2019 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 15, 2019 · Empower Field at Mile High
Chicago BearsWinner
16
Denver Broncos
14
Chicago Bears 16–14 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:01, DEN +39% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:01) 15-E.Pineiro 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:01DEN +39% win prob(:01) 15-E.Pineiro 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
- Q4 · 0:09DEN +37% win prob(:09) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep middle to 12-A.Robinson to DEN 35 for 25 yards (25-C.Harris).
- Q4 · 0:31DEN +24% win probTWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 5-J.Flacco pass to 10-E.Sanders is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS.
- Q4 · 4:51CHI +19% win prob(4:51) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right intended for 10-E.Sanders INTERCEPTED by 23-K.Fuller at CHI 3. 23-K.Fuller to CHI 11 for 8 yards (10-E.Sanders).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Bears | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 56 | 77 |
| Total yards | 273 | 374 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.9 (edge) | 4.9 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.02 | 0.04 (edge) |
| Success rate | 41% | 44% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 48% | 69% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.00 | 0.15 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.05 (edge) | -0.19 |
| Third downs | 3/11 (edge) | 3/14 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 26 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 2 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Broncos outgained Bears 374–273 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | DEN 25 | 11 | 50 | 5:15 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | CHI | CHI 25 | 5 | 1 | 1:40 | Punt | |
| 3 | DEN | DEN 31 | 5 | 5 | 2:02 | Punt | |
| 4 | CHI | CHI 14 | 14 | 59 | 7:28 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | DEN | DEN 25 | 9 | 28 | 3:59 | Punt | |
| 6 | CHI | CHI 10 | 10 | 56 | 4:26 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | DEN | DEN 25 | 10 | 39 | 3:25 | Punt | |
| 8 | CHI | CHI 15 | 4 | 7 | 1:05 | Punt | |
| 9 | DEN | DEN 13 | 4 | 7 | 0:27 | Punt | |
| 10 | CHI | CHI 35 | 2 | 18 | 0:13 | End of half | |
| 11 | CHI | CHI 25 | 6 | 4 | 3:16 | Punt | |
| 12 | DEN | DEN 15 | 10 | 41 | 5:00 | Punt | |
| 13 | CHI | CHI 20 | 10 | 79 | 5:30 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | DEN | DEN 25 | 10 | 56 | 2:37 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | CHI | CHI 25 | 5 | 2 | 0:55 | Punt | |
| 16 | DEN | DEN 24 | 16 | 84 | 7:57 | Interception | |
| 17 | CHI | CHI 11 | 6 | 17 | 1:57 | Punt | |
| 18 | DEN | DEN 38 | 13 | 64 | 2:17 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | CHI | CHI 25 | 7 | 30 | 0:31 | Turnover on downs |
0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Broncos gained 84 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a interception.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- CHI -3
- Closing total
- 41
- CHI moneyline
- -147
- DEN moneyline
- +132
Bears closed -3, won by 2 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 41; the game landed 30 — under by 11.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Empower Field at Mile High
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 87°F, wind 3 mph
- Referee
- Adrian Hill
- Rest
- CHI 10 days · DEN 6 days
- Coaches
- Matt Nagy vs Vic Fangio