-J.Peppers). BUF-77-T.Nsekhe was injured during the play.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 8:08NYG +8% win prob(8:08) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 10-C.Beasley to NYG 14 for 51 yards (27-D.Baker, 21-J.Peppers). BUF-77-T.Nsekhe was injured during the play.
Q2 · 0:53BUF +8% win prob(:53) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left intended for 18-B.Fowler INTERCEPTED by 93-T.Murphy (91-E.Oliver) at BUF 28. 93-T.Murphy to BUF 28 for no gain (71-W.Hernandez).
Q2 · 12:07NYG +8% win prob(12:07) 9-R.Dixon punts 58 yards to BUF 2, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, downed by NYG-17-C.Core.
Q1 · 1:39NYG +7% win prob(1:39) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 15-J.Brown to NYG 38 for 14 yards (31-M.Thomas).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bills	Giants
Offensive plays	65	66
Total yards	390 (edge)	370
Yards per play	6.0 (edge)	5.6
Expected points added / play	0.17 (edge)	-0.07
Success rate	43%	44% (edge)
Dropback rate	55%	70%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.20 (edge)	-0.19
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.12	0.22 (edge)
Third downs	5/13 (edge)	3/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5	7 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	22 (edge)	21
Sacks taken	3	1 (edge)
Turnovers	0 (edge)	2

Bills won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.17 expected points added per play vs -0.07.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 25	7	75	2:24	Touchdown
2	BUF	BUF 25	5	3	2:14	Punt
3	NYG	NYG 30	4	5	0:53	Punt
4	BUF	BUF 25	11	75	5:46	Touchdown
5	NYG	NYG 22	5	1	1:04	Punt
6	BUF	BUF 30	12	74	4:15	Touchdown
7	NYG	NYG 25	6	15	1:28	Punt
8	BUF	BUF 2	8	108	4:26	Touchdown
9	NYG	NYG 14	15	57	5:41	Turnover on downs
10	BUF	BUF 38	4	2	0:34	Punt
11	NYG	BUF 33	2	12	0:28	Interception
12	BUF	BUF 28	2	0	0:47	End of half
13	BUF	BUF 25	5	-2	1:30	Punt
14	NYG	NYG 37	9	26	5:35	Punt
15	BUF	BUF 14	5	13	1:57	Punt
16	NYG	NYG 20	4	7	1:09	Punt
17	BUF	BUF 25	4	7	1:36	Punt
18	NYG	NYG 24	13	76	6:17	Touchdown
19	BUF	BUF 25	15	84	6:03	Touchdown
20	NYG	NYG 25	7	12	0:52	Turnover on downs
21	BUF	NYG 42	4	7	0:22	Punt
22	NYG	NYG 13	4	36	1:05	Interception
23	BUF	BUF 2	6	19	3:08	Punt
24	NYG	NYG 40	3	48	0:26	End of game

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bills gained 108 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: BUF -1
Closing total: 44.5
BUF moneyline: -113
NYG moneyline: +102

Bills closed -1 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 42 — under by 2.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 79°F, wind 5 mph
Referee: Shawn Smith
Rest: BUF 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches: Sean McDermott vs Pat Shurmur